Justin Gaethje vs Rafael Fiziev

Updated

Justin Gaethje

31.2%68.8%
Justin Gaethje WinRafael Fiziev Win
WinFinal Result Loss

Rafael Fiziev

Last Fights

Justin Gaethje
Money Line
Loss vs Charles Oliveira+130
Win vs Michael Chandler-210
Loss vs Khabib Nurmagomedov+250
Rafael Fiziev
Money Line
Win vs Rafael Dos Anjos-215
Win vs Brad Riddell-130
Win vs Bobby Green-300
Win vs Renato Moicano-120
Win vs Marc Diakiese+175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Justin Gaethje+208-+210+222+225+222+225+233.0
Rafael Fiziev-243--255-262-265-262-255-233.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Justin Gaethje+200+205+220+222+205+240+240+233.0
Rafael Fiziev-240-245-260-278-245-280-245-233.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Justin Gaethje: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rafael Fiziev: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Justin Gaethje: 10.0%
Rafael Fiziev: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Justin Gaethje: 0.0%
Rafael Fiziev: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Justin Gaethje ML moved from +197 to +184
Rafael Fiziev ML moved from -255 to -270

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Justin Gaethje: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rafael Fiziev: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Justin Gaethje: 10.0%
Rafael Fiziev: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Justin Gaethje: 30.0%
Rafael Fiziev: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Justin Gaethje ML moved from +196 to +185
Rafael Fiziev ML moved from -267 to -278