Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Monza
Parma 		29.2%
44.1%		26.7%
+210
+135
+216
+130
1.09
1.40		2.49
o2¾-107
u2¾-112
o2½-130
u2½+115
Genoa
Empoli 		24.7%
49.4%		25.9%
+230
+160
+225
+155
0.99
1.51		2.50
o2-102
u2-110
o2+100
u2-120
Inter
Cagliari 		71.0%
11.2%		17.7%
-220
+675
-230
+600
2.25
0.77		3.02
o3+101
u3-116
o3+100
u3-120
Atalanta
Lazio 		29.8%
45.0%		25.2%
+147
+195
+140
+190
1.20
1.53		2.73
o2½-118
u2½+104
o2½-115
u2½-105
Games for Dec 27, 2024
Games for Dec 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Como
Inter		5.9%
82.0%		12.1%
+920
-295
+860
-310
0
2		-0.31761-0.32241-0.19855
Udinese
Fiorentina		18.0%
59.8%		22.2%
+500
-159
+500
-170
2
1		-1.81021-1.83703-1.71652
Juventus
Monza		50.8%
23.5%		25.7%
-165
+650
-165
+575
2
1		-0.49548-0.51758-0.67729
Empoli
Atalanta		8.3%
77.5%		14.1%
+985
-350
+975
-340
2
3		-0.28595-0.28707-0.25465
Parma
Roma		13.3%
68.0%		18.7%
+710
-240
+588
-200
0
5		-0.36274-0.43677-0.38553
Lazio
Lecce		52.7%
23.0%		24.3%
-164
+525
-165
+510
2
1		-0.49521-0.51274-0.64107
Napoli
Genoa		64.0%
15.4%		20.6%
-140
+495
-140
+480
2
1		-0.56044-0.57197-0.44630
Bologna
Torino		28.0%
45.4%		26.6%
+145
+270
+145
+265
2
0		-0.92379-0.92857-1.27275
Milan
Hellas Verona		59.2%
18.6%		22.2%
-163
+477
-165
+455
1
0		-0.51021-0.50856-0.52373
Inter
Lazio		44.8%
28.8%		26.4%
+124
+249
+120
+255
6
0		-0.83746-0.82963-0.80225
Genoa
Milan		7.4%
78.6%		14.0%
+660
-182
+600
-200
0
0		-1.46811-1.49077-1.96633
Roma
Como		41.0%
32.1%		26.8%
+118
+280
+115
+265
0
2		-1.34665-1.34044-1.13597
Hellas Verona
Parma		22.9%
52.7%		24.4%
+280
+110
+265
+105
3
2		-1.36626-1.34508-1.47451
Fiorentina
Bologna		33.5%
39.2%		27.3%
+192
+177
+175
+181
0
1		-1.04458-1.07441-0.93598
Monza
Lecce		32.2%
40.1%		27.7%
+196
+175
+210
+160
1
2		-1.03536-0.99523-0.91454
Venezia
Juventus		6.5%
79.8%		13.7%
+975
-257
+880
-260
2
2		-1.58968-1.59234-1.99092
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.