Malmo at Varberg

Updated

Malmo

53.9%20.8%25.3%
Malmo WinDrawVarberg Win
2.03Projected Goals 0.95
1Final Score 1

Varberg

Last 5 Games

Malmo
Money Line
W 3-0 at Ostersund-360
L 1-0 vs Mjallby-260
W 1-5 vs Orebro-575
W 1-0 at Elfsborg+130
T 1-1 vs Djurgarden-135
Varberg
Money Line
L 1-2 at Sirius+180
T 0-0 vs Degerfors-110
L 1-2 at Norrkoping+660
T 1-1 vs Hacken+190
L 0-1 at Hammarby+420

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Malmo-153-180-167-174-180-167-167-160.5
Varberg+385+500+550+549+514+550+550+568.9
Draw+301+295+270+314+294+270+314+326.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Malmo-155-----185-185-160.5
Varberg+440----+550+550+568.9
Draw+285----+300+300+326.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Malmo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Varberg: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Malmo: 0.0%
Varberg: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Malmo: 0.0%
Varberg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Malmo ML moved from -171 to -180
Varberg ML moved from +540 to +520

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Malmo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Varberg: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Malmo: 0.0%
Varberg: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Malmo: 0.0%
Varberg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Malmo ML moved from -155 to -185
No Steam Moves On Varberg ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102o2¼-120o2¼-118o2¼-116-o2¼-118o2¼-116o2¼-109
Underu2¾-118u2¼+100u2¼-102u2¼+103-u2¼-102u2¼+103u2¼+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-109
Under-----u2¼+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.4%
 
No46.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.07%
Exactly 222.54%
Exactly 416.70%
Exactly 64.95%
Exactly 80.79%
 
Exactly 115.12%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.96%
Exactly 72.11%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Malmo
Exactly 013.16%
Exactly 126.69%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.30%
Exactly 49.28%
Exactly 53.76%
Exactly 61.27%
Exactly 70.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Varberg
Exactly 038.55%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.51%
Exactly 35.57%
Exactly 41.33%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.15%
Exactly 223.96%
Exactly 43.80%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.71%
Exactly 311.02%
Exactly 51.05%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Malmo
Exactly 039.10%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.24%
Exactly 35.40%
Exactly 41.27%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Varberg
Exactly 064.32%
Exactly 128.39%
Exactly 26.26%
Exactly 30.92%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Malmo
Wins by 2+ goals38.16%
Wins by 3+ goals19.15%
Wins by 4+ goals7.95%
Wins by 5+ goals2.75%
Varberg
Wins by 2+ goals5.62%
Wins by 3+ goals1.43%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Malmo
Varberg
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Malmo
Wins by 1 goal24.00%
Wins by 2 goals19.01%
Wins by 3 goals11.20%
Wins by 4 goals5.20%
Wins by 5 goals1.98%
Varberg
Wins by 1 goal11.28%
Wins by 2 goals4.19%
Wins by 3 goals1.15%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.93%5.07%
1.579.81%20.19%
2.557.26%42.74%
3.534.86%65.14%
4.518.16%81.84%
5.58.21%91.79%
6.53.26%96.74%
7.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Malmo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.84%13.16%
1.560.16%39.84%
2.533.10%66.90%
3.514.80%85.20%
4.55.52%94.48%
5.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals Varberg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.45%38.55%
1.524.71%75.29%
2.57.19%92.81%
3.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.85%25.15%
1.540.14%59.86%
2.516.18%83.82%
3.55.15%94.85%
4.51.35%98.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Malmo
Varberg
Score01234
0
5.07%
4.83%
2.30%
0.73%
0.17%
1
10.29%
9.81%
4.67%
1.49%
0.35%
2
10.43%
9.94%
4.74%
1.51%
0.36%
3
7.05%
6.72%
3.20%
1.02%
0.24%
4
3.58%
3.41%
1.62%
0.52%
0.12%
5
1.45%
1.38%
0.66%
0.21%
0.05%
Malmo
1-010.29%
2-010.43%
2-19.94%
3-07.05%
3-16.72%
3-23.20%
4-03.58%
4-13.41%
4-21.62%
4-30.52%
5-01.45%
5-11.38%
5-20.66%
5-30.21%
Draw
0-05.07%
1-19.81%
2-24.74%
3-31.02%
4-40.12%
Varberg
0-14.83%
0-22.30%
1-24.67%
0-30.73%
1-31.49%
2-31.51%
0-40.17%
1-40.35%
2-40.36%
3-40.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Malmo
Varberg
Score0123
0
25.15%
11.10%
2.45%
0.36%
1
23.61%
10.42%
2.30%
0.34%
2
11.09%
4.89%
1.08%
0.16%
3
3.47%
1.53%
0.34%
0.05%
4
0.81%
0.36%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Malmo
1-023.61%
2-011.09%
2-14.89%
3-03.47%
3-11.53%
3-20.34%
4-00.81%
4-10.36%
5-00.15%
Draw
0-025.15%
1-110.42%
2-21.08%
Varberg
0-111.10%
0-22.45%
1-22.30%
0-30.36%
1-30.34%
2-30.16%