Atletico Mineiro at Fortaleza

Updated 751 days ago

11:00 PM • Oct 24, 2022

Atletico Mineiro

47.7%26.7%25.7%

Atletico Mineiro WinDrawFortaleza Win

1.43Projected Goals 0.98

0Final Score 0

Fortaleza

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
L 0-1	10/15 at Flamengo
T 0-0	10/09 vs Ceara
W 2-1	10/06 at Santos
W 0-2	10/01 vs Fluminense
L 1-0	9/29 vs Palmeiras

Fortaleza		Money Line
W 2-1	10/15 at America (MG)
W 0-2	10/09 vs Avaí
T 1-1	10/05 at Athletico Paranaense
W 1-0	10/01 at Goias
W 2-3	9/28 vs Flamengo

Money Line Analysis

:-1.3%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+160	+235	+190	+219	-	+219	+235	+250.4
Fortaleza	+205	+143	+175	+143	-	+143	+175	+154.1
Draw	+185	+203	+200	+208	-	+208	+208	+211.5

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	-	-	-	-	-	+250.4
Fortaleza	-	-	-	-	-	+154.1
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+211.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Fortaleza: 50.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 40.0%

Fortaleza: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Fortaleza: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Fortaleza: 80.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Over/Under Analysis

:2.1%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2-110	o2-108	o2+101	o2-108	-	o2-108	o2+101	o2+107
Under	u2-110	u2-110	u2-115	u2-112	-	u2-112	u2-110	u2-107

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2+107
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	47.5%


No	52.5%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	8.95%
Exactly 2	26.07%
Exactly 4	12.65%
Exactly 6	2.46%
Exactly 8	0.26%


Exactly 1	21.60%
Exactly 3	20.97%
Exactly 5	6.11%
Exactly 7	0.85%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	23.79%
Exactly 1	34.16%
Exactly 2	24.53%
Exactly 3	11.74%
Exactly 4	4.21%
Exactly 5	1.21%
Exactly 6	0.29%

Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 0	37.63%
Exactly 1	36.78%
Exactly 2	17.97%
Exactly 3	5.86%
Exactly 4	1.43%
Exactly 5	0.28%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	32.72%
Exactly 2	20.42%
Exactly 4	2.12%


Exactly 1	36.55%
Exactly 3	7.61%
Exactly 5	0.47%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	51.44%
Exactly 1	34.20%
Exactly 2	11.37%
Exactly 3	2.52%
Exactly 4	0.42%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 0	63.60%
Exactly 1	28.78%
Exactly 2	6.51%
Exactly 3	0.98%
Exactly 4	0.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	23.33%
Wins by 3+ goals	8.96%
Wins by 4+ goals	2.75%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.67%

Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals	9.11%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.45%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro

Fortaleza

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	24.25%
Wins by 2 goals	14.38%
Wins by 3 goals	6.20%
Wins by 4 goals	2.08%
Wins by 5 goals	0.56%

Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal	16.50%
Wins by 2 goals	6.66%
Wins by 3 goals	1.95%
Wins by 4 goals	0.44%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	91.05%	8.95%
1.5	69.44%	30.56%
2.5	43.37%	56.63%
3.5	22.41%	77.59%
4.5	9.75%	90.25%
5.5	3.65%	96.35%
6.5	1.19%	98.81%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	76.21%	23.79%
1.5	42.05%	57.95%
2.5	17.52%	82.48%
3.5	5.79%	94.21%
4.5	1.57%	98.43%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	62.37%	37.63%
1.5	25.59%	74.41%
2.5	7.62%	92.38%
3.5	1.76%	98.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	67.28%	32.72%
1.5	30.73%	69.27%
2.5	10.31%	89.69%
3.5	2.70%	97.30%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro

Fortaleza

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.95%	8.75%	4.28%	1.39%	0.34%
1	12.85%	12.56%	6.14%	2.00%	0.49%
2	9.23%	9.02%	4.41%	1.44%	0.35%
3	4.42%	4.32%	2.11%	0.69%	0.17%
4	1.59%	1.55%	0.76%	0.25%	0.06%
5	0.46%	0.45%	0.22%	0.07%	0.02%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	12.85%
2-0	9.23%
2-1	9.02%
3-0	4.42%
3-1	4.32%
3-2	2.11%
4-0	1.59%
4-1	1.55%
4-2	0.76%
4-3	0.25%
5-0	0.46%
5-1	0.45%
5-2	0.22%

Draw
0-0	8.95%
1-1	12.56%
2-2	4.41%
3-3	0.69%

Fortaleza
0-1	8.75%
0-2	4.28%
1-2	6.14%
0-3	1.39%
1-3	2.00%
2-3	1.44%
0-4	0.34%
1-4	0.49%
2-4	0.35%
3-4	0.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro

Fortaleza

Score	0	1	2	3
0	32.72%	14.80%	3.35%	0.51%
1	21.75%	9.84%	2.23%	0.34%
2	7.23%	3.27%	0.74%	0.11%
3	1.60%	0.73%	0.16%	0.02%
4	0.27%	0.12%	0.03%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	21.75%
2-0	7.23%
2-1	3.27%
3-0	1.60%
3-1	0.73%
3-2	0.16%
4-0	0.27%
4-1	0.12%

Draw
0-0	32.72%
1-1	9.84%
2-2	0.74%

Fortaleza
0-1	14.80%
0-2	3.35%
1-2	2.23%
0-3	0.51%
1-3	0.34%
2-3	0.11%

Ceara at Atletico Goianiense

Santos at Flamengo

Atletico Mineiro at Fortaleza