Boca Juniors at Velez Sarsf

Updated

Boca Juniors

30.7%31.5%37.8%
Boca Juniors WinDrawVelez Sarsf Win
0.89Projected Goals 1.03
2Final Score 1

Velez Sarsf

Last 5 Games

Boca Juniors
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Platense
L 1-2 at Talleres
T 0-0 vs CC Cordoba
W 0-1 vs Tucuman
T 2-2 vs Independiente
Velez Sarsf
Money Line
T 1-1 at Tucuman
T 0-0 vs Independiente
L 0-1 at Newell's OB
W 1-3 vs Gimnasia ELP
W 1-3 vs CC Cordoba

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Boca Juniors+185+227+220+240+241+240+241+256.6
Velez Sarsf+160+155+145+150+153+150+155+162.2
Draw+200+193+195+182+193+182+195+195.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Boca Juniors-----+256.6
Velez Sarsf-----+162.2
Draw-----+195.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Boca Juniors: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Velez Sarsf: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Boca Juniors: 10.0%
Velez Sarsf: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Boca Juniors: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Boca Juniors: 10.0%
Velez Sarsf: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Boca Juniors ML
No Steam Moves On Velez Sarsf ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-112o2+110o1¾-122o1¾-122o2+115o1¾-122o2+115o1¾-111
Underu2-108u2-130u1¾+102u1¾+102u2-135u1¾+102u2-130u1¾+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o1¾-111
Under-----u1¾+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.0%
 
No62.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 014.63%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 48.32%
Exactly 61.02%
 
Exactly 128.12%
Exactly 317.31%
Exactly 53.20%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Boca Juniors
Exactly 040.88%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 216.36%
Exactly 34.88%
Exactly 41.09%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 035.80%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.89%
Exactly 36.47%
Exactly 41.66%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 041.07%
Exactly 216.26%
Exactly 41.07%
 
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 34.82%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Boca Juniors
Exactly 066.09%
Exactly 127.37%
Exactly 25.67%
Exactly 30.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 062.15%
Exactly 129.56%
Exactly 27.03%
Exactly 31.11%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Boca Juniors
Wins by 2+ goals10.58%
Wins by 3+ goals2.72%
Wins by 4+ goals0.53%
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 2+ goals14.63%
Wins by 3+ goals4.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.94%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsf
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Boca Juniors
Wins by 1 goal20.10%
Wins by 2 goals7.87%
Wins by 3 goals2.18%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 1 goal23.08%
Wins by 2 goals10.38%
Wins by 3 goals3.31%
Wins by 4 goals0.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.37%14.63%
1.557.24%42.76%
2.530.22%69.78%
3.512.91%87.09%
4.54.59%95.41%
5.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Boca Juniors Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.12%40.88%
1.522.55%77.45%
2.56.20%93.80%
3.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Velez Sarsf Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.20%35.80%
1.527.43%72.57%
2.58.54%91.46%
3.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.93%41.07%
1.522.38%77.62%
2.56.12%93.88%
3.51.30%98.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsf
Score01234
0
14.63%
15.03%
7.72%
2.64%
0.68%
1
13.09%
13.45%
6.91%
2.37%
0.61%
2
5.85%
6.01%
3.09%
1.06%
0.27%
3
1.75%
1.79%
0.92%
0.32%
0.08%
4
0.39%
0.40%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
Boca Juniors
1-013.09%
2-05.85%
2-16.01%
3-01.75%
3-11.79%
3-20.92%
4-00.39%
4-10.40%
4-20.21%
Draw
0-014.63%
1-113.45%
2-23.09%
3-30.32%
Velez Sarsf
0-115.03%
0-27.72%
1-26.91%
0-32.64%
1-32.37%
2-31.06%
0-40.68%
1-40.61%
2-40.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsf
Score0123
0
41.07%
19.54%
4.65%
0.74%
1
17.01%
8.09%
1.92%
0.31%
2
3.52%
1.68%
0.40%
0.06%
3
0.49%
0.23%
0.06%
0.01%
Boca Juniors
1-017.01%
2-03.52%
2-11.68%
3-00.49%
3-10.23%
Draw
0-041.07%
1-18.09%
2-20.40%
Velez Sarsf
0-119.54%
0-24.65%
1-21.92%
0-30.74%
1-30.31%
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