Palmeiras at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Palmeiras

39.6%29.7%30.7%
Palmeiras WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
1.14Projected Goals 0.97
2Final Score 2

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Palmeiras
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Botafogo RJ
L 0-1 at Bahia
W 2-0 at Sao Paulo
W 1-3 vs Coritiba
T 1-1 at Atletico Mineiro
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Corinthians
L 1-2 at Sao Paulo
T 2-2 at America (MG)
W 0-1 vs Botafogo RJ
L 2-1 vs Gremio

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-6.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras+120-+245+220+156+220+245+236.0
Athletico Paranaense+255-+125+138+194+138+194+149.9
Draw+215-+220+215+222+215+222+230.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras-----+236.0
Athletico Paranaense-----+149.9
Draw-----+230.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 30.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 90.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105-o2¼+105o2¼+105o2¼-103o2¼+105o2¼+105o2¼+114
Underu2¼-115-u2¼-119u2¼-125u2¼-113u2¼-125u2¼-113u2¼-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+114
Under-----u2¼-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.3%
 
No57.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.08%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 410.04%
Exactly 61.49%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.54%
Exactly 319.01%
Exactly 54.24%
Exactly 70.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 031.87%
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 220.84%
Exactly 37.94%
Exactly 42.27%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 037.92%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.83%
Exactly 35.76%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.59%
Exactly 217.99%
Exactly 41.44%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.87%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 058.89%
Exactly 131.18%
Exactly 28.25%
Exactly 31.46%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 063.82%
Exactly 128.66%
Exactly 26.43%
Exactly 30.96%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals16.44%
Wins by 3+ goals5.19%
Wins by 4+ goals1.25%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals11.13%
Wins by 3+ goals3.03%
Wins by 4+ goals0.63%

Exact Winning Margin

Palmeiras
Athletico Paranaense
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal23.03%
Wins by 2 goals11.26%
Wins by 3 goals3.94%
Wins by 4 goals1.05%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal19.54%
Wins by 2 goals8.10%
Wins by 3 goals2.40%
Wins by 4 goals0.54%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.92%12.08%
1.562.38%37.62%
2.535.40%64.60%
3.516.39%83.61%
4.56.35%93.65%
5.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.13%31.87%
1.531.69%68.31%
2.510.85%89.15%
3.52.91%97.09%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.08%37.92%
1.525.31%74.69%
2.57.48%92.52%
3.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.41%37.59%
1.525.63%74.37%
2.57.64%92.36%
3.51.77%98.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

Palmeiras
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
12.08%
11.72%
5.68%
1.84%
0.45%
1
13.82%
13.40%
6.50%
2.10%
0.51%
2
7.90%
7.66%
3.72%
1.20%
0.29%
3
3.01%
2.92%
1.42%
0.46%
0.11%
4
0.86%
0.83%
0.40%
0.13%
0.03%
5
0.20%
0.19%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Palmeiras
1-013.82%
2-07.90%
2-17.66%
3-03.01%
3-12.92%
3-21.42%
4-00.86%
4-10.83%
4-20.40%
4-30.13%
5-00.20%
5-10.19%
Draw
0-012.08%
1-113.40%
2-23.72%
3-30.46%
Athletico Paranaense
0-111.72%
0-25.68%
1-26.50%
0-31.84%
1-32.10%
2-31.20%
0-40.45%
1-40.51%
2-40.29%
3-40.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Palmeiras
Athletico Paranaense
Score0123
0
37.59%
16.88%
3.79%
0.57%
1
19.90%
8.94%
2.01%
0.30%
2
5.27%
2.37%
0.53%
0.08%
3
0.93%
0.42%
0.09%
0.01%
4
0.12%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Palmeiras
1-019.90%
2-05.27%
2-12.37%
3-00.93%
3-10.42%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-037.59%
1-18.94%
2-20.53%
Athletico Paranaense
0-116.88%
0-23.79%
1-22.01%
0-30.57%
1-30.30%
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