Fortaleza at Santos

Updated

Fortaleza

19.6%25.4%55.0%
WinDrawSantos Win
0.82Projected Goals 1.56
2Final Score 0

Santos

Last 5 Games

Fortaleza
Money Line
W 0-6 vs Bragantino
T 1-1 vs Atletico Goianiense
L 0-4 at Palmeiras
W 1-3 vs Coritiba
T 0-0 vs Atletico Mineiro
Santos
Money Line
L 0-3 at Botafogo RJ
T 1-1 vs Avaí
W 3-2 at Atletico Goianiense
L 2-3 at Flamengo
L 1-0 vs Corinthians

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza+205+132+125+128+132+128+132+137.9
Santos+141+221+225+225+232+225+232+240.5
Draw+237+235+220+230+241+230+241+249.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza-----+137.9
Santos-----+240.5
Draw-----+249.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Santos: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortaleza: 0.0%
Santos: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortaleza: 0.0%
Santos: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML
No Steam Moves On Santos ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2½-105o2½-105o2½-105o2½-102o2½-105o2½-102o2½+105
Underu2½-135u2½-111u2½-115u2½-115u2½-113u2½-115u2½-111u2½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+105
Under-----u2½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.2%
 
No55.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.23%
Exactly 226.20%
Exactly 412.39%
Exactly 62.35%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 122.00%
Exactly 320.81%
Exactly 55.91%
Exactly 70.80%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 044.10%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 214.78%
Exactly 34.03%
Exactly 40.83%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Santos
Exactly 020.93%
Exactly 132.74%
Exactly 225.60%
Exactly 313.34%
Exactly 45.22%
Exactly 51.63%
Exactly 60.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.18%
Exactly 220.19%
Exactly 42.05%
 
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 37.42%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 068.45%
Exactly 125.95%
Exactly 24.92%
Exactly 30.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santos
Exactly 048.48%
Exactly 135.10%
Exactly 212.71%
Exactly 33.07%
Exactly 40.56%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals6.04%
Wins by 3+ goals1.39%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%
Santos
Wins by 2+ goals28.98%
Wins by 3+ goals12.04%
Wins by 4+ goals4.01%
Wins by 5+ goals1.06%
Wins by 6+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortaleza
Santos
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal13.55%
Wins by 2 goals4.64%
Wins by 3 goals1.15%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%
Santos
Wins by 1 goal25.87%
Wins by 2 goals16.95%
Wins by 3 goals8.03%
Wins by 4 goals2.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.87%
Wins by 6 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.77%9.23%
1.568.77%31.23%
2.542.57%57.43%
3.521.76%78.24%
4.59.37%90.63%
5.53.46%96.54%
6.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.90%44.10%
1.519.80%80.20%
2.55.02%94.98%

Total Goals Santos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.07%20.93%
1.546.33%53.67%
2.520.73%79.27%
3.57.39%92.61%
4.52.17%97.83%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.82%33.18%
1.530.21%69.79%
2.510.02%89.98%
3.52.60%97.40%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortaleza
Santos
Score012345
0
9.23%
14.44%
11.29%
5.88%
2.30%
0.72%
1
7.56%
11.82%
9.24%
4.82%
1.88%
0.59%
2
3.09%
4.84%
3.78%
1.97%
0.77%
0.24%
3
0.84%
1.32%
1.03%
0.54%
0.21%
0.07%
4
0.17%
0.27%
0.21%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Fortaleza
1-07.56%
2-03.09%
2-14.84%
3-00.84%
3-11.32%
3-21.03%
4-00.17%
4-10.27%
4-20.21%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-09.23%
1-111.82%
2-23.78%
3-30.54%
Santos
0-114.44%
0-211.29%
1-29.24%
0-35.88%
1-34.82%
2-31.97%
0-42.30%
1-41.88%
2-40.77%
3-40.21%
0-50.72%
1-50.59%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortaleza
Santos
Score01234
0
33.18%
24.03%
8.70%
2.10%
0.38%
1
12.58%
9.11%
3.30%
0.80%
0.14%
2
2.38%
1.73%
0.62%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.30%
0.22%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Fortaleza
1-012.58%
2-02.38%
2-11.73%
3-00.30%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-033.18%
1-19.11%
2-20.62%
Santos
0-124.03%
0-28.70%
1-23.30%
0-32.10%
1-30.80%
2-30.15%
0-40.38%
1-40.14%