Defensa y Just at Velez Sarsf

Updated

Defensa y Just

19.6%25.4%55.0%
WinDrawVelez Sarsf Win
0.82Projected Goals 1.56
0Final Score 3

Velez Sarsf

Last 5 Games

Defensa y Just
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Platense
T 1-1 at Talleres
T 2-2 vs Boca Juniors
T 1-1 at Tucuman
T 0-0 vs Independiente
Velez Sarsf
Money Line
W 2-0 at CC Cordoba
W 2-0 at Platense
W 0-3 vs Talleres
L 0-1 at Boca Juniors
T 1-1 vs Tucuman

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Defensa y Just+380+332+340+370+356+370+370+393.3
Velez Sarsf-110-107-115-122-119-122-107-109.9
Draw+190+242+225+248+245+248+248+265.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Defensa y Just-----+393.3
Velez Sarsf------109.9
Draw-----+265.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Defensa y Just: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Velez Sarsf: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Defensa y Just: 0.0%
Velez Sarsf: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Defensa y Just: 10.0%
Velez Sarsf: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Defensa y Just ML
No Steam Moves On Velez Sarsf ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2+105o2½+117o2¼-110o2¼-103o2¼-108o2¼-103o2¼-103o2¼+106
Underu2-125u2½-138u2¼-110u2¼-117u2¼-112u2¼-117u2½-138u2¼-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+106
Under-----u2¼-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.1%
 
No55.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.26%
Exactly 226.22%
Exactly 412.36%
Exactly 62.33%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 122.04%
Exactly 320.79%
Exactly 55.88%
Exactly 70.79%
Exact Goals Scored - Defensa y Just
Exactly 044.20%
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 214.73%
Exactly 34.01%
Exactly 40.82%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 020.96%
Exactly 132.75%
Exactly 225.59%
Exactly 313.33%
Exactly 45.21%
Exactly 51.63%
Exactly 60.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.24%
Exactly 220.16%
Exactly 42.04%
 
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 37.40%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Defensa y Just
Exactly 068.52%
Exactly 125.90%
Exactly 24.90%
Exactly 30.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 048.51%
Exactly 135.09%
Exactly 212.69%
Exactly 33.06%
Exactly 40.55%

Alternate Props

Spread

Defensa y Just
Wins by 2+ goals6.02%
Wins by 3+ goals1.39%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 2+ goals28.99%
Wins by 3+ goals12.03%
Wins by 4+ goals4.01%
Wins by 5+ goals1.06%
Wins by 6+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Defensa y Just
Velez Sarsf
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Defensa y Just
Wins by 1 goal13.53%
Wins by 2 goals4.63%
Wins by 3 goals1.14%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 1 goal25.90%
Wins by 2 goals16.95%
Wins by 3 goals8.03%
Wins by 4 goals2.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.87%
Wins by 6 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.74%9.26%
1.568.70%31.30%
2.542.48%57.52%
3.521.69%78.31%
4.59.33%90.67%
5.53.44%96.56%
6.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Defensa y Just Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.80%44.20%
1.519.72%80.28%
2.54.98%95.02%

Total Goals Velez Sarsf Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.04%20.96%
1.546.29%53.71%
2.520.70%79.30%
3.57.37%92.63%
4.52.17%97.83%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.76%33.24%
1.530.15%69.85%
2.59.99%90.01%
3.52.59%97.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Defensa y Just
Velez Sarsf
Score012345
0
9.26%
14.48%
11.31%
5.89%
2.30%
0.72%
1
7.56%
11.82%
9.23%
4.81%
1.88%
0.59%
2
3.09%
4.83%
3.77%
1.96%
0.77%
0.24%
3
0.84%
1.31%
1.03%
0.53%
0.21%
0.07%
4
0.17%
0.27%
0.21%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Defensa y Just
1-07.56%
2-03.09%
2-14.83%
3-00.84%
3-11.31%
3-21.03%
4-00.17%
4-10.27%
4-20.21%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-09.26%
1-111.82%
2-23.77%
3-30.53%
Velez Sarsf
0-114.48%
0-211.31%
1-29.23%
0-35.89%
1-34.81%
2-31.96%
0-42.30%
1-41.88%
2-40.77%
3-40.21%
0-50.72%
1-50.59%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Defensa y Just
Velez Sarsf
Score01234
0
33.24%
24.05%
8.70%
2.10%
0.38%
1
12.57%
9.09%
3.29%
0.79%
0.14%
2
2.38%
1.72%
0.62%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.30%
0.22%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Defensa y Just
1-012.57%
2-02.38%
2-11.72%
3-00.30%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-033.24%
1-19.09%
2-20.62%
Velez Sarsf
0-124.05%
0-28.70%
1-23.29%
0-32.10%
1-30.79%
2-30.15%
0-40.38%
1-40.14%