Palmeiras at America (MG)

Updated

Palmeiras

53.6%25.6%20.8%
Palmeiras WinDrawAmerica (MG) Win
1.54Projected Goals 0.86
4Final Score 1

America (MG)

Last 5 Games

Palmeiras
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Fortaleza
T 0-0 at Internacional
T 1-1 vs Flamengo
T 2-2 at Athletico Paranaense
L 1-0 vs Botafogo RJ
America (MG)
Money Line
T 1-1 at Flamengo
L 1-3 at Coritiba
T 2-2 at Atletico Mineiro
L 2-1 vs Internacional
L 1-3 at Gremio

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras+100+114+110+102+116+102+116+112.2
America (MG)+270+256+250+283+238+283+283+302.3
Draw+250+242+245+240+241+240+245+257.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras-----+112.2
America (MG)-----+302.3
Draw-----+257.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
America (MG): 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 20.0%
America (MG): 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 0.0%
America (MG): 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On America (MG) ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-112o2½+110o2¼-112o2¼-118o2¼-123o2¼-118o2¼-112o2¼-107
Underu2¼-108u2½-130u2¼-108u2¼-102u2¼+101u2¼-102u2½-130u2¼+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-107
Under-----u2¼+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.3%
 
No54.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.04%
Exactly 226.11%
Exactly 412.57%
Exactly 62.42%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.73%
Exactly 320.92%
Exactly 56.04%
Exactly 70.83%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 021.28%
Exactly 132.93%
Exactly 225.48%
Exactly 313.14%
Exactly 45.09%
Exactly 51.57%
Exactly 60.41%
Exact Goals Scored - America (MG)
Exactly 042.50%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 215.56%
Exactly 34.44%
Exactly 40.95%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.87%
Exactly 220.35%
Exactly 42.10%
 
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 37.55%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 048.84%
Exactly 135.00%
Exactly 212.54%
Exactly 32.99%
Exactly 40.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - America (MG)
Exactly 067.29%
Exactly 126.66%
Exactly 25.28%
Exactly 30.70%

Alternate Props

Spread

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals27.96%
Wins by 3+ goals11.48%
Wins by 4+ goals3.79%
Wins by 5+ goals0.99%
America (MG)
Wins by 2+ goals6.62%
Wins by 3+ goals1.59%
Wins by 4+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Palmeiras
America (MG)
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal25.55%
Wins by 2 goals16.47%
Wins by 3 goals7.70%
Wins by 4 goals2.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.82%
America (MG)
Wins by 1 goal14.12%
Wins by 2 goals5.03%
Wins by 3 goals1.30%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.96%9.04%
1.569.23%30.77%
2.543.11%56.89%
3.522.20%77.80%
4.59.63%90.37%
5.53.59%96.41%
6.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.72%21.28%
1.545.80%54.20%
2.520.32%79.68%
3.57.18%92.82%
4.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals America (MG) Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.50%42.50%
1.521.13%78.87%
2.55.58%94.42%
3.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.13%32.87%
1.530.56%69.44%
2.510.22%89.78%
3.52.67%97.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

Palmeiras
America (MG)
Score01234
0
9.04%
7.74%
3.31%
0.94%
0.20%
1
13.99%
11.97%
5.12%
1.46%
0.31%
2
10.83%
9.27%
3.96%
1.13%
0.24%
3
5.59%
4.78%
2.04%
0.58%
0.12%
4
2.16%
1.85%
0.79%
0.23%
0.05%
5
0.67%
0.57%
0.24%
0.07%
0.01%
Palmeiras
1-013.99%
2-010.83%
2-19.27%
3-05.59%
3-14.78%
3-22.04%
4-02.16%
4-11.85%
4-20.79%
4-30.23%
5-00.67%
5-10.57%
5-20.24%
Draw
0-09.04%
1-111.97%
2-23.96%
3-30.58%
America (MG)
0-17.74%
0-23.31%
1-25.12%
0-30.94%
1-31.46%
2-31.13%
0-40.20%
1-40.31%
2-40.24%
3-40.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Palmeiras
America (MG)
Score0123
0
32.87%
13.02%
2.58%
0.34%
1
23.55%
9.33%
1.85%
0.24%
2
8.44%
3.34%
0.66%
0.09%
3
2.02%
0.80%
0.16%
0.02%
4
0.36%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
Palmeiras
1-023.55%
2-08.44%
2-13.34%
3-02.02%
3-10.80%
3-20.16%
4-00.36%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-032.87%
1-19.33%
2-20.66%
America (MG)
0-113.02%
0-22.58%
1-21.85%
0-30.34%
1-30.24%