Velez Sarsf at Newell's OB

Updated

Velez Sarsf

41.4%29.4%29.2%
Velez Sarsf WinDrawNewell's OB Win
1.22Projected Goals 0.87
2Final Score 1

Newell's OB

Last 5 Games

Velez Sarsf
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Independiente
W 1-0 at Sarmiento
W 2-3 vs Aldosivi
T 0-0 at Gimnasia ELP
W 0-4 vs CA Union
Newell's OB
Money Line
T 2-2 at Godoy Cruz
L 1-0 vs CA Huracan
W 2-1 at Lanus
L 4-1 vs River Plate
T 1-1 at Colon

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Velez Sarsf+225-110-110-103-110-110-103+103.7
Newell's OB+120+270+255+295+274+255+295+308.3
Draw+215+250+250+266+270+250+270+278.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Velez Sarsf-----+103.7
Newell's OB-----+308.3
Draw-----+278.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Velez Sarsf: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newell's OB: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Velez Sarsf: 0.0%
Newell's OB: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Velez Sarsf: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Velez Sarsf: 0.0%
Newell's OB: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Velez Sarsf ML
No Steam Moves On Newell's OB ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110o2¾-102o2¾+103o2¾+100-o2¾+103o2¾+103o2¾+107
Underu2¼-110u2¾-118u2¾-123u2¾-115-u2¾-123u2¾-115u2¾-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+107
Under-----u2¾-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.9%
 
No59.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.36%
Exactly 227.01%
Exactly 49.84%
Exactly 61.43%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 125.84%
Exactly 318.82%
Exactly 54.11%
Exactly 70.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 029.37%
Exactly 135.98%
Exactly 222.05%
Exactly 39.00%
Exactly 42.76%
Exactly 50.68%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Newell's OB
Exactly 042.10%
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 215.76%
Exactly 34.54%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.99%
Exactly 217.79%
Exactly 41.39%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 35.74%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 056.70%
Exactly 132.17%
Exactly 29.13%
Exactly 31.73%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newell's OB
Exactly 066.99%
Exactly 126.84%
Exactly 25.38%
Exactly 30.72%

Alternate Props

Spread

Velez Sarsf
Wins by 2+ goals19.76%
Wins by 3+ goals6.73%
Wins by 4+ goals1.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.39%
Newell's OB
Wins by 2+ goals8.62%
Wins by 3+ goals2.13%
Wins by 4+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Velez Sarsf
Newell's OB
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 1 goal24.73%
Wins by 2 goals13.03%
Wins by 3 goals4.91%
Wins by 4 goals1.43%
Wins by 5 goals0.33%
Newell's OB
Wins by 1 goal17.46%
Wins by 2 goals6.49%
Wins by 3 goals1.73%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.64%12.36%
1.561.79%38.21%
2.534.78%65.22%
3.515.96%84.04%
4.56.12%93.88%
5.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Velez Sarsf Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.63%29.37%
1.534.65%65.35%
2.512.60%87.40%
3.53.60%96.40%

Total Goals Newell's OB Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.90%42.10%
1.521.48%78.52%
2.55.72%94.28%
3.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.01%37.99%
1.525.24%74.76%
2.57.45%92.55%
3.51.71%98.29%

Score Props

Correct Score

Velez Sarsf
Newell's OB
Score01234
0
12.36%
10.70%
4.63%
1.33%
0.29%
1
15.15%
13.11%
5.67%
1.64%
0.35%
2
9.28%
8.03%
3.47%
1.00%
0.22%
3
3.79%
3.28%
1.42%
0.41%
0.09%
4
1.16%
1.00%
0.43%
0.13%
0.03%
5
0.28%
0.25%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Velez Sarsf
1-015.15%
2-09.28%
2-18.03%
3-03.79%
3-13.28%
3-21.42%
4-01.16%
4-11.00%
4-20.43%
4-30.13%
5-00.28%
5-10.25%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-012.36%
1-113.11%
2-23.47%
3-30.41%
Newell's OB
0-110.70%
0-24.63%
1-25.67%
0-31.33%
1-31.64%
2-31.00%
0-40.29%
1-40.35%
2-40.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Velez Sarsf
Newell's OB
Score0123
0
37.99%
15.22%
3.05%
0.41%
1
21.55%
8.63%
1.73%
0.23%
2
6.11%
2.45%
0.49%
0.07%
3
1.16%
0.46%
0.09%
0.01%
4
0.16%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Velez Sarsf
1-021.55%
2-06.11%
2-12.45%
3-01.16%
3-10.46%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-037.99%
1-18.63%
2-20.49%
Newell's OB
0-115.22%
0-23.05%
1-21.73%
0-30.41%
1-30.23%
Rosario Cent at Estudiantes
Aldosivi at Sarmiento