Sweden Allsvenskan Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 19, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
AIK Stockholm
Hammarby 		27.9%
46.3%		25.8%
+191
+156

1.10
1.50		2.60
o2½-102
u2½-113

Norrkoping
Brommapojkarna 		25.0%
49.7%		25.2%
+240
+105

1.04
1.58		2.62
o2¾-115
u2¾-105

Games for May 18, 2024
Games for May 20, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Goteborg
Sirius		31.4%
42.0%		26.5%
+202
+138
+215
+125
2
2		-1.29324-1.28884-1.32821
Norrkoping
Kalmar		27.7%
46.5%		25.9%
+211
+130
+215
+125
1
1		-1.31446-1.28884-1.35267
Djurgarden
Brommapojkarna		39.5%
31.7%		28.8%
+120
+237
+115
+230
5
0		-0.81561-0.81792-0.92821
Hacken
Halmstad		37.8%
32.6%		29.6%
-125
+330
-135
+330
0
3		-1.48448-1.50828-1.12209
AIK Stockholm
Elfsborg		26.6%
47.2%		26.2%
+221
+130
+220
+120
1
6		-0.86603-0.83986-0.75097
Malmo
Goteborg		51.4%
23.4%		25.2%
-109
+324
-120
+330
3
0		-0.68405-0.65682-0.66536
Elfsborg
Djurgarden		27.7%
46.1%		26.2%
+276
+112
+270
+105
0
2		-0.78021-0.76873-0.77360
Hammarby
Norrkoping		43.7%
31.2%		25.1%
+172
+158
+165
+155
2
1		-1.03843-1.02449-0.82711
Kalmar
Hacken		17.5%
60.8%		21.7%
+615
-245
+460
-195
1
3		-0.37523-0.46501-0.49761
Sirius
AIK Stockholm		13.7%
67.1%		19.2%
+395
-132
+390
-145
3
1		-1.63030-1.64026-1.99063
Norrkoping
AIK Stockholm		13.2%
67.6%		19.2%
+420
-133
+390
-140
2
6		-0.58528-0.58834-0.39174
Malmo
Elfsborg		39.0%
33.7%		27.3%
-105
+288
-125
+330
1
3		-1.39042-1.50860-1.08723
Hacken
Sirius		34.8%
38.8%		26.3%
+196
+148
+195
+125
3
0		-1.09079-1.13069-1.05438
Halmstad
Kalmar		23.8%
47.8%		28.4%
+285
+111
+295
+100
2
5		-0.77751-0.74354-0.73745
Sirius
Elfsborg		13.8%
67.8%		18.3%
+287
-101
+255
+105
0
2		-0.71885-0.76776-0.38794
Goteborg
Brommapojkarna		30.3%
41.4%		28.3%
+200
+141
+190
+145
3
0		-1.13850-1.11492-1.19452
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.14110 
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.13187 
DRatings31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.20303
-0.06193
-0.07116

Predictions Methodology

The Swedish Allsvenskan season typically runs from the beginning to April to the beginning of November. Each of the sixteen teams play a home-and-home with every other team in the Allsvenskan to play thirty games total for the season. The bottom two teams get relegated and the third to the bottom placed team plays in a two leg match against the 3rd placed Superettan team to see who qualifies for the Allsvenskan.