Defensa y Just at Independiente

Updated

Defensa y Just

28.2%29.3%42.4%
Defensa y Just WinDrawIndependiente Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.20
2Final Score 0

Independiente

Last 5 Games

Defensa y Just
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Newell's OB
W 2-0 at Gimnasia ELP
L 4-2 vs CA Huracan
W 1-3 vs Tucuman
W 2-1 at Colon
Independiente
Money Line
T 0-0 at Velez Sarsf
L 2-1 vs Platense
W 1-0 at Talleres
T 2-2 at Boca Juniors
T 2-2 vs Tigre

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Defensa y Just+250+284+270+292+301+292+301+311.4
Independiente+120+113+115+112+110+112+115+122.5
Draw+205+222+200+210+208+210+222+225.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Defensa y Just-----+311.4
Independiente-----+122.5
Draw-----+225.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Defensa y Just: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Defensa y Just: 20.0%
Independiente: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Defensa y Just: 10.0%
Independiente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Defensa y Just ML
No Steam Moves On Independiente ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-112o2-119o2-112o2-120o2-116o2-120o2-112o2-109
Underu2-108u2+101u2-108u2+100u2+101u2+100u2+101u2+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-109
Under-----u2+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.2%
 
No57.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.91%
Exactly 226.96%
Exactly 410.17%
Exactly 61.54%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.34%
Exactly 319.12%
Exactly 54.33%
Exactly 70.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Defensa y Just
Exactly 039.68%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 216.95%
Exactly 35.22%
Exactly 41.21%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 030.01%
Exactly 136.12%
Exactly 221.74%
Exactly 38.72%
Exactly 42.62%
Exactly 50.63%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.34%
Exactly 218.12%
Exactly 41.47%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.95%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Defensa y Just
Exactly 065.19%
Exactly 127.89%
Exactly 25.97%
Exactly 30.85%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 057.28%
Exactly 131.92%
Exactly 28.89%
Exactly 31.65%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Defensa y Just
Wins by 2+ goals9.82%
Wins by 3+ goals2.56%
Wins by 4+ goals0.51%
Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals18.48%
Wins by 3+ goals6.18%
Wins by 4+ goals1.64%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Defensa y Just
Independiente
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Defensa y Just
Wins by 1 goal18.38%
Wins by 2 goals7.25%
Wins by 3 goals2.05%
Wins by 4 goals0.44%
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal23.93%
Wins by 2 goals12.30%
Wins by 3 goals4.54%
Wins by 4 goals1.29%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.09%11.91%
1.562.75%37.25%
2.535.79%64.21%
3.516.66%83.34%
4.56.49%93.51%
5.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals Defensa y Just Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.32%39.68%
1.523.64%76.36%
2.56.69%93.31%
3.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.99%30.01%
1.533.87%66.13%
2.512.13%87.87%
3.53.41%96.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.66%37.34%
1.525.88%74.12%
2.57.76%92.24%
3.51.81%98.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

Defensa y Just
Independiente
Score012345
0
11.91%
14.33%
8.63%
3.46%
1.04%
0.25%
1
11.01%
13.25%
7.97%
3.20%
0.96%
0.23%
2
5.09%
6.12%
3.68%
1.48%
0.44%
0.11%
3
1.57%
1.89%
1.14%
0.46%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.36%
0.44%
0.26%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Defensa y Just
1-011.01%
2-05.09%
2-16.12%
3-01.57%
3-11.89%
3-21.14%
4-00.36%
4-10.44%
4-20.26%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-011.91%
1-113.25%
2-23.68%
3-30.46%
Independiente
0-114.33%
0-28.63%
1-27.97%
0-33.46%
1-33.20%
2-31.48%
0-41.04%
1-40.96%
2-40.44%
3-40.14%
0-50.25%
1-50.23%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Defensa y Just
Independiente
Score01234
0
37.34%
20.81%
5.80%
1.08%
0.15%
1
15.98%
8.90%
2.48%
0.46%
0.06%
2
3.42%
1.90%
0.53%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.49%
0.27%
0.08%
0.01%
0.00%
Defensa y Just
1-015.98%
2-03.42%
2-11.90%
3-00.49%
3-10.27%
Draw
0-037.34%
1-18.90%
2-20.53%
Independiente
0-120.81%
0-25.80%
1-22.48%
0-31.08%
1-30.46%
0-40.15%