Independiente at Estudiantes

Updated

Independiente

16.0%23.5%60.5%
WinDrawEstudiantes Win
0.75Projected Goals 1.71
2Final Score 0

Estudiantes

Last 5 Games

Independiente
Money Line
T 0-0 vs San Lorenzo
L 0-1 at Independiente Rivadavia
T 0-0 vs Barracas Central
L 1-3 at Instituto
W 1-2 vs Banfield
Estudiantes
Money Line
W 4-1 at Newell's OB
W 1-4 vs Gimnasia ELP
T 0-0 at CA Huracan
T 0-0 vs CA Union
L 0-2 at Sarmiento

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+345-+340+345+347+345+347+366.9
Estudiantes+101-+105+106+104+106+106+116.1
Draw+205-+175+195+190+195+195+209.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente-----+366.9
Estudiantes-----+116.1
Draw-----+209.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estudiantes: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 0.0%
Estudiantes: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
Estudiantes: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Estudiantes ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-108-o1¾-108o1¾-115o1¾-111o1¾-115o1¾-108o1¾-104
Underu2-112-u1¾-112u1¾-105u1¾-109u1¾-105u1¾-105u1¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o1¾-104
Under-----u1¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.2%
 
No56.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.54%
Exactly 225.85%
Exactly 413.04%
Exactly 62.63%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.02%
Exactly 321.20%
Exactly 56.41%
Exactly 70.92%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 047.35%
Exactly 135.40%
Exactly 213.23%
Exactly 33.30%
Exactly 40.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Estudiantes
Exactly 018.04%
Exactly 130.90%
Exactly 226.45%
Exactly 315.10%
Exactly 46.46%
Exactly 52.21%
Exactly 60.63%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.01%
Exactly 220.77%
Exactly 42.25%
 
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 37.88%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 070.74%
Exactly 124.49%
Exactly 24.24%
Exactly 30.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estudiantes
Exactly 045.26%
Exactly 135.88%
Exactly 214.22%
Exactly 33.76%
Exactly 40.75%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals4.47%
Wins by 3+ goals0.90%
Wins by 4+ goals0.11%
Estudiantes
Wins by 2+ goals34.21%
Wins by 3+ goals15.40%
Wins by 4+ goals5.65%
Wins by 5+ goals1.72%
Wins by 6+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Independiente
Estudiantes
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal11.44%
Wins by 2 goals3.57%
Wins by 3 goals0.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.11%
Estudiantes
Wins by 1 goal26.22%
Wins by 2 goals18.80%
Wins by 3 goals9.75%
Wins by 4 goals3.93%
Wins by 5 goals1.29%
Wins by 6 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.46%8.54%
1.570.44%29.56%
2.544.59%55.41%
3.523.39%76.61%
4.510.35%89.65%
5.53.94%96.06%
6.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.65%47.35%
1.517.25%82.75%
2.54.02%95.98%

Total Goals Estudiantes Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.96%18.04%
1.551.06%48.94%
2.524.60%75.40%
3.59.51%90.49%
4.53.04%96.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.99%32.01%
1.531.52%68.48%
2.510.76%89.24%
3.52.87%97.13%

Score Props

Correct Score

Independiente
Estudiantes
Score012345
0
8.54%
14.63%
12.53%
7.15%
3.06%
1.05%
1
6.39%
10.94%
9.36%
5.35%
2.29%
0.78%
2
2.39%
4.09%
3.50%
2.00%
0.86%
0.29%
3
0.60%
1.02%
0.87%
0.50%
0.21%
0.07%
4
0.11%
0.19%
0.16%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
Independiente
1-06.39%
2-02.39%
2-14.09%
3-00.60%
3-11.02%
3-20.87%
4-00.11%
4-10.19%
4-20.16%
Draw
0-08.54%
1-110.94%
2-23.50%
3-30.50%
Estudiantes
0-114.63%
0-212.53%
1-29.36%
0-37.15%
1-35.35%
2-32.00%
0-43.06%
1-42.29%
2-40.86%
3-40.21%
0-51.05%
1-50.78%
2-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Independiente
Estudiantes
Score01234
0
32.01%
25.38%
10.06%
2.66%
0.53%
1
11.08%
8.79%
3.48%
0.92%
0.18%
2
1.92%
1.52%
0.60%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.22%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Independiente
1-011.08%
2-01.92%
2-11.52%
3-00.22%
3-10.18%
Draw
0-032.01%
1-18.79%
2-20.60%
Estudiantes
0-125.38%
0-210.06%
1-23.48%
0-32.66%
1-30.92%
2-30.16%
0-40.53%
1-40.18%