England Championship Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Queens Park Rangers
Norwich City 		13.9%
66.1%		20.0%
+340
-123

0.82
2.05		2.87
o2½-111
u2½+101

Sheffield Wednesday
Preston North End 		25.5%
48.1%		26.5%
+201
+152

0.98
1.46		2.44
o2¼+105
u2¼-120

West Bromwich Albion
Sheffield United 		19.8%
55.4%		24.9%
+310
+104

0.86
1.61		2.47
o2-146
u2¼-115

Hull City
Blackburn 		22.4%
53.3%		24.3%
+277
+108

1.00
1.67		2.67
o2¼-111
u2½-135

Volatility Bet Value Active
Portsmouth
Bristol City 		17.0%
61.4%		21.6%
+381
-136

0.91
1.93		2.84
o2½-106
u2½-105

Millwall
Coventry City 		17.6%
58.8%		23.6%
+358
-119

0.82
1.72		2.54
o2-145
u2¼-118

Plymouth Argyle
Oxford United 		21.2%
55.9%		22.9%
+316
-115

1.04
1.82		2.86
o2½-134
u2¾-112

Sunderland
Stoke City 		28.6%
43.9%		27.4%
+130
+216

1.03
1.34		2.37
o2¼-118
u2½-132

Luton Town
Swansea City 		23.0%
51.9%		25.0%
+215
+130

0.98
1.60		2.58
o2½+103
u2½-119

Cardiff City
Watford 		18.9%
57.8%		23.4%
+275
+102

0.90
1.75		2.65
o2½-110
u2½+101

Leeds United
Derby County 		53.2%
22.4%		24.3%
-154
+465

1.67
0.99		2.66
o2½+102
u2½-114

Burnley
Middlesbrough 		20.3%
55.5%		24.1%
+220
+129

0.91
1.69		2.60
o2¼-118
u2½-128

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 28, 2024
Games for Jan 1, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Leeds United
Stoke City		51.0%
24.2%		24.8%
-208
+594
-230
+675
2
0		-0.43148-0.40810-0.67376
West Bromwich Albion
Derby County		33.3%
37.6%		29.1%
+165
+200
+175
+190
1
2		-1.13647-1.11106-0.97708
Portsmouth
Watford		16.9%
60.6%		22.4%
+328
-114
+335
-125
1
2		-0.66575-0.63858-0.50017
Queens Park Rangers
Swansea City		14.2%
66.4%		19.4%
+332
-113
+325
-110
0
3		-0.67364-0.69848-0.40937
Burnley
Sheffield United		21.0%
53.3%		25.8%
+228
+143
+225
+140
2
0		-1.22809-1.22956-1.56279
Hull City
Preston North End		24.9%
48.9%		26.1%
+226
+130
+215
+135
0
1		-0.87218-0.90387-0.71460
Cardiff City
Oxford United		29.6%
44.0%		26.4%
+182
+174
+175
+165
2
3		-1.04432-1.02666-0.82064
Millwall
Norwich City		19.9%
55.1%		25.0%
+242
+131
+255
+125
1
2		-0.87719-0.85849-0.59653
Sheffield Wednesday
Middlesbrough		12.8%
68.1%		19.1%
+330
-120
+360
-140
3
3		-1.39099-1.43578-1.65732
Plymouth Argyle
Coventry City		9.0%
75.2%		15.8%
+800
-324
+740
-315
0
4		-0.30821-0.32785-0.28502
Luton Town
Bristol City		26.9%
46.9%		26.2%
+278
+106
+250
+115
0
1		-0.76177-0.81362-0.75820
Sunderland
Blackburn		28.6%
44.5%		26.9%
+151
+198
+160
+185
2
2		-1.22166-1.19902-1.31476
Bristol City
West Bromwich Albion		21.5%
54.4%		24.1%
+253
+121
+265
+120
0
2		-0.83285-0.83829-0.60827
Norwich City
Sunderland		28.4%
43.9%		27.7%
+319
-108
+350
-125
1
2		-0.68824-0.63824-0.82342
Preston North End
Queens Park Rangers		33.4%
38.6%		28.0%
+188
+175
+200
+165
1
2		-1.05062-1.02304-0.95117
Middlesbrough
Plymouth Argyle		62.2%
16.8%		21.0%
-188
+480
-195
+465
3
3		-1.58479-1.58856-1.56079
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks128-2-2 (0.750)0-0.88431 
Sportsbooks128-2-2 (0.750)0-0.88759 
DRatings129-1-2 (0.833)0-0.85585
0.02846
0.03174

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/23/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeaguePromotionPromotion PlayoffRelegation
1Sheffield United (15-2-5, 50 pts)25.58.811.788.336.6%75.1%24.3%0.0%
2Leeds United (13-3-6, 45 pts)25.88.112.189.453.3%84.5%15.3%0.0%
3Burnley (12-2-8, 44 pts)21.79.614.779.96.0%20.9%71.4%0.0%
4Sunderland (12-3-7, 43 pts)20.811.114.176.51.6%9.8%71.5%0.0%
5Blackburn (11-6-4, 37 pts)19.815.011.370.50.4%1.9%39.7%0.0%
6Middlesbrough (10-7-5, 35 pts)21.113.311.774.81.6%5.6%68.6%0.0%
7West Bromwich Albion (8-3-11, 35 pts)17.310.618.170.10.4%1.4%41.3%0.0%
8Watford (10-7-4, 34 pts)19.015.911.168.20.1%0.7%28.2%0.0%
9Sheffield Wednesday (9-8-5, 32 pts)16.817.311.962.30.0%0.1%6.9%0.4%
10Millwall (7-7-7, 28 pts)15.616.114.361.20.0%0.0%6.9%0.8%
11Swansea City (7-9-6, 27 pts)16.216.912.961.50.0%0.0%5.9%0.4%
12Bristol City (6-7-9, 27 pts)14.415.616.059.10.0%0.0%3.3%1.9%
13Norwich City (6-8-8, 26 pts)15.215.815.060.50.0%0.0%6.5%1.6%
14Queens Park Rangers (5-7-10, 25 pts)11.817.416.752.20.0%0.0%0.4%18.1%
15Luton Town (7-11-4, 25 pts)15.719.311.058.10.0%0.0%2.1%3.8%
16Derby County (6-10-6, 24 pts)13.919.312.854.60.0%0.0%0.9%8.3%
17Coventry City (6-10-6, 24 pts)16.017.212.860.90.0%0.0%6.1%1.6%
18Preston North End (4-7-11, 23 pts)11.916.118.053.80.0%0.0%0.3%12.5%
19Stoke City (5-10-7, 22 pts)13.318.614.154.00.0%0.0%0.1%11.1%
20Portsmouth (4-8-8, 20 pts)11.319.415.349.20.0%0.0%0.2%35.3%
21Hull City (4-11-7, 19 pts)11.720.214.049.30.0%0.0%0.1%30.0%
22Cardiff City (4-11-6, 18 pts)11.621.313.147.90.0%0.0%0.0%43.0%
23Oxford United (4-11-6, 18 pts)11.221.813.046.60.0%0.0%0.0%53.9%
24Plymouth Argyle (4-11-6, 18 pts)10.123.312.742.90.0%0.0%0.0%77.3%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.