Independiente at Belgrano

Updated

Independiente

24.0%28.8%47.2%
Independiente WinDrawBelgrano Win
0.83Projected Goals 1.29
1Final Score 1

Belgrano

Last 5 Games

Independiente
Money Line
T 0-0 vs River Plate
T 0-0 at Racing Club
W 0-1 vs Rosario Cent
W 2-0 at Estudiantes
T 0-0 vs San Lorenzo
Belgrano
Money Line
T 0-0 at Newell's OB
L 1-0 vs Gimnasia ELP
L 0-1 at CA Huracan
T 1-1 vs CA Union
T 0-0 at Sarmiento

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+225-+175+183+179+183+183+197.3
Belgrano+145-+200+206+210+206+210+221.5
Draw+175-+160+170+170+170+170+183.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente-----+197.3
Belgrano-----+221.5
Draw-----+183.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Belgrano: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 0.0%
Belgrano: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
Belgrano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Belgrano ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo1¾-120-o1¾+105o1¾+106o1¾+102o1¾+106o1¾+106o1¾+115
Underu1¾+100-u1¾-125u1¾-126u1¾-124u1¾-126u1¾-124u1¾-115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o1¾+115
Under-----u1¾-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.8%
 
No59.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.03%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 410.08%
Exactly 61.51%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.48%
Exactly 319.04%
Exactly 54.27%
Exactly 70.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 043.64%
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 215.00%
Exactly 34.15%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Belgrano
Exactly 027.57%
Exactly 135.52%
Exactly 222.89%
Exactly 39.83%
Exactly 43.17%
Exactly 50.82%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.51%
Exactly 218.03%
Exactly 41.44%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.89%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 068.12%
Exactly 126.15%
Exactly 25.02%
Exactly 30.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Belgrano
Exactly 055.07%
Exactly 132.85%
Exactly 29.80%
Exactly 31.95%
Exactly 40.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals7.63%
Wins by 3+ goals1.81%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%
Belgrano
Wins by 2+ goals21.82%
Wins by 3+ goals7.76%
Wins by 4+ goals2.20%
Wins by 5+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Independiente
Belgrano
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal16.34%
Wins by 2 goals5.82%
Wins by 3 goals1.48%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Belgrano
Wins by 1 goal25.40%
Wins by 2 goals14.05%
Wins by 3 goals5.56%
Wins by 4 goals1.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.97%12.03%
1.562.50%37.50%
2.535.52%64.48%
3.516.47%83.53%
4.56.39%93.61%
5.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.36%43.64%
1.520.18%79.82%
2.55.17%94.83%
3.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Belgrano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.43%27.57%
1.536.91%63.09%
2.514.03%85.97%
3.54.20%95.80%
4.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.49%37.51%
1.525.71%74.29%
2.57.68%92.32%
3.51.78%98.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

Independiente
Belgrano
Score012345
0
12.03%
15.50%
9.99%
4.29%
1.38%
0.36%
1
9.98%
12.85%
8.28%
3.56%
1.15%
0.30%
2
4.14%
5.33%
3.43%
1.47%
0.48%
0.12%
3
1.14%
1.47%
0.95%
0.41%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.24%
0.31%
0.20%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Independiente
1-09.98%
2-04.14%
2-15.33%
3-01.14%
3-11.47%
3-20.95%
4-00.24%
4-10.31%
4-20.20%
Draw
0-012.03%
1-112.85%
2-23.43%
3-30.41%
Belgrano
0-115.50%
0-29.99%
1-28.28%
0-34.29%
1-33.56%
2-31.47%
0-41.38%
1-41.15%
2-40.48%
3-40.13%
0-50.36%
1-50.30%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Independiente
Belgrano
Score01234
0
37.51%
22.38%
6.68%
1.33%
0.20%
1
14.40%
8.59%
2.56%
0.51%
0.08%
2
2.77%
1.65%
0.49%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.35%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Independiente
1-014.40%
2-02.77%
2-11.65%
3-00.35%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-037.51%
1-18.59%
2-20.49%
Belgrano
0-122.38%
0-26.68%
1-22.56%
0-31.33%
1-30.51%
0-40.20%