Independiente at Belgrano

Updated

Independiente

24.0%28.8%47.2%
Independiente WinDrawBelgrano Win
0.83Projected Goals 1.29
1Final Score 1

Belgrano

Last 5 Games

Independiente
Money Line
T 0-0 vs River Plate
T 0-0 at Racing Club
W 0-1 vs Rosario Cent
W 2-0 at Estudiantes
T 0-0 vs San Lorenzo
Belgrano
Money Line
T 0-0 at Newell's OB
L 1-0 vs Gimnasia ELP
L 0-1 at CA Huracan
T 1-1 vs CA Union
T 0-0 at Sarmiento

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+225-+175+183+179+183+183+197.3
Belgrano+145-+200+206+210+206+210+221.5
Draw+175-+160+170+170+170+170+183.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente-----+197.3
Belgrano-----+221.5
Draw-----+183.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Belgrano: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 0.0%
Belgrano: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Independiente: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
Belgrano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Belgrano ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo1¾-120-o1¾+105o1¾+106o1¾+102o1¾+106o1¾+106o1¾+115
Underu1¾+100-u1¾-125u1¾-126u1¾-124u1¾-126u1¾-124u1¾-115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o1¾+115
Under-----u1¾-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.8%
 
No59.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.03%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 410.08%
Exactly 61.51%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.48%
Exactly 319.04%
Exactly 54.27%
Exactly 70.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 043.64%
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 215.00%
Exactly 34.15%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Belgrano
Exactly 027.57%
Exactly 135.52%
Exactly 222.89%
Exactly 39.83%
Exactly 43.17%
Exactly 50.82%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.51%
Exactly 218.03%
Exactly 41.44%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.89%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 068.12%
Exactly 126.15%
Exactly 25.02%
Exactly 30.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Belgrano
Exactly 055.07%
Exactly 132.85%
Exactly 29.80%
Exactly 31.95%
Exactly 40.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals7.63%
Wins by 3+ goals1.81%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%
Belgrano
Wins by 2+ goals21.82%
Wins by 3+ goals7.76%
Wins by 4+ goals2.20%
Wins by 5+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Independiente
Belgrano
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal16.34%
Wins by 2 goals5.82%
Wins by 3 goals1.48%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Belgrano
Wins by 1 goal25.40%
Wins by 2 goals14.05%
Wins by 3 goals5.56%
Wins by 4 goals1.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.97%12.03%
1.562.50%37.50%
2.535.52%64.48%
3.516.47%83.53%
4.56.39%93.61%
5.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.36%43.64%
1.520.18%79.82%
2.55.17%94.83%
3.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Belgrano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.43%27.57%
1.536.91%63.09%
2.514.03%85.97%
3.54.20%95.80%
4.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.49%37.51%
1.525.71%74.29%
2.57.68%92.32%
3.51.78%98.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

Independiente
Belgrano
Score012345
0
12.03%
15.50%
9.99%
4.29%
1.38%
0.36%
1
9.98%
12.85%
8.28%
3.56%
1.15%
0.30%
2
4.14%
5.33%
3.43%
1.47%
0.48%
0.12%
3
1.14%
1.47%
0.95%
0.41%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.24%
0.31%
0.20%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Independiente
1-09.98%
2-04.14%
2-15.33%
3-01.14%
3-11.47%
3-20.95%
4-00.24%
4-10.31%
4-20.20%
Draw
0-012.03%
1-112.85%
2-23.43%
3-30.41%
Belgrano
0-115.50%
0-29.99%
1-28.28%
0-34.29%
1-33.56%
2-31.47%
0-41.38%
1-41.15%
2-40.48%
3-40.13%
0-50.36%
1-50.30%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Independiente
Belgrano
Score01234
0
37.51%
22.38%
6.68%
1.33%
0.20%
1
14.40%
8.59%
2.56%
0.51%
0.08%
2
2.77%
1.65%
0.49%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.35%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Independiente
1-014.40%
2-02.77%
2-11.65%
3-00.35%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-037.51%
1-18.59%
2-20.49%
Belgrano
0-122.38%
0-26.68%
1-22.56%
0-31.33%
1-30.51%
0-40.20%
Gimnasia ELP at Tigre
Sarmiento at Godoy Cruz