Sarmiento at Independiente

Updated

Sarmiento

18.4%20.2%61.4%
WinDrawIndependiente Win
0.57Projected Goals 1.92
1Final Score 1

Independiente

Last 5 Games

Sarmiento
Money Line
L 4-3 vs CA Union
W 0-3 vs Aldosivi
W 1-0 at Gimnasia ELP
L 1-0 vs Velez Sarsf
T 1-1 at Godoy Cruz
Independiente
Money Line
L 0-1 at Aldosivi
T 1-1 vs Gimnasia ELP
T 3-3 at Velez Sarsf
L 4-1 vs Godoy Cruz
W 1-0 at CA Huracan

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sarmiento+380+425+400+493+455+400+493+514.6
Independiente-140-140-145-136-151-145-136-125.2
Draw+245+230+250+243+259+250+259+255.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sarmiento-----+514.6
Independiente------125.2
Draw-----+255.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sarmiento: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sarmiento: 0.0%
Independiente: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sarmiento: 0.0%
Independiente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sarmiento ML
No Steam Moves On Independiente ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100o2-122o2¼+105o2-120-o2¼+105o2-120o2-111
Underu2¼-120u2+102u2¼-125u2+104-u2¼-125u2¼-125u2+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-111
Under-----u2+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes37.2%
 
No62.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.29%
Exactly 225.70%
Exactly 413.28%
Exactly 62.75%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.64%
Exactly 321.33%
Exactly 56.62%
Exactly 70.98%
Exact Goals Scored - Sarmiento
Exactly 056.36%
Exactly 132.32%
Exactly 29.26%
Exactly 31.77%
Exactly 40.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 014.71%
Exactly 128.19%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 317.26%
Exactly 48.27%
Exactly 53.17%
Exactly 61.01%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.57%
Exactly 220.98%
Exactly 42.32%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 38.06%
Exactly 50.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sarmiento
Exactly 076.69%
Exactly 120.36%
Exactly 22.70%
Exactly 30.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 041.17%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 216.21%
Exactly 34.80%
Exactly 41.06%
Exactly 50.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sarmiento
Wins by 2+ goals2.30%
Wins by 3+ goals0.37%
Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals43.10%
Wins by 3+ goals21.46%
Wins by 4+ goals8.75%
Wins by 5+ goals2.96%
Wins by 6+ goals0.82%
Wins by 7+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Sarmiento
Independiente
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Sarmiento
Wins by 1 goal7.89%
Wins by 2 goals1.93%
Wins by 3 goals0.33%
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal26.37%
Wins by 2 goals21.63%
Wins by 3 goals12.72%
Wins by 4 goals5.79%
Wins by 5 goals2.14%
Wins by 6 goals0.66%
Wins by 7 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.71%8.29%
1.571.07%28.93%
2.545.37%54.63%
3.524.03%75.97%
4.510.75%89.25%
5.54.14%95.86%
6.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Sarmiento Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.64%56.36%
1.511.32%88.68%
2.52.06%97.94%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.29%14.71%
1.557.10%42.90%
2.530.08%69.92%
3.512.82%87.18%
4.54.55%95.45%
5.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.43%31.57%
1.532.03%67.97%
2.511.05%88.95%
3.52.98%97.02%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sarmiento
Independiente
Score012345
0
8.29%
15.89%
15.23%
9.73%
4.66%
1.79%
1
4.75%
9.11%
8.73%
5.58%
2.67%
1.03%
2
1.36%
2.61%
2.50%
1.60%
0.77%
0.29%
3
0.26%
0.50%
0.48%
0.31%
0.15%
0.06%
Sarmiento
1-04.75%
2-01.36%
2-12.61%
3-00.26%
3-10.50%
3-20.48%
Draw
0-08.29%
1-19.11%
2-22.50%
3-30.31%
Independiente
0-115.89%
0-215.23%
1-28.73%
0-39.73%
1-35.58%
2-31.60%
0-44.66%
1-42.67%
2-40.77%
3-40.15%
0-51.79%
1-51.03%
2-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Sarmiento
Independiente
Score012345
0
31.57%
28.02%
12.43%
3.68%
0.82%
0.14%
1
8.38%
7.44%
3.30%
0.98%
0.22%
0.04%
2
1.11%
0.99%
0.44%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Sarmiento
1-08.38%
2-01.11%
2-10.99%
Draw
0-031.57%
1-17.44%
2-20.44%
Independiente
0-128.02%
0-212.43%
1-23.30%
0-33.68%
1-30.98%
2-30.13%
0-40.82%
1-40.22%
0-50.14%