Copa Libertadores Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 17, 2024

There are no games on the schedule today.
Games for May 16, 2024
Games for May 18, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Liverpool
San Lorenzo		12.4%
69.2%		18.3%
+543
-170
+515
-195
2
3		-0.52077-0.53322-0.36801
Barcelona SC
Sao Paulo		10.1%
71.5%		18.3%
+850
-226
+750
-350
0
0		-1.53670-1.57905-1.69663
Botafogo RJ
Universitario		40.6%
31.2%		28.2%
+180
+170
+120
+195
1
0		-1.07752-0.90788-0.90185
Caracas
Rosario Cent		10.3%
71.6%		18.1%
+1400
-354

1
4		-0.26043-0.33419
Cerro Porteno
Fluminense		13.4%
65.6%		20.9%
+500
-136
+440
-180
1
2		-0.57629-0.56100-0.42137
Independiente
Palmeiras		9.1%
75.0%		16.0%
+800
-243
+660
-325
1
2		-0.35944-0.38709-0.28822
Bolivar
Flamengo		5.4%
82.0%		12.6%
+1600
-650

0
4		-0.18533-0.19906
Colo-Colo
Alianza Lima		38.5%
32.2%		29.2%
+172
+193
+145
+165
1
1		-1.16687-1.19915-1.23032
Huachipato
The Strongest		16.2%
58.8%		24.9%
+900
-275

0
4		-0.32850-0.53031
Nacional
Deportivo Tachira		39.5%
34.1%		26.4%
-105
+308
-125
+285
1
0		-0.71592-0.70804-0.92948
Palestino
Millonarios		16.1%
62.5%		21.4%
+530
-152
+550
-245
1
1		-1.35973-1.45466-1.53987
Libertad
River Plate		16.1%
62.5%		21.4%
+950
-360
+675
-340
0
2		-0.29276-0.37918-0.46980
Cobresal
CC Cordoba		16.7%
60.9%		22.3%
+1050
-450

0
1		-0.25911-0.49549
Atletico Mineiro
Penarol		49.3%
23.9%		26.8%
+146
+236
+120
+190
0
2		-1.24657-1.18450-1.43272
Junior
LDU de Quito		16.1%
62.8%		21.1%
+575
-202
+550
-265
1
0		-1.95793-1.99114-1.82672
Estudiantes
The Strongest		29.0%
39.4%		31.5%
+485
-160
+375
-190
0
1		-0.52862-0.54407-0.93102
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks53-1-1 (0.700)0-0.79434 
Sportsbooks53-0-1 (0.800)1-0.89529 
DRatings54-0-1 (0.900)0-0.74441
0.04993
0.15088

Predictions Methodology

The Copa Libertadores is the top-flight club tournament for teams in the CONMEBOL federation. The Predictor is used to predict future Copa Libertadores soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.