Michael Chiesa vs Tony Ferguson

Updated

Michael Chiesa

72.5%27.5%
Michael Chiesa WinTony Ferguson Win
WinFinal Result Loss

Tony Ferguson

Last Fights

Michael Chiesa
Money Line
Loss vs Kevin Holland+126
Loss vs Sean Brady+160
Loss vs Vicente Luque-105
Win vs Neil Magny+135
Tony Ferguson
Money Line
Loss vs Paddy Pimblett+290
Loss vs Bobby Green+315
Loss vs Nate Diaz-145
Loss vs Michael Chandler+300
Loss vs Beneil Dariush+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Michael Chiesa-400-450-490-500-450-500-450-395.8
Tony Ferguson+304+337+355+375+300+375+375+395.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Michael Chiesa-400-450-435-500-450-500-435-395.8
Tony Ferguson+330+350+350+400+360+400+400+395.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Michael Chiesa: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tony Ferguson: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Michael Chiesa: 0.0%
Tony Ferguson: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Michael Chiesa: 0.0%
Tony Ferguson: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Michael Chiesa ML moved from -480 to -500
Tony Ferguson ML moved from +357 to +337

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Michael Chiesa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tony Ferguson: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Michael Chiesa: 0.0%
Tony Ferguson: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Michael Chiesa: 0.0%
Tony Ferguson: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Michael Chiesa ML moved from -500 to -550
Tony Ferguson ML moved from +400 to +375