Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

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TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
AIK Stockholm
Sirius		35.1%
37.4%		27.5%
+120
+253

1
3		-1.30133-0.98278
Varnamo
Mjallby		14.8%
62.8%		22.5%
+680
-254

0
2		-0.37822-0.46596
Hacken
Malmo		15.9%
64.0%		20.1%
+385
-143

0
3		-0.57632-0.44618
Djurgarden
Halmstad		59.6%
16.1%		24.2%
-105
+315

0
1		-1.46850-1.82561
Goteborg
Brommapojkarna		29.7%
42.4%		27.9%
+165
+169

3
1		-1.00109-1.21537
Oster
Degerfors		36.1%
36.0%		27.9%
+395
-125

2
1		-1.62197-1.01915
GAIS
Norrkoping		40.3%
33.7%		26.0%
+113
+234

3
0		-0.79244-0.90807
Hammarby
Elfsborg		32.5%
41.9%		25.5%
+194
+140

2
0		-1.11926-1.12279
Djurgarden
Brommapojkarna		38.7%
32.4%		28.9%
+197
+135

1
0		-1.12055-0.94918
Degerfors
Hammarby		8.2%
78.6%		13.2%
+650
-256

0
1		-0.37713-0.24046
Mjallby
Norrkoping		43.9%
30.0%		26.1%
-122
+305

1
1		-1.42217-1.34369
AIK Stockholm
Brommapojkarna		31.9%
39.3%		28.8%
+120
+229

1
0		-0.83170-1.14181
Hacken
Djurgarden		27.3%
47.0%		25.7%
+219
+119

1
1		-1.32569-1.35880
Malmo
Goteborg		51.1%
23.7%		25.2%
+145
+183

0
1		-1.08258-1.43919
Elfsborg
Halmstad		54.7%
20.3%		25.1%
-135
+387

4
1		-0.59310-0.60375
Sirius
GAIS		22.1%
55.4%		22.5%
+260
+105

1
2		-0.75664-0.59101
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Season Prediction Results

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 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks53-2-0 (0.600)0-0.94509 
Sportsbooks50-0-0 (0.500)5 
DRatings53-2-0 (0.600)0-0.98718
-0.04209

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.