As we gear up for the 2024 NFL season, anticipation is at an all-time high. Teams have retooled, rosters are set, and fans are eagerly awaiting to see how their teams will fare. A critical aspect of analyzing the upcoming season involves understanding the projected team totals. These projections give us insight into how each team is expected to perform in the regular season, providing a valuable tool for bettors, analysts, and enthusiasts alike.
In this post, we’ll take a closer look at the projected win totals for each NFL team, providing a detailed breakdown and some key observations from the data.
Understanding the Table
The table below showcases the projected win totals for each NFL team for the 2024 season. Each column represents the percentage chance that a team will finish the regular season with a certain number of wins, ranging from 0 to 17. For instance, the New York Giants have a 0.1% chance of finishing with zero wins, a 0.6% chance of finishing with one win, and so on.
The data provides a comprehensive overview of each team’s expected performance, offering a glimpse into the competitive landscape of the NFL. Here’s the full table:
| Teams | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY Giants | 0.4% | 1% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0% | 0% |
| Washington | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Dallas | 0% | 0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 2% | 0.2% | 0% |
| Philadelphia | 0% | 0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0% |
| Chicago | 0% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 13% | 9% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0% | 0% |
| Green Bay | 0% | 0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 15% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0% |
| Minnesota | 0.2% | 0.4% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 10.6% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0% | 0% |
| Detroit | 0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 0.2% |
| Atlanta | 0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1% | 2.4% | 6.8% | 7% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0% | 0% |
| Tampa Bay | 0% | 0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 6% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 15% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0% | 0% |
| New Orleans | 0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 2% | 3.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 9.4% | 6% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0% | 0% |
| Carolina | 1% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 9% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 13% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| San Francisco | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 9% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 8% | 6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Seattle | 0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 14% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0% |
| LA Rams | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 11% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12% | 7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0% |
| Arizona | 0.2% | 2% | 2.6% | 6.2% | 11% | 8.3% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| New England | 0.6% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 15% | 15% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1% | 0.4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Miami | 0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 13% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0% | 0% |
| NY Jets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 4% | 5.8% | 10% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 13% | 9.8% | 6% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Buffalo | 0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 14% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0% |
| Baltimore | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 12% | 14.2% | 11% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Pittsburgh | 0% | 0.4% | 1% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Cincinnati | 0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 10% | 12.2% | 16% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Cleveland | 0% | 0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 0.4% | 0% | 0% |
| Houston | 0% | 0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Indianapolis | 0% | 0% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 9.6% | 10% | 12.9% | 14% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0% | 0% |
| Tennessee | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 7% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 11% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Jacksonville | 0% | 0% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 3% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0% |
| Denver | 0.2% | 2.4% | 9% | 5.8% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 14% | 12% | 10.2% | 8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| LA Chargers | 0.2% | 0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0% | 0% |
| Kansas City | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 12% | 12.2% | 6.4% | 1% | 1% |
| Las Vegas | 0.4% | 0.6% | 3% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 15% | 13% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0% | 0% |
Conclusion
The projected win totals provide a fascinating snapshot of the upcoming NFL season. While top teams are expected to maintain their dominance, there is plenty of room for surprises and unexpected outcomes. Whether you’re a bettor looking to place your wagers, a fantasy football player planning your draft strategy, or just a fan eager for the season to start, these projections offer valuable insights into what might unfold on the gridiron.
As the season progresses, it will be interesting to see how these projections hold up against the actual performance of each team. One thing is for sure – the 2024 NFL season promises to be full of excitement, drama, and memorable moments.
Note: The table above is generated using advanced predictive analytics and should be used as a guide rather than a definitive prediction. Football is unpredictable, and while numbers can provide a strong indication, the actual season could unfold in unexpected ways.
This analysis of the 2024 NFL projected win totals should give you a good foundation for understanding how each team is expected to perform this season. Keep these projections in mind as the season unfolds, and be sure to revisit them to see how well they align with the actual outcomes.