Kyle Nelson vs Fernando Padilla

Updated

Kyle Nelson

41.3%58.7%
Kyle Nelson WinFernando Padilla Win
WinFinal Result Loss

Fernando Padilla

Last Fights

Kyle Nelson
Money Line
Win vs Blake Bilder+240
Draw vs Dooho Choi+175
Loss vs Jai Herbert+240
Loss vs Billy Quarantillo+235
Fernando Padilla
Money Line
Win vs Julian Erosa+130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kyle Nelson+215+203+215+214+200+214+215+225.3
Fernando Padilla-255-255-260-254-245-254-245-225.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kyle Nelson+215+200+205-+205+220+220+225.3
Fernando Padilla-250-240-240--270-270-240-225.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kyle Nelson: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fernando Padilla: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kyle Nelson: 40.0%
Fernando Padilla: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kyle Nelson: 0.0%
Fernando Padilla: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kyle Nelson ML moved from +225 to +210
Fernando Padilla ML moved from -240 to -255

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kyle Nelson: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fernando Padilla: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kyle Nelson: 40.0%
Fernando Padilla: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kyle Nelson: 10.0%
Fernando Padilla: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Kyle Nelson ML
No Steam Moves On Fernando Padilla ML