Atletico Mineiro at Santos

Updated 569 days ago

07:00 PM • Apr 23, 2023

Atletico Mineiro

31.8%28.8%39.4%

Atletico Mineiro WinDrawSantos Win

1.04Projected Goals 1.19

0Final Score 0

Santos

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
L 2-1	4/16 vs Vasco da Gama
W 1-0	11/13 at Corinthians
W 0-3	11/10 vs Cuiaba
L 2-0	11/07 vs Botafogo RJ
T 2-2	11/02 at Sao Paulo

Santos		Money Line
L 0-1	4/16 at Gremio
L 2-0	11/13 vs Fortaleza
L 0-3	11/10 at Botafogo RJ
T 1-1	11/05 vs Avaí
W 3-2	11/02 at Atletico Goianiense

Money Line Analysis

:2.5%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	5Dimes	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+129	+140	+140	+141	+142	+141	+142	+153.1
Santos	+237	+227	+220	+220	+239	+220	+239	+236.0
Draw	+226	+215	+215	+210	+211	+210	+215	+225.5

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	-	-	-	-	-	+153.1
Santos	-	-	-	-	-	+236.0
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+225.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Santos: 40.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Santos: 40.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Santos: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Santos: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Santos ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.2%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	5Dimes	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½+125	o2-116	o2-112	o2-115	o2-113	o2-115	o2-112	o2-104
Under	u2½-147	u2-102	u2-108	u2-105	u2-102	u2-105	u2-102	u2+104

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2-104
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	45.0%


No	55.0%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	10.73%
Exactly 2	26.73%
Exactly 4	11.10%
Exactly 6	1.84%
Exactly 8	0.16%


Exactly 1	23.95%
Exactly 3	19.89%
Exactly 5	4.95%
Exactly 7	0.59%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	35.31%
Exactly 1	36.76%
Exactly 2	19.13%
Exactly 3	6.64%
Exactly 4	1.73%
Exactly 5	0.36%

Exact Goals Scored - Santos
Exactly 0	30.39%
Exactly 1	36.20%
Exactly 2	21.56%
Exactly 3	8.56%
Exactly 4	2.55%
Exactly 5	0.61%
Exactly 6	0.12%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	35.58%
Exactly 2	19.00%
Exactly 4	1.69%


Exactly 1	36.77%
Exactly 3	6.54%
Exactly 5	0.35%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	61.76%
Exactly 1	29.76%
Exactly 2	7.17%
Exactly 3	1.15%
Exactly 4	0.14%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santos
Exactly 0	57.61%
Exactly 1	31.77%
Exactly 2	8.76%
Exactly 3	1.61%
Exactly 4	0.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	12.10%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.48%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.76%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.11%

Santos
Wins by 2+ goals	16.82%
Wins by 3+ goals	5.53%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.45%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro

Santos

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	19.68%
Wins by 2 goals	8.62%
Wins by 3 goals	2.72%
Wins by 4 goals	0.66%
Wins by 5 goals	0.11%

Santos
Wins by 1 goal	22.52%
Wins by 2 goals	11.29%
Wins by 3 goals	4.08%
Wins by 4 goals	1.15%
Wins by 5 goals	0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	89.27%	10.73%
1.5	65.31%	34.69%
2.5	38.58%	61.42%
3.5	18.70%	81.30%
4.5	7.60%	92.40%
5.5	2.65%	97.35%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	64.69%	35.31%
1.5	27.93%	72.07%
2.5	8.80%	91.20%
3.5	2.16%	97.84%

Total Goals Santos Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	69.61%	30.39%
1.5	33.41%	66.59%
2.5	11.86%	88.14%
3.5	3.30%	96.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	64.42%	35.58%
1.5	27.65%	72.35%
2.5	8.65%	91.35%
3.5	2.11%	97.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro

Santos

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10.73%	12.78%	7.61%	3.02%	0.90%	0.21%
1	11.17%	13.31%	7.92%	3.15%	0.94%	0.22%
2	5.81%	6.92%	4.12%	1.64%	0.49%	0.12%
3	2.02%	2.40%	1.43%	0.57%	0.17%	0.04%
4	0.52%	0.63%	0.37%	0.15%	0.04%	0.01%
5	0.11%	0.13%	0.08%	0.03%	0.01%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	11.17%
2-0	5.81%
2-1	6.92%
3-0	2.02%
3-1	2.40%
3-2	1.43%
4-0	0.52%
4-1	0.63%
4-2	0.37%
4-3	0.15%
5-0	0.11%
5-1	0.13%

Draw
0-0	10.73%
1-1	13.31%
2-2	4.12%
3-3	0.57%

Santos
0-1	12.78%
0-2	7.61%
1-2	7.92%
0-3	3.02%
1-3	3.15%
2-3	1.64%
0-4	0.90%
1-4	0.94%
2-4	0.49%
3-4	0.17%
0-5	0.21%
1-5	0.22%
2-5	0.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro

Santos

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	35.58%	19.62%	5.41%	0.99%	0.14%
1	17.15%	9.46%	2.61%	0.48%	0.07%
2	4.13%	2.28%	0.63%	0.12%	0.02%
3	0.66%	0.37%	0.10%	0.02%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	17.15%
2-0	4.13%
2-1	2.28%
3-0	0.66%
3-1	0.37%
3-2	0.10%

Draw
0-0	35.58%
1-1	9.46%
2-2	0.63%

Santos
0-1	19.62%
0-2	5.41%
1-2	2.61%
0-3	0.99%
1-3	0.48%
2-3	0.12%
0-4	0.14%

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