Tucuman at Velez Sarsf

Updated

Tucuman

17.7%24.8%57.5%
WinDrawVelez Sarsf Win
0.77Projected Goals 1.61
1Final Score 1

Velez Sarsf

Last 5 Games

Tucuman
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Platense
L 0-2 at Talleres
W 0-1 vs Boca Juniors
L 0-4 at CA Huracan
W 2-3 vs Gimnasia ELP
Velez Sarsf
Money Line
T 1-1 at Independiente
W 0-1 vs Newell's OB
L 1-3 at Gimnasia ELP
L 3-4 at Estudiantes
W 4-2 at Argentinos Jun

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tucuman+335+315+300+345+342+345+345+367.0
Velez Sarsf-108+104+100-105-107-105+104+104.9
Draw+243+223+215+220+223+220+223+235.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tucuman-----+367.0
Velez Sarsf-----+104.9
Draw-----+235.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tucuman: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Velez Sarsf: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tucuman: 0.0%
Velez Sarsf: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tucuman: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tucuman: 20.0%
Velez Sarsf: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Tucuman ML
No Steam Moves On Velez Sarsf ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-121o2-112o2-110o2-112o2-109o2-112o2-109o2-102
Underu2+103u2-106u2-110u2-108u2-111u2-108u2-106u2+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-102
Under-----u2+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.9%
 
No57.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.24%
Exactly 226.21%
Exactly 412.39%
Exactly 62.34%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 122.01%
Exactly 320.80%
Exactly 55.90%
Exactly 70.80%
Exact Goals Scored - Tucuman
Exactly 046.39%
Exactly 135.63%
Exactly 213.69%
Exactly 33.50%
Exactly 40.67%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 019.92%
Exactly 132.14%
Exactly 225.93%
Exactly 313.94%
Exactly 45.62%
Exactly 51.81%
Exactly 60.49%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.20%
Exactly 220.18%
Exactly 42.04%
 
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 37.42%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tucuman
Exactly 070.07%
Exactly 124.92%
Exactly 24.43%
Exactly 30.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 047.38%
Exactly 135.39%
Exactly 213.22%
Exactly 33.29%
Exactly 40.61%

Alternate Props

Spread

Tucuman
Wins by 2+ goals5.17%
Wins by 3+ goals1.13%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 2+ goals31.25%
Wins by 3+ goals13.41%
Wins by 4+ goals4.68%
Wins by 5+ goals1.35%
Wins by 6+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Tucuman
Velez Sarsf
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Tucuman
Wins by 1 goal12.50%
Wins by 2 goals4.04%
Wins by 3 goals0.94%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 1 goal26.27%
Wins by 2 goals17.83%
Wins by 3 goals8.74%
Wins by 4 goals3.33%
Wins by 5 goals1.03%
Wins by 6 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.76%9.24%
1.568.75%31.25%
2.542.55%57.45%
3.521.74%78.26%
4.59.36%90.64%
5.53.46%96.54%
6.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Tucuman Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.61%46.39%
1.517.98%82.02%
2.54.30%95.70%

Total Goals Velez Sarsf Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.08%19.92%
1.547.94%52.06%
2.522.01%77.99%
3.58.07%91.93%
4.52.44%97.56%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.80%33.20%
1.530.19%69.81%
2.510.01%89.99%
3.52.59%97.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Tucuman
Velez Sarsf
Score012345
0
9.24%
14.91%
12.03%
6.47%
2.61%
0.84%
1
7.10%
11.45%
9.24%
4.97%
2.00%
0.65%
2
2.73%
4.40%
3.55%
1.91%
0.77%
0.25%
3
0.70%
1.13%
0.91%
0.49%
0.20%
0.06%
4
0.13%
0.22%
0.17%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
Tucuman
1-07.10%
2-02.73%
2-14.40%
3-00.70%
3-11.13%
3-20.91%
4-00.13%
4-10.22%
4-20.17%
Draw
0-09.24%
1-111.45%
2-23.55%
3-30.49%
Velez Sarsf
0-114.91%
0-212.03%
1-29.24%
0-36.47%
1-34.97%
2-31.91%
0-42.61%
1-42.00%
2-40.77%
3-40.20%
0-50.84%
1-50.65%
2-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Tucuman
Velez Sarsf
Score01234
0
33.20%
24.80%
9.26%
2.31%
0.43%
1
11.81%
8.82%
3.29%
0.82%
0.15%
2
2.10%
1.57%
0.59%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.25%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Tucuman
1-011.81%
2-02.10%
2-11.57%
3-00.25%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-033.20%
1-18.82%
2-20.59%
Velez Sarsf
0-124.80%
0-29.26%
1-23.29%
0-32.31%
1-30.82%
2-30.15%
0-40.43%
1-40.15%
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