Estudiantes at Velez Sarsf

Updated

Estudiantes

26.8%28.5%44.7%
Estudiantes WinDrawVelez Sarsf Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.28
0Final Score 2

Velez Sarsf

Last 5 Games

Estudiantes
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Platense
L 0-1 at Talleres
T 1-1 vs Boca Juniors
L 0-2 at Tucuman
L 2-0 vs Independiente
Velez Sarsf
Money Line
W 1-0 at San Lorenzo
W 0-4 vs Independiente Rivadavia
W 5-0 at Barracas Central
W 0-1 vs Instituto
T 2-2 at Banfield

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estudiantes+380-+320+425+424+410+424+435.7
Velez Sarsf-120--105-129-129-126-105-113.1
Draw+215-+205+237+236+237+237+254.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estudiantes-----+435.7
Velez Sarsf------113.1
Draw-----+254.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estudiantes: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Velez Sarsf: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estudiantes: 30.0%
Velez Sarsf: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estudiantes: 0.0%
Velez Sarsf: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estudiantes ML
No Steam Moves On Velez Sarsf ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-128-o2-118o2-124o2-123o2-124o2-118o2-113
Underu2+108-u2-102u2+104u2+101u2+104u2+104u2+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-113
Under-----u2+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.6%
 
No56.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.01%
Exactly 226.80%
Exactly 410.87%
Exactly 61.76%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.30%
Exactly 319.71%
Exactly 54.80%
Exactly 70.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Estudiantes
Exactly 039.67%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 216.95%
Exactly 35.22%
Exactly 41.21%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 027.76%
Exactly 135.58%
Exactly 222.80%
Exactly 39.74%
Exactly 43.12%
Exactly 50.80%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.01%
Exactly 218.78%
Exactly 41.63%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.40%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estudiantes
Exactly 065.18%
Exactly 127.90%
Exactly 25.97%
Exactly 30.85%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Velez Sarsf
Exactly 055.24%
Exactly 132.78%
Exactly 29.73%
Exactly 31.92%
Exactly 40.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estudiantes
Wins by 2+ goals9.27%
Wins by 3+ goals2.41%
Wins by 4+ goals0.48%
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 2+ goals20.35%
Wins by 3+ goals7.16%
Wins by 4+ goals2.01%
Wins by 5+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Estudiantes
Velez Sarsf
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Estudiantes
Wins by 1 goal17.53%
Wins by 2 goals6.86%
Wins by 3 goals1.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%
Velez Sarsf
Wins by 1 goal24.30%
Wins by 2 goals13.19%
Wins by 3 goals5.15%
Wins by 4 goals1.56%
Wins by 5 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.99%11.01%
1.564.69%35.31%
2.537.89%62.11%
3.518.19%81.81%
4.57.32%92.68%
5.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals Estudiantes Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.33%39.67%
1.523.65%76.35%
2.56.69%93.31%
3.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals Velez Sarsf Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.24%27.76%
1.536.67%63.33%
2.513.87%86.13%
3.54.13%95.87%
4.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.99%36.01%
1.527.21%72.79%
2.58.43%91.57%
3.52.03%97.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estudiantes
Velez Sarsf
Score012345
0
11.01%
14.11%
9.05%
3.86%
1.24%
0.32%
1
10.18%
13.05%
8.36%
3.57%
1.14%
0.29%
2
4.71%
6.03%
3.87%
1.65%
0.53%
0.14%
3
1.45%
1.86%
1.19%
0.51%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.34%
0.43%
0.28%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Estudiantes
1-010.18%
2-04.71%
2-16.03%
3-01.45%
3-11.86%
3-21.19%
4-00.34%
4-10.43%
4-20.28%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-011.01%
1-113.05%
2-23.87%
3-30.51%
Velez Sarsf
0-114.11%
0-29.05%
1-28.36%
0-33.86%
1-33.57%
2-31.65%
0-41.24%
1-41.14%
2-40.53%
3-40.16%
0-50.32%
1-50.29%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Estudiantes
Velez Sarsf
Score01234
0
36.01%
21.37%
6.34%
1.25%
0.19%
1
15.41%
9.15%
2.71%
0.54%
0.08%
2
3.30%
1.96%
0.58%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.47%
0.28%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Estudiantes
1-015.41%
2-03.30%
2-11.96%
3-00.47%
3-10.28%
Draw
0-036.01%
1-19.15%
2-20.58%
Velez Sarsf
0-121.37%
0-26.34%
1-22.71%
0-31.25%
1-30.54%
2-30.11%
0-40.19%