Boca Juniors at Independiente

Updated

Boca Juniors

34.5%32.5%32.9%
Boca Juniors WinDrawIndependiente Win
0.93Projected Goals 0.90
2Final Score 0

Independiente

Last 5 Games

Boca Juniors
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Newell's OB
W 3-1 at Gimnasia ELP
W 0-1 vs CA Huracan
T 0-0 at CA Union
W 0-2 vs Sarmiento
Independiente
Money Line
L 0-1 at Tucuman
W 1-0 at CC Cordoba
L 2-0 vs Newell's OB
T 1-1 at Gimnasia ELP
W 0-1 vs CA Huracan

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Boca Juniors+188+200+195+201+186+201+201+216.1
Independiente+186+194+185+190+206+190+206+204.6
Draw+192+172+165+168+174+168+174+181.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Boca Juniors-----+216.1
Independiente-----+204.6
Draw-----+181.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Boca Juniors: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Boca Juniors: 0.0%
Independiente: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Boca Juniors: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Boca Juniors: 0.0%
Independiente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Boca Juniors ML
No Steam Moves On Independiente ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2+116o1½-142o1¾-105o1¾-101o1¾-107o1¾-101o1¾-101o1¾+108
Underu2-138u1½+120u1¾-115u1¾-119u1¾-109u1¾-119u1¾-109u1¾-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o1¾+108
Under-----u1¾-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes36.0%
 
No64.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 016.01%
Exactly 226.87%
Exactly 47.52%
Exactly 60.84%
 
Exactly 129.33%
Exactly 316.41%
Exactly 52.75%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Boca Juniors
Exactly 039.42%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 217.08%
Exactly 35.30%
Exactly 41.23%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 040.61%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 216.49%
Exactly 34.95%
Exactly 41.12%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 042.81%
Exactly 215.41%
Exactly 40.92%
 
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 34.36%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Boca Juniors
Exactly 064.98%
Exactly 128.01%
Exactly 26.04%
Exactly 30.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 065.88%
Exactly 127.49%
Exactly 25.74%
Exactly 30.80%

Alternate Props

Spread

Boca Juniors
Wins by 2+ goals12.41%
Wins by 3+ goals3.32%
Wins by 4+ goals0.68%
Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals11.51%
Wins by 3+ goals2.99%
Wins by 4+ goals0.59%

Exact Winning Margin

Boca Juniors
Independiente
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Boca Juniors
Wins by 1 goal22.09%
Wins by 2 goals9.09%
Wins by 3 goals2.64%
Wins by 4 goals0.59%
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal21.38%
Wins by 2 goals8.52%
Wins by 3 goals2.40%
Wins by 4 goals0.51%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.99%16.01%
1.554.67%45.33%
2.527.80%72.20%
3.511.39%88.61%
4.53.88%96.12%
5.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Boca Juniors Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.58%39.42%
1.523.89%76.11%
2.56.81%93.19%
3.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.39%40.61%
1.522.80%77.20%
2.56.31%93.69%
3.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.19%42.81%
1.520.87%79.13%
2.55.46%94.54%
3.51.11%98.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Boca Juniors
Independiente
Score01234
0
16.01%
14.43%
6.50%
1.95%
0.44%
1
14.90%
13.43%
6.05%
1.82%
0.41%
2
6.94%
6.25%
2.82%
0.85%
0.19%
3
2.15%
1.94%
0.87%
0.26%
0.06%
4
0.50%
0.45%
0.20%
0.06%
0.01%
Boca Juniors
1-014.90%
2-06.94%
2-16.25%
3-02.15%
3-11.94%
3-20.87%
4-00.50%
4-10.45%
4-20.20%
Draw
0-016.01%
1-113.43%
2-22.82%
3-30.26%
Independiente
0-114.43%
0-26.50%
1-26.05%
0-31.95%
1-31.82%
2-30.85%
0-40.44%
1-40.41%
2-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Boca Juniors
Independiente
Score0123
0
42.81%
17.87%
3.73%
0.52%
1
18.45%
7.70%
1.61%
0.22%
2
3.98%
1.66%
0.35%
0.05%
3
0.57%
0.24%
0.05%
0.01%
Boca Juniors
1-018.45%
2-03.98%
2-11.66%
3-00.57%
3-10.24%
Draw
0-042.81%
1-17.70%
2-20.35%
Independiente
0-117.87%
0-23.73%
1-21.61%
0-30.52%
1-30.22%
Banfield at Sarmiento
San Lorenzo at Tigre