Varberg at Djurgarden

Updated

Varberg

8.3%15.3%76.4%
WinDrawDjurgarden Win
0.67Projected Goals 2.44
0Final Score 2

Djurgarden

Last 5 Games

Varberg
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Halmstad+160
L 2-0 vs Hacken+525
T 1-1 at Degerfors+415
L 1-2 at Brommapojkarna+310
L 3-1 vs Norrkoping+250
Djurgarden
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Norrkoping-200
T 1-1 at Elfsborg+300
W 0-1 vs Hacken+150
W 0-2 vs Mjallby-185
L 3-4 at Hammarby+165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Varberg+1491+1082+1000+1100+1159+1100+1159+1160.9
Djurgarden-485-381-400-450-486-450-381-351.8
Draw+575+513+475+570+561+570+570+604.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Varberg+1500----+1500+1500+1160.9
Djurgarden-535-----525-525-351.8
Draw+580----+575+575+604.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Varberg: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Djurgarden: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Varberg: 10.0%
Djurgarden: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Varberg: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Varberg: 10.0%
Djurgarden: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Varberg ML moved from +1276 to +1159
Djurgarden ML moved from -515 to -531

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Varberg: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Djurgarden: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Varberg: 20.0%
Djurgarden: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Varberg: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Varberg: 70.0%
Djurgarden: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Varberg ML moved from +1430 to +1400
Djurgarden ML moved from -530 to -540

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-104o3-110o3-108o3-105o3-108o3-105o3-105o3+104
Underu3-114u3-106u3-112u3-115u3-112u3-115u3-106u3-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+104
Under-----u3-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-118 to o3-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.7%
 
No55.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.44%
Exactly 221.54%
Exactly 417.41%
Exactly 65.63%
Exactly 80.97%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.83%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 510.84%
Exactly 72.50%
Exactly 90.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Varberg
Exactly 051.08%
Exactly 134.31%
Exactly 211.52%
Exactly 32.58%
Exactly 40.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Djurgarden
Exactly 08.69%
Exactly 121.24%
Exactly 225.93%
Exactly 321.11%
Exactly 412.89%
Exactly 56.30%
Exactly 62.56%
Exactly 70.89%
Exactly 80.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.65%
Exactly 224.58%
Exactly 44.26%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 134.10%
Exactly 311.81%
Exactly 51.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Varberg
Exactly 073.27%
Exactly 122.79%
Exactly 23.54%
Exactly 30.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Djurgarden
Exactly 032.28%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 220.64%
Exactly 37.78%
Exactly 42.20%
Exactly 50.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Varberg
Wins by 2+ goals2.02%
Wins by 3+ goals0.35%
Djurgarden
Wins by 2+ goals53.77%
Wins by 3+ goals31.62%
Wins by 4+ goals15.61%
Wins by 5+ goals6.55%
Wins by 6+ goals2.34%
Wins by 7+ goals0.69%
Wins by 8+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Varberg
Djurgarden
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Varberg
Wins by 1 goal6.19%
Wins by 2 goals1.66%
Wins by 3 goals0.32%
Djurgarden
Wins by 1 goal22.54%
Wins by 2 goals22.15%
Wins by 3 goals16.01%
Wins by 4 goals9.07%
Wins by 5 goals4.21%
Wins by 6 goals1.65%
Wins by 7 goals0.55%
Wins by 8 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.56%4.44%
1.581.73%18.27%
2.560.19%39.81%
3.537.83%62.17%
4.520.43%79.57%
5.59.59%90.41%
6.53.96%96.04%
7.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals Varberg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.92%51.08%
1.514.60%85.40%
2.53.08%96.92%

Total Goals Djurgarden Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.31%8.69%
1.570.07%29.93%
2.544.14%55.86%
3.523.02%76.98%
4.510.13%89.87%
5.53.83%96.17%
6.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.35%23.65%
1.542.25%57.75%
2.517.67%82.33%
3.55.86%94.14%
4.51.60%98.40%

Score Props

Correct Score

Varberg
Djurgarden
Score012345
0
4.44%
10.85%
13.25%
10.79%
6.59%
3.22%
1
2.98%
7.29%
8.90%
7.25%
4.42%
2.16%
2
1.00%
2.45%
2.99%
2.43%
1.49%
0.73%
3
0.22%
0.55%
0.67%
0.54%
0.33%
0.16%
Varberg
1-02.98%
2-01.00%
2-12.45%
3-00.22%
3-10.55%
3-20.67%
Draw
0-04.44%
1-17.29%
2-22.99%
3-30.54%
Djurgarden
0-110.85%
0-213.25%
1-28.90%
0-310.79%
1-37.25%
2-32.43%
0-46.59%
1-44.42%
2-41.49%
3-40.33%
0-53.22%
1-52.16%
2-50.73%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Varberg
Djurgarden
Score012345
0
23.65%
26.74%
15.12%
5.70%
1.61%
0.36%
1
7.35%
8.32%
4.70%
1.77%
0.50%
0.11%
2
1.14%
1.29%
0.73%
0.28%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.12%
0.13%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Varberg
1-07.35%
2-01.14%
2-11.29%
3-00.12%
3-10.13%
Draw
0-023.65%
1-18.32%
2-20.73%
Djurgarden
0-126.74%
0-215.12%
1-24.70%
0-35.70%
1-31.77%
2-30.28%
0-41.61%
1-40.50%
0-50.36%
1-50.11%
Goteborg at Halmstad
Hammarby at Elfsborg