Gremio at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Gremio

27.7%28.8%43.5%
Gremio WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.25
2Final Score 1

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Internacional
T 0-0 vs Fortaleza
L 1-4 at Palmeiras
T 3-3 vs Bragantino
W 2-1 at Cuiaba
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
L 0-2 at Bragantino
W 2-3 vs Coritiba
W 2-0 at Internacional
W 1-2 vs Flamengo
L 1-2 at Atletico Mineiro

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+250-+460+478+485+478+485+506.4
Athletico Paranaense+110--160-163-151-163-151-144.3
Draw+245-+290+290+285+290+290+309.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-----+506.4
Athletico Paranaense------144.3
Draw-----+309.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 50.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Gremio: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118-o2¼-118o2½+100o2½+109o2½+100o2¼-118o2½+109
Underu2¼-102-u2¼-102u2½-120u2½-129u2½-120u2½-120u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.3%
 
No56.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.25%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 410.68%
Exactly 61.70%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.58%
Exactly 319.55%
Exactly 54.66%
Exactly 70.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 039.26%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.16%
Exactly 35.35%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 028.67%
Exactly 135.82%
Exactly 222.38%
Exactly 39.32%
Exactly 42.91%
Exactly 50.73%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.37%
Exactly 218.60%
Exactly 41.59%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.27%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 064.86%
Exactly 128.08%
Exactly 26.08%
Exactly 30.88%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 056.08%
Exactly 132.44%
Exactly 29.38%
Exactly 31.81%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals9.68%
Wins by 3+ goals2.54%
Wins by 4+ goals0.51%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals19.44%
Wins by 3+ goals6.70%
Wins by 4+ goals1.84%
Wins by 5+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Athletico Paranaense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal17.99%
Wins by 2 goals7.14%
Wins by 3 goals2.03%
Wins by 4 goals0.44%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal24.04%
Wins by 2 goals12.74%
Wins by 3 goals4.86%
Wins by 4 goals1.44%
Wins by 5 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.75%11.25%
1.564.16%35.84%
2.537.31%62.69%
3.517.76%82.24%
4.57.08%92.92%
5.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.74%39.26%
1.524.04%75.96%
2.56.88%93.12%
3.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.33%28.67%
1.535.51%64.49%
2.513.14%86.86%
3.53.82%96.18%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.63%36.37%
1.526.84%73.16%
2.58.24%91.76%
3.51.97%98.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
11.25%
14.06%
8.78%
3.66%
1.14%
0.29%
1
10.52%
13.15%
8.21%
3.42%
1.07%
0.27%
2
4.92%
6.15%
3.84%
1.60%
0.50%
0.12%
3
1.53%
1.92%
1.20%
0.50%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.36%
0.45%
0.28%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Gremio
1-010.52%
2-04.92%
2-16.15%
3-01.53%
3-11.92%
3-21.20%
4-00.36%
4-10.45%
4-20.28%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-011.25%
1-113.15%
2-23.84%
3-30.50%
Athletico Paranaense
0-114.06%
0-28.78%
1-28.21%
0-33.66%
1-33.42%
2-31.60%
0-41.14%
1-41.07%
2-40.50%
3-40.16%
0-50.29%
1-50.27%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
36.37%
21.04%
6.09%
1.17%
0.17%
1
15.75%
9.11%
2.63%
0.51%
0.07%
2
3.41%
1.97%
0.57%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.49%
0.28%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Gremio
1-015.75%
2-03.41%
2-11.97%
3-00.49%
3-10.28%
Draw
0-036.37%
1-19.11%
2-20.57%
Athletico Paranaense
0-121.04%
0-26.09%
1-22.63%
0-31.17%
1-30.51%
2-30.11%
0-40.17%
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