Upcoming Games for May 17, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates (19-25) Chicago Cubs (25-19) | Paul Skenes Kyle Hendricks | 50.3% 49.7% | -109 -101 -104 +100 | -1½+150 +1½-170 | 3.91 3.89 | 7.80 | o7½-105 u7½-115 | |||
| Washington Nationals (20-22) Philadelphia Phillies (31-13) | Jake Irvin Zack Wheeler | 36.2% 63.8% | +235 -252 +230 -255 | +1½+105 -1½-118 +1½+105 -1½-115 | 3.33 4.77 | 8.10 | o7½+100 u7½-113 o7½-105 u7½-115 | |||
| Chicago White Sox (14-30) New York Yankees (29-15) | Mike Clevinger Nestor Cortes | 28.1% 71.9% | +227 -250 +235 -250 | +1½+108 -1½-125 +1½+110 -1½-115 | 2.94 5.21 | 8.15 | o8-115 u8+100 o8½-105 u8½-115 | |||
| Seattle Mariners (24-20) Baltimore Orioles (27-14) | Bryce Miller UNDEDICED Undecided | 45.5% 54.5% | 3.93 4.40 | 8.33 | ||||||
| Tampa Bay Rays (22-22) Toronto Blue Jays (19-23) | Tyler Alexander Chris Bassitt | 40.8% 59.2% | 3.97 4.94 | 8.91 | ||||||
| New York Mets (19-23) Miami Marlins (13-32) | Christian Scott Jesús Luzardo | 50.0% 50.0% | -114 +108 -113 +113 | -1½+150 +1½-160 -1½+140 +1½-150 | 4.51 4.51 | 9.02 | o7½-105 u7½-108 o7½-115 u7½-105 | All Bet Values Active | ||
| Minnesota Twins (24-18) Cleveland Guardians (27-17) | Simeon Woods Richardson Triston McKenzie | 47.9% 52.1% | +106 -114 +112 -115 | +1½-205 -1½+175 +1½-190 -1½+176 | 4.46 4.69 | 9.15 | o8½-103 u8½-113 o8-110 u8-105 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| San Diego Padres (22-24) Atlanta Braves (26-14) | Matt Waldron Max Fried | 36.4% 63.6% | +190 -205 +201 -205 | +1½-110 -1½+100 +1½-105 -1½+100 | 4.15 5.58 | 9.73 | o8½+101 u8+102 o8½+100 u8+100 | All Bet Values Active | ||
| Oakland Athletics (19-26) Kansas City Royals (26-19) | Undecided Undecided Cole Ragans | 36.0% 64.0% | 3.27 4.74 | 8.01 | ||||||
| Los Angeles Angels (16-28) Texas Rangers (23-22) | Tyler Anderson Andrew Heaney | 44.2% 55.8% | +155 -168 +155 -170 | +1½-132 -1½+115 +1½-133 -1½+115 | 4.08 4.68 | 8.76 | o9-110 u9-103 o9-115 u9+100 | |||
| Milwaukee Brewers (26-17) Houston Astros (18-25) | Freddy Peralta Hunter Brown | 60.9% 39.1% | -101 -102 -106 -101 | +1½-220 -1½+190 -1½+145 +1½-155 | 4.63 3.50 | 8.13 | o8½+102 u8½-118 o8½-105 u8½-110 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Boston Red Sox (22-21) St. Louis Cardinals (18-25) | Brayan Bello Kyle Gibson | 43.2% 56.8% | -106 +101 -110 +105 | -1½+150 +1½-170 -1½+150 +1½-164 | 3.62 4.34 | 7.96 | o8-102 u8-113 o8-110 u8-110 | |||
| Detroit Tigers (21-22) Arizona Diamondbacks (21-23) | Tarik Skubal Ryne Nelson | 56.3% 43.7% | -135 +129 -140 +134 | -1½+120 +1½-136 -1½+115 +1½-130 | 4.10 3.45 | 7.55 | o7½-118 u8-110 o8-110 u8-105 | |||
| Cincinnati Reds (18-25) Los Angeles Dodgers (29-16) | Frankie Montas James Paxton | 39.1% 60.9% | +187 -200 +201 -205 | +1½-115 -1½+100 +1½-105 -1½-105 | 3.56 4.70 | 8.26 | o8½-120 u9-118 o8½-120 u9-115 | All Bet Values Active | ||
