Palmeiras at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Palmeiras

39.6%29.7%30.7%
Palmeiras WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
1.14Projected Goals 0.97
2Final Score 2

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Palmeiras
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Botafogo RJ
L 0-1 at Bahia
W 2-0 at Sao Paulo
W 1-3 vs Coritiba
T 1-1 at Atletico Mineiro
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Corinthians
L 1-2 at Sao Paulo
T 2-2 at America (MG)
W 0-1 vs Botafogo RJ
L 2-1 vs Gremio

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-6.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras+120-+245+220+156+220+245+236.0
Athletico Paranaense+255-+125+138+194+138+194+149.9
Draw+215-+220+215+222+215+222+230.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras-----+236.0
Athletico Paranaense-----+149.9
Draw-----+230.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 30.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 90.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105-o2¼+105o2¼+105o2¼-103o2¼+105o2¼+105o2¼+114
Underu2¼-115-u2¼-119u2¼-125u2¼-113u2¼-125u2¼-113u2¼-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+114
Under-----u2¼-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.3%
 
No57.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.08%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 410.04%
Exactly 61.49%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.54%
Exactly 319.01%
Exactly 54.24%
Exactly 70.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 031.87%
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 220.84%
Exactly 37.94%
Exactly 42.27%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 037.92%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.83%
Exactly 35.76%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.59%
Exactly 217.99%
Exactly 41.44%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.87%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 058.89%
Exactly 131.18%
Exactly 28.25%
Exactly 31.46%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 063.82%
Exactly 128.66%
Exactly 26.43%
Exactly 30.96%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals16.44%
Wins by 3+ goals5.19%
Wins by 4+ goals1.25%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals11.13%
Wins by 3+ goals3.03%
Wins by 4+ goals0.63%

Exact Winning Margin

Palmeiras
Athletico Paranaense
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal23.03%
Wins by 2 goals11.26%
Wins by 3 goals3.94%
Wins by 4 goals1.05%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal19.54%
Wins by 2 goals8.10%
Wins by 3 goals2.40%
Wins by 4 goals0.54%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.92%12.08%
1.562.38%37.62%
2.535.40%64.60%
3.516.39%83.61%
4.56.35%93.65%
5.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.13%31.87%
1.531.69%68.31%
2.510.85%89.15%
3.52.91%97.09%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.08%37.92%
1.525.31%74.69%
2.57.48%92.52%
3.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.41%37.59%
1.525.63%74.37%
2.57.64%92.36%
3.51.77%98.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

Palmeiras
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
12.08%
11.72%
5.68%
1.84%
0.45%
1
13.82%
13.40%
6.50%
2.10%
0.51%
2
7.90%
7.66%
3.72%
1.20%
0.29%
3
3.01%
2.92%
1.42%
0.46%
0.11%
4
0.86%
0.83%
0.40%
0.13%
0.03%
5
0.20%
0.19%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Palmeiras
1-013.82%
2-07.90%
2-17.66%
3-03.01%
3-12.92%
3-21.42%
4-00.86%
4-10.83%
4-20.40%
4-30.13%
5-00.20%
5-10.19%
Draw
0-012.08%
1-113.40%
2-23.72%
3-30.46%
Athletico Paranaense
0-111.72%
0-25.68%
1-26.50%
0-31.84%
1-32.10%
2-31.20%
0-40.45%
1-40.51%
2-40.29%
3-40.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Palmeiras
Athletico Paranaense
Score0123
0
37.59%
16.88%
3.79%
0.57%
1
19.90%
8.94%
2.01%
0.30%
2
5.27%
2.37%
0.53%
0.08%
3
0.93%
0.42%
0.09%
0.01%
4
0.12%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Palmeiras
1-019.90%
2-05.27%
2-12.37%
3-00.93%
3-10.42%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-037.59%
1-18.94%
2-20.53%
Athletico Paranaense
0-116.88%
0-23.79%
1-22.01%
0-30.57%
1-30.30%