Tom Aspinall vs Sergei Pavlovich

Updated

Tom Aspinall

57.5%42.5%
Tom Aspinall WinSergei Pavlovich Win
WinFinal Result Loss

Sergei Pavlovich

Last Fights

Tom Aspinall
Money Line
Win vs Marcin Tybura-450
Loss vs Curtis Blaydes-160
Win vs Alexander Volkov-135
Win vs Serghei Spivac-220
Win vs Andrei Arlovski-270
Sergei Pavlovich
Money Line
Win vs Curtis Blaydes+115
Win vs Tai Tuivasa-175
Win vs Derrick Lewis-155
Win vs Shamil Abdurakhimov-320

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tom Aspinall+105-115+100-125-115-125+100-113.9
Sergei Pavlovich-125-105-115+105-105+105+105+113.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tom Aspinall-130-110-115--110-110-110-113.9
Sergei Pavlovich+110-110-105--110-110-105+113.9

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Tom Aspinall: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sergei Pavlovich: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tom Aspinall: 30.0%
Sergei Pavlovich: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tom Aspinall: 60.0%
Sergei Pavlovich: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tom Aspinall ML moved from -115 to -126
Sergei Pavlovich ML moved from +100 to -110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tom Aspinall: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sergei Pavlovich: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tom Aspinall: 30.0%
Sergei Pavlovich: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tom Aspinall: 20.0%
Sergei Pavlovich: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tom Aspinall ML moved from +100 to -110
Sergei Pavlovich ML moved from +100 to -105