Velez Sarsf at Patronato

Updated

Velez Sarsf

50.9%27.7%21.4%
Velez Sarsf WinDrawPatronato Win
1.38Projected Goals 0.79
1Final Score 1

Patronato

Last 5 Games

Velez Sarsf
Money Line
L 2-3 at Platense
T 0-0 vs Patronato
L 0-1 at Estudiantes
W 0-2 vs Argentinos Jun
T 1-1 at Talleres
Patronato
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Gimnasia ELP
T 0-0 at Velez Sarsf
L 3-0 vs Godoy Cruz
L 0-1 at CA Huracan
W 2-3 vs Lanus

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Velez Sarsf+142+125+128+124+122+128+128+133.3
Patronato+199+225+210+264+237+210+264+269.3
Draw+217+195+215+221+221+215+221+232.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Velez Sarsf-----+133.3
Patronato-----+269.3
Draw-----+232.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Velez Sarsf: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Patronato: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Velez Sarsf: 30.0%
Patronato: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Velez Sarsf: 0.0%
Patronato: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Velez Sarsf ML
No Steam Moves On Patronato ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110o2¼-105o2¼+105o2½+128-o2¼+105o2¼+105o2¼+104
Underu2¼-110u2¼-115u2¼-125u2½-143-u2¼-125u2½-143u2¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+104
Under-----u2¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.8%
 
No59.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.44%
Exactly 226.89%
Exactly 410.53%
Exactly 61.65%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.80%
Exactly 319.43%
Exactly 54.57%
Exactly 70.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 025.14%
Exactly 134.71%
Exactly 223.96%
Exactly 311.03%
Exactly 43.81%
Exactly 51.05%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Patronato
Exactly 045.50%
Exactly 135.83%
Exactly 214.11%
Exactly 33.70%
Exactly 40.73%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.65%
Exactly 218.46%
Exactly 41.55%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.18%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 052.77%
Exactly 133.73%
Exactly 210.78%
Exactly 32.30%
Exactly 40.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Patronato
Exactly 069.45%
Exactly 125.32%
Exactly 24.62%
Exactly 30.56%

Alternate Props

Spread

Velez Sarsf
Wins by 2+ goals24.78%
Wins by 3+ goals9.35%
Wins by 4+ goals2.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.67%
Patronato
Wins by 2+ goals6.48%
Wins by 3+ goals1.46%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Velez Sarsf
Patronato
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 1 goal26.08%
Wins by 2 goals15.43%
Wins by 3 goals6.54%
Wins by 4 goals2.14%
Wins by 5 goals0.56%
Patronato
Wins by 1 goal14.88%
Wins by 2 goals5.02%
Wins by 3 goals1.21%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.56%11.44%
1.563.76%36.24%
2.536.87%63.13%
3.517.44%82.56%
4.56.91%93.09%
5.52.34%97.66%

Total Goals Velez Sarsf Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.86%25.14%
1.540.14%59.86%
2.516.18%83.82%
3.55.16%94.84%
4.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Patronato Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.50%45.50%
1.518.67%81.33%
2.54.56%95.44%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.35%36.65%
1.526.56%73.44%
2.58.10%91.90%
3.51.92%98.08%

Score Props

Correct Score

Velez Sarsf
Patronato
Score01234
0
11.44%
9.01%
3.55%
0.93%
0.18%
1
15.79%
12.44%
4.90%
1.29%
0.25%
2
10.90%
8.59%
3.38%
0.89%
0.17%
3
5.02%
3.95%
1.56%
0.41%
0.08%
4
1.73%
1.36%
0.54%
0.14%
0.03%
5
0.48%
0.38%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Velez Sarsf
1-015.79%
2-010.90%
2-18.59%
3-05.02%
3-13.95%
3-21.56%
4-01.73%
4-11.36%
4-20.54%
4-30.14%
5-00.48%
5-10.38%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-011.44%
1-112.44%
2-23.38%
3-30.41%
Patronato
0-19.01%
0-23.55%
1-24.90%
0-30.93%
1-31.29%
2-30.89%
0-40.18%
1-40.25%
2-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Velez Sarsf
Patronato
Score0123
0
36.65%
13.36%
2.44%
0.30%
1
23.43%
8.54%
1.56%
0.19%
2
7.49%
2.73%
0.50%
0.06%
3
1.60%
0.58%
0.11%
0.01%
4
0.25%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Velez Sarsf
1-023.43%
2-07.49%
2-12.73%
3-01.60%
3-10.58%
3-20.11%
4-00.25%
Draw
0-036.65%
1-18.54%
2-20.50%
Patronato
0-113.36%
0-22.44%
1-21.56%
0-30.30%
1-30.19%