Varberg at Malmo

Updated

Varberg

5.4%11.4%83.2%
WinDrawMalmo Win
0.62Projected Goals 2.88
0Final Score 5

Malmo

Last 5 Games

Varberg
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Djurgarden+625
L 1-2 at Elfsborg+1400
L 0-7 at Sirius+535
W 3-4 vs Brommapojkarna+225
L 0-3 at AIK Stockholm+850
Malmo
Money Line
L 0-1 at Kalmar-135
W 1-2 vs Brommapojkarna-350
W 2-1 at Degerfors-240
W 3-1 at Hammarby+140
T 2-2 vs Goteborg-250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Varberg+1800+2189+2200+2200+2200+2200+2200+2313.6
Malmo-850-990-1300-1250-1250-1250-990-749.9
Draw+775+1036+1000+1150+1150+1150+1150+1211.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Varberg+1900----+2200+2200+2313.6
Malmo-800-----1200-1200-749.9
Draw+800----+1100+1100+1211.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Varberg: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Malmo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Varberg: 20.0%
Malmo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Varberg: 0.0%
Malmo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Varberg ML moved from +2211 to +2189
Malmo ML moved from -1200 to -1300

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Varberg: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Malmo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Varberg: 20.0%
Malmo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Varberg: 0.0%
Malmo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Varberg ML moved from +1900 to +1700
Malmo ML moved from -1100 to -1200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-105o4+101o3¾-122o4-105o4-105o4-105o3¾-122o4+104
Underu3½-115u4-119u3¾+102u4-115u4-115u4-115u4-115u4-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4+104
Under-----u4-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-118 to o3¾-107
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.7%
 
No56.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.02%
Exactly 218.51%
Exactly 418.88%
Exactly 67.70%
Exactly 81.68%
Exactly 100.23%
 
Exactly 110.58%
Exactly 321.58%
Exactly 513.21%
Exactly 73.85%
Exactly 90.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Varberg
Exactly 053.67%
Exactly 133.40%
Exactly 210.39%
Exactly 32.16%
Exactly 40.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Malmo
Exactly 05.63%
Exactly 116.20%
Exactly 223.31%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 416.07%
Exactly 59.24%
Exactly 64.43%
Exactly 71.82%
Exactly 80.65%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.79%
Exactly 225.97%
Exactly 45.68%
Exactly 60.50%
 
Exactly 132.06%
Exactly 314.02%
Exactly 51.84%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Varberg
Exactly 074.97%
Exactly 121.60%
Exactly 23.11%
Exactly 30.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Malmo
Exactly 026.40%
Exactly 135.16%
Exactly 223.41%
Exactly 310.39%
Exactly 43.46%
Exactly 50.92%
Exactly 60.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Varberg
Wins by 2+ goals1.21%
Wins by 3+ goals0.19%
Malmo
Wins by 2+ goals63.95%
Wins by 3+ goals42.09%
Wins by 4+ goals23.67%
Wins by 5+ goals11.46%
Wins by 6+ goals4.81%
Wins by 7+ goals1.75%
Wins by 8+ goals0.53%
Wins by 9+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Varberg
Malmo
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Varberg
Wins by 1 goal4.14%
Wins by 2 goals1.01%
Wins by 3 goals0.18%
Malmo
Wins by 1 goal19.18%
Wins by 2 goals21.86%
Wins by 3 goals18.42%
Wins by 4 goals12.21%
Wins by 5 goals6.65%
Wins by 6 goals3.06%
Wins by 7 goals1.22%
Wins by 8 goals0.42%
Wins by 9 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.98%3.02%
1.586.40%13.60%
2.567.89%32.11%
3.546.31%53.69%
4.527.43%72.57%
5.514.22%85.78%
6.56.52%93.48%
7.52.67%97.33%

Total Goals Varberg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.33%53.67%
1.512.93%87.07%
2.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals Malmo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.37%5.63%
1.578.16%21.84%
2.554.86%45.14%
3.532.51%67.49%
4.516.44%83.56%
5.57.20%92.80%
6.52.77%97.23%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.21%19.79%
1.548.15%51.85%
2.522.18%77.82%
3.58.16%91.84%
4.52.48%97.52%

Score Props

Correct Score

Varberg
Malmo
Score012345
0
3.02%
8.70%
12.51%
11.99%
8.62%
4.96%
1
1.88%
5.41%
7.78%
7.46%
5.37%
3.09%
2
0.59%
1.68%
2.42%
2.32%
1.67%
0.96%
3
0.12%
0.35%
0.50%
0.48%
0.35%
0.20%
Varberg
1-01.88%
2-00.59%
2-11.68%
3-00.12%
3-10.35%
3-20.50%
Draw
0-03.02%
1-15.41%
2-22.42%
3-30.48%
Malmo
0-18.70%
0-212.51%
1-27.78%
0-311.99%
1-37.46%
2-32.32%
0-48.62%
1-45.37%
2-41.67%
3-40.35%
0-54.96%
1-53.09%
2-50.96%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Varberg
Malmo
Score0123456
0
19.79%
26.36%
17.55%
7.79%
2.59%
0.69%
0.15%
1
5.70%
7.59%
5.06%
2.24%
0.75%
0.20%
0.04%
2
0.82%
1.09%
0.73%
0.32%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Varberg
1-05.70%
2-00.82%
2-11.09%
Draw
0-019.79%
1-17.59%
2-20.73%
Malmo
0-126.36%
0-217.55%
1-25.06%
0-37.79%
1-32.24%
2-30.32%
0-42.59%
1-40.75%
2-40.11%
0-50.69%
1-50.20%
0-60.15%