Athletico Paranaense at Atletico Mineiro

Updated 509 days ago

12:00 AM • Apr 30, 2023

Athletico Paranaense

16.5%23.1%60.3%

WinDrawAtletico Mineiro Win

0.79Projected Goals 1.75

1Final Score 2

Atletico Mineiro

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
L 0-2	4/22 at Fluminense
W 0-2	4/15 vs Goias
W 0-3	11/13 vs Botafogo RJ
T 1-1	11/10 at Atletico Goianiense
L 0-2	11/06 at Internacional

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
T 0-0	4/23 at Santos
L 2-1	4/16 vs Vasco da Gama
W 1-0	11/13 at Corinthians
W 0-3	11/10 vs Cuiaba
L 2-0	11/07 vs Botafogo RJ

Money Line Analysis

:2.5%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	5Dimes	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+340	-	+500	+545	+563	+545	+563	+577.8
Atletico Mineiro	-120	-	-170	-167	-164	-167	-164	-147.1
Draw	+265	-	+295	+270	+288	+270	+295	+288.8

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+577.8
Atletico Mineiro	-	-	-	-	-	-147.1
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+288.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 20.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Atletico Mineiro: 20.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

Over/Under Analysis

:-0.9%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	5Dimes	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-115	-	o2¼-115	o2¼-123	o2½+111	o2¼-123	o2¼-115	o2¼-112
Under	u2¼-105	-	u2¼-105	u2¼+103	u2½-126	u2¼+103	u2½-126	u2¼+112

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2¼-112
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2¼+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 30.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	45.2%


No	54.8%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	7.85%
Exactly 2	25.42%
Exactly 4	13.71%
Exactly 6	2.96%
Exactly 8	0.34%


Exactly 1	19.98%
Exactly 3	21.56%
Exactly 5	6.98%
Exactly 7	1.08%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	45.36%
Exactly 1	35.86%
Exactly 2	14.17%
Exactly 3	3.74%
Exactly 4	0.74%
Exactly 5	0.12%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	17.31%
Exactly 1	30.36%
Exactly 2	26.62%
Exactly 3	15.56%
Exactly 4	6.82%
Exactly 5	2.39%
Exactly 6	0.70%
Exactly 7	0.18%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	30.79%
Exactly 2	21.36%
Exactly 4	2.47%
Exactly 6	0.11%


Exactly 1	36.27%
Exactly 3	8.39%
Exactly 5	0.58%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	69.35%
Exactly 1	25.38%
Exactly 2	4.65%
Exactly 3	0.57%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	44.40%
Exactly 1	36.05%
Exactly 2	14.64%
Exactly 3	3.96%
Exactly 4	0.80%
Exactly 5	0.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	4.89%
Wins by 3+ goals	1.09%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.18%

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	34.47%
Wins by 3+ goals	15.75%
Wins by 4+ goals	5.88%
Wins by 5+ goals	1.82%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Atletico Mineiro

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	11.63%
Wins by 2 goals	3.80%
Wins by 3 goals	0.90%
Wins by 4 goals	0.16%

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	25.80%
Wins by 2 goals	18.72%
Wins by 3 goals	9.87%
Wins by 4 goals	4.06%
Wins by 5 goals	1.36%
Wins by 6 goals	0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	92.15%	7.85%
1.5	72.17%	27.83%
2.5	46.75%	53.25%
3.5	25.20%	74.80%
4.5	11.48%	88.52%
5.5	4.51%	95.49%
6.5	1.55%	98.45%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	54.64%	45.36%
1.5	18.78%	81.22%
2.5	4.61%	95.39%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	82.69%	17.31%
1.5	52.33%	47.67%
2.5	25.71%	74.29%
3.5	10.14%	89.86%
4.5	3.32%	96.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	69.21%	30.79%
1.5	32.94%	67.06%
2.5	11.58%	88.42%
3.5	3.19%	96.81%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Atletico Mineiro

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7.85%	13.77%	12.08%	7.06%	3.10%	1.09%
1	6.21%	10.89%	9.55%	5.58%	2.45%	0.86%
2	2.45%	4.30%	3.77%	2.21%	0.97%	0.34%
3	0.65%	1.13%	0.99%	0.58%	0.25%	0.09%
4	0.13%	0.22%	0.20%	0.11%	0.05%	0.02%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	6.21%
2-0	2.45%
2-1	4.30%
3-0	0.65%
3-1	1.13%
3-2	0.99%
4-0	0.13%
4-1	0.22%
4-2	0.20%
4-3	0.11%

Draw
0-0	7.85%
1-1	10.89%
2-2	3.77%
3-3	0.58%

Atletico Mineiro
0-1	13.77%
0-2	12.08%
1-2	9.55%
0-3	7.06%
1-3	5.58%
2-3	2.21%
0-4	3.10%
1-4	2.45%
2-4	0.97%
3-4	0.25%
0-5	1.09%
1-5	0.86%
2-5	0.34%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Atletico Mineiro

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	30.79%	25.00%	10.15%	2.75%	0.56%
1	11.27%	9.15%	3.72%	1.01%	0.20%
2	2.06%	1.67%	0.68%	0.18%	0.04%
3	0.25%	0.20%	0.08%	0.02%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	11.27%
2-0	2.06%
2-1	1.67%
3-0	0.25%
3-1	0.20%

Draw
0-0	30.79%
1-1	9.15%
2-2	0.68%

Atletico Mineiro
0-1	25.00%
0-2	10.15%
1-2	3.72%
0-3	2.75%
1-3	1.01%
2-3	0.18%
0-4	0.56%
1-4	0.20%

America (MG) at Santos

Botafogo RJ at Flamengo

Athletico Paranaense at Atletico Mineiro