Independiente at Instituto

Updated

Independiente

25.8%29.5%44.6%
Independiente WinDrawInstituto Win
0.85Projected Goals 1.22
1Final Score 3

Instituto

Last 5 Games

Independiente
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Banfield
T 0-0 at Defensa y Just
T 1-1 vs Velez Sarsf
T 0-0 at Platense
L 3-1 vs Talleres
Instituto
Money Line
W 2-0 at Newell's OB
W 1-2 vs Gimnasia ELP
L 0-1 at CA Huracan
T 1-1 vs CA Union
W 2-1 at Sarmiento

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+215---+273-+273-
Instituto+154---+129-+129-
Draw+189---+182-+182-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente------
Instituto------
Draw------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Instituto: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 0.0%
Instituto: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
Instituto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Instituto ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo1¾-118---o1¾-103-o1¾-103-
Underu1¾-102---u1¾-117-u1¾-117-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.4%
 
No59.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.60%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 49.67%
Exactly 61.38%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 126.10%
Exactly 318.67%
Exactly 54.00%
Exactly 70.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 042.64%
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 215.49%
Exactly 34.40%
Exactly 40.94%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Instituto
Exactly 029.55%
Exactly 136.02%
Exactly 221.96%
Exactly 38.92%
Exactly 42.72%
Exactly 50.66%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.33%
Exactly 217.63%
Exactly 41.35%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 35.63%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 067.39%
Exactly 126.59%
Exactly 25.25%
Exactly 30.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Instituto
Exactly 056.87%
Exactly 132.10%
Exactly 29.06%
Exactly 31.70%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals8.44%
Wins by 3+ goals2.06%
Wins by 4+ goals0.38%
Instituto
Wins by 2+ goals19.77%
Wins by 3+ goals6.71%
Wins by 4+ goals1.81%
Wins by 5+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Independiente
Instituto
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal17.37%
Wins by 2 goals6.38%
Wins by 3 goals1.67%
Wins by 4 goals0.33%
Instituto
Wins by 1 goal24.85%
Wins by 2 goals13.06%
Wins by 3 goals4.90%
Wins by 4 goals1.42%
Wins by 5 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.40%12.60%
1.561.30%38.70%
2.534.26%65.74%
3.515.60%84.40%
4.55.93%94.07%
5.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.36%42.64%
1.521.01%78.99%
2.55.52%94.48%
3.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Instituto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.45%29.55%
1.534.42%65.58%
2.512.47%87.53%
3.53.54%96.46%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.67%38.33%
1.524.92%75.08%
2.57.29%92.71%
3.51.66%98.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

Independiente
Instituto
Score012345
0
12.60%
15.36%
9.36%
3.80%
1.16%
0.28%
1
10.74%
13.09%
7.98%
3.24%
0.99%
0.24%
2
4.58%
5.58%
3.40%
1.38%
0.42%
0.10%
3
1.30%
1.59%
0.97%
0.39%
0.12%
0.03%
4
0.28%
0.34%
0.21%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Independiente
1-010.74%
2-04.58%
2-15.58%
3-01.30%
3-11.59%
3-20.97%
4-00.28%
4-10.34%
4-20.21%
Draw
0-012.60%
1-113.09%
2-23.40%
3-30.39%
Instituto
0-115.36%
0-29.36%
1-27.98%
0-33.80%
1-33.24%
2-31.38%
0-41.16%
1-40.99%
2-40.42%
3-40.12%
0-50.28%
1-50.24%
2-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Independiente
Instituto
Score01234
0
38.33%
21.63%
6.10%
1.15%
0.16%
1
15.12%
8.54%
2.41%
0.45%
0.06%
2
2.98%
1.68%
0.48%
0.09%
0.01%
3
0.39%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Independiente
1-015.12%
2-02.98%
2-11.68%
3-00.39%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-038.33%
1-18.54%
2-20.48%
Instituto
0-121.63%
0-26.10%
1-22.41%
0-31.15%
1-30.45%
0-40.16%