Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

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TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
HamKam
Valerenga		20.9%
58.0%		21.0%
+453
-172

1
1		-1.50332-1.55870
Bryne
Stromsgodset		8.9%
75.6%		15.5%
+405
-154

2
0		-1.66094-2.41710
Bodo/Glimt
Tromso		51.6%
25.1%		23.3%
-143
+360

1
2		-1.56911-1.38350
Haugesund
Rosenborg		8.3%
77.8%		13.8%
+1450
-625

0
1		-0.19441-0.25084
Kristiansund
Molde		10.2%
75.3%		14.5%
+644
-250

1
0		-2.04709-2.28298
Sarpsborg 08
Brann		17.0%
62.3%		20.8%
+333
-130

2
2		-1.45955-1.57200
Sandefjord
Viking		12.0%
72.2%		15.8%
+389
-156

1
3		-0.53030-0.32522
KFUM Oslo
Fredrikstad		18.8%
57.1%		24.1%
+367
-105

0
1		-0.71980-0.55965
Viking
Haugesund		59.4%
19.9%		20.7%
-180
+427

4
1		-0.47989-0.52089
Fredrikstad
Kristiansund		37.1%
35.4%		27.5%
+126
+217

1
0		-0.85967-0.99023
Molde
Bryne		72.3%
11.2%		16.5%
+119
+241

3
0		-0.82287-0.32393
HamKam
Sarpsborg 08		20.1%
59.1%		20.8%
+482
-196

0
4		-0.45793-0.52514
Valerenga
Sandefjord		31.4%
42.7%		25.8%
+209
+125

1
2		-0.84169-0.84994
Tromso
KFUM Oslo		36.2%
34.8%		29.0%
+237
+147

3
1		-1.25358-1.01628
Rosenborg
Brann		27.4%
48.0%		24.6%
+176
+146

0
0		-1.32648-1.40393
Bryne
Rosenborg		5.0%
84.3%		10.7%
+763
-277

0
3		-0.35386-0.17094
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Season Prediction Results

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 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks83-3-2 (0.500)0-1.21056 
Sportsbooks80-0-2 (0.625)8 
DRatings83-3-2 (0.500)0-1.29375
-0.08318

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.