| Colorado Rockies (15-28) San Francisco Giants (20-25) | Ryan Feltner Kyle Harrison | 36.0% 64.0% | +144 -156 +152 -160 | +1½-155 -1½+135 +1½-145 -1½+130 | 3.04 4.51 | 7.55 | o7½+100 u7½-113 o7½-110 u7½-110 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds Arizona Diamondbacks | 44.3% 55.7% | +139 -145 +140 -145 | +1½-153 -1½+145 +1½-155 -1½+145 | 1 2 | -0.53471-0.53299 | -0.58494 | |
| Washington Nationals Chicago White Sox | 44.7% 55.3% | +156 -161 +153 -159 | +1½-148 -1½+135 +1½-145 -1½+136 | 0 2 | -0.49058-0.49704 | -0.59280 | |
| Miami Marlins Detroit Tigers | 40.7% 59.3% | +145 -153 +147 -155 | +1½-140 -1½+132 +1½-140 -1½+125 | 2 0 | -0.90892-0.91684 | -0.89825 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates Milwaukee Brewers | 40.4% 59.6% | +138 -145 +138 -148 | +1½-158 -1½+146 +1½-160 -1½+145 | 2 10 | -0.53645-0.53302 | -0.51793 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays Baltimore Orioles | 39.2% 60.8% | +123 -130 +127 -132 | +1½-180 -1½+170 +1½-180 -1½+170 | 2 3 | -0.58410-0.57338 | -0.49806 | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers San Francisco Giants | 58.6% 41.4% | -172 +164 -175 +170 | -1½-110 +1½+102 -1½-120 +1½+105 | 10 2 | -0.46940-0.45869 | -0.53387 | |
| Kansas City Royals Seattle Mariners | 38.6% 61.4% | +149 -154 +146 -151 | +1½-153 -1½+137 +1½-155 -1½+141 | 4 2 | -0.92015-0.90822 | -0.95220 | |
| Colorado Rockies San Diego Padres | 29.3% 70.7% | +245 -273 +270 -280 | +1½+112 -1½-128 +1½+120 -1½-130 | 6 3 | -1.25987-1.31543 | -1.22837 | |
| Cincinnati Reds Arizona Diamondbacks | 45.7% 54.3% | +101 -110 +105 -107 | +1½-195 -1½+178 +1½-195 -1½+180 | 6 2 | -0.71924-0.72256 | -0.78318 | |
| St. Louis Cardinals Los Angeles Angels | 56.9% 43.1% | -137 +128 -138 +130 | -1½+124 +1½-138 -1½+131 +1½-140 | 7 6 | -0.56460-0.55953 | -0.56442 | |
| Oakland Athletics Houston Astros | 36.9% 63.1% | +165 -175 +170 -177 | +1½-125 -1½+115 +1½-125 -1½+115 | 1 2 | -0.46561-0.45719 | -0.45977 | |
| Washington Nationals Chicago White Sox | 47.2% 52.8% | -107 +102 -105 +101 | -1½+152 +1½-165 | 0 4 | -0.71498-0.70779 | -0.63879 | |
| Cleveland Guardians Texas Rangers | 52.1% 47.9% | +112 -117 +110 -117 | +1½-183 -1½+170 | 7 4 | -0.76222-0.75717 | -0.65168 | |
| New York Yankees Minnesota Twins | 53.3% 46.7% | -106 +101 -106 +107 | -1½+150 +1½-158 -1½+150 +1½-155 | 5 1 | -0.67645-0.66209 | -0.62858 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates Milwaukee Brewers | 37.2% 62.8% | +144 -150 +145 -150 | +1½-148 -1½+135 +1½-150 -1½+133 | 3 4 | -0.52062-0.51896 | -0.46590 | |
| Chicago Cubs Atlanta Braves | 34.5% 65.5% | +180 -188 +176 -180 | +1½-130 -1½+132 +1½-125 -1½+115 | 0 7 | -0.43638-0.44699 | -0.42367 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 6 | 1-5 (0.167) | 0 | -0.79622 | |
| Sportsbooks | 6 | 1-5 (0.167) | 0 | -0.80045 | |
| DRatings | 6 | 1-5 (0.167) | 0 | -0.77682 | 0.01940 0.02362 |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.