Sao Paulo at America (MG)

Updated

Sao Paulo

35.5%31.0%33.5%
Sao Paulo WinDrawAmerica (MG) Win
1.01Projected Goals 0.97
1Final Score 2

America (MG)

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Botafogo RJ
T 1-1 at Flamengo
L 2-0 vs Atletico Mineiro
T 0-0 vs Bahia
L 1-2 at Cuiaba
America (MG)
Money Line
L 1-3 at Fluminense
L 1-0 vs Goias
L 1-3 at Bahia
L 4-1 vs Palmeiras
T 1-1 at Flamengo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+173+176+175+175+142+175+176+188.4
America (MG)+173+165+165+165+203+165+203+177.9
Draw+225+232+230+225+224+225+232+240.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+188.4
America (MG)-----+177.9
Draw-----+240.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
America (MG): 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
America (MG): 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sao Paulo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
America (MG): 80.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On America (MG) ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-140o2½+111o2¼-115o2¼-120o2¼-118o2¼-120o2¼-115o2¼-109
Underu2+118u2½-131u2¼-105u2¼+100u2¼-102u2¼+100u2½-131u2¼+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-109
Under-----u2¼+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.5%
 
No60.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 013.79%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 48.85%
Exactly 61.16%
 
Exactly 127.32%
Exactly 317.87%
Exactly 53.51%
Exactly 70.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 036.41%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.58%
Exactly 36.26%
Exactly 41.58%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - America (MG)
Exactly 037.87%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.85%
Exactly 35.78%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 039.96%
Exactly 216.81%
Exactly 41.18%
 
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 35.14%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 062.64%
Exactly 129.30%
Exactly 26.85%
Exactly 31.07%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - America (MG)
Exactly 063.79%
Exactly 128.68%
Exactly 26.45%
Exactly 30.97%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals13.48%
Wins by 3+ goals3.84%
Wins by 4+ goals0.84%
America (MG)
Wins by 2+ goals12.28%
Wins by 3+ goals3.38%
Wins by 4+ goals0.71%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
America (MG)
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal21.98%
Wins by 2 goals9.64%
Wins by 3 goals3.01%
Wins by 4 goals0.72%
America (MG)
Wins by 1 goal21.12%
Wins by 2 goals8.90%
Wins by 3 goals2.67%
Wins by 4 goals0.61%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.21%13.79%
1.558.89%41.11%
2.531.82%68.18%
3.513.95%86.05%
4.55.10%94.90%
5.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.59%36.41%
1.526.80%73.20%
2.58.22%91.78%
3.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals America (MG) Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.13%37.87%
1.525.36%74.64%
2.57.50%92.50%
3.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.04%39.96%
1.523.38%76.62%
2.56.57%93.43%
3.51.43%98.57%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
America (MG)
Score01234
0
13.79%
13.39%
6.50%
2.10%
0.51%
1
13.93%
13.53%
6.57%
2.13%
0.52%
2
7.04%
6.83%
3.32%
1.07%
0.26%
3
2.37%
2.30%
1.12%
0.36%
0.09%
4
0.60%
0.58%
0.28%
0.09%
0.02%
Sao Paulo
1-013.93%
2-07.04%
2-16.83%
3-02.37%
3-12.30%
3-21.12%
4-00.60%
4-10.58%
4-20.28%
Draw
0-013.79%
1-113.53%
2-23.32%
3-30.36%
America (MG)
0-113.39%
0-26.50%
1-26.57%
0-32.10%
1-32.13%
2-31.07%
0-40.51%
1-40.52%
2-40.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
America (MG)
Score0123
0
39.96%
17.96%
4.04%
0.61%
1
18.69%
8.40%
1.89%
0.28%
2
4.37%
1.96%
0.44%
0.07%
3
0.68%
0.31%
0.07%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-018.69%
2-04.37%
2-11.96%
3-00.68%
3-10.31%
Draw
0-039.96%
1-18.40%
2-20.44%
America (MG)
0-117.96%
0-24.04%
1-21.89%
0-30.61%
1-30.28%
Cuiaba at Bragantino
Bahia at Botafogo RJ