Atletico Mineiro at Santos

Updated

Atletico Mineiro

48.0%26.7%25.2%
Atletico Mineiro WinDrawSantos Win
1.43Projected Goals 0.96
2Final Score 1

Santos

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Fluminense
L 1-0 vs Palmeiras
L 0-1 at Avaí
T 1-1 vs Bragantino
W 2-0 at Atletico Goianiense
Santos
Money Line
L 0-1 at Internacional
W 0-2 vs Athletico Paranaense
L 0-1 at Palmeiras
L 1-2 at Ceara
L 2-1 vs Goias

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro+130+146+150+140+133+140+150+150.5
Santos+225+223+215+225+217+225+225+241.9
Draw+215+208+190+210+217+210+217+224.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro-----+150.5
Santos-----+241.9
Draw-----+224.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Santos: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 20.0%
Santos: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%
Santos: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML
No Steam Moves On Santos ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2-118o2-118o2-120-o2-120o2-118o2-103
Underu2¼-115u2+100u2-102u2+100-u2+100u2+100u2+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-103
Under-----u2+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.0%
 
No53.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.13%
Exactly 226.15%
Exactly 412.49%
Exactly 62.39%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.85%
Exactly 320.87%
Exactly 55.98%
Exactly 70.82%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 023.83%
Exactly 134.18%
Exactly 224.51%
Exactly 311.72%
Exactly 44.20%
Exactly 51.21%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Santos
Exactly 038.31%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.63%
Exactly 35.64%
Exactly 41.35%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.01%
Exactly 220.28%
Exactly 42.08%
 
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 37.49%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 051.47%
Exactly 134.18%
Exactly 211.35%
Exactly 32.51%
Exactly 40.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santos
Exactly 064.13%
Exactly 128.49%
Exactly 26.33%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals23.55%
Wins by 3+ goals9.04%
Wins by 4+ goals2.78%
Wins by 5+ goals0.68%
Santos
Wins by 2+ goals8.83%
Wins by 3+ goals2.34%
Wins by 4+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro
Santos
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal24.42%
Wins by 2 goals14.51%
Wins by 3 goals6.26%
Wins by 4 goals2.10%
Wins by 5 goals0.57%
Santos
Wins by 1 goal16.34%
Wins by 2 goals6.49%
Wins by 3 goals1.87%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.87%9.13%
1.569.02%30.98%
2.542.87%57.13%
3.522.00%78.00%
4.59.51%90.49%
5.53.53%96.47%
6.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.17%23.83%
1.542.00%58.00%
2.517.49%82.51%
3.55.77%94.23%
4.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals Santos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.69%38.31%
1.524.93%75.07%
2.57.30%92.70%
3.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.99%33.01%
1.530.40%69.60%
2.510.13%89.87%
3.52.64%97.36%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro
Santos
Score01234
0
9.13%
8.76%
4.20%
1.34%
0.32%
1
13.09%
12.56%
6.03%
1.93%
0.46%
2
9.39%
9.01%
4.32%
1.38%
0.33%
3
4.49%
4.31%
2.07%
0.66%
0.16%
4
1.61%
1.54%
0.74%
0.24%
0.06%
5
0.46%
0.44%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
Atletico Mineiro
1-013.09%
2-09.39%
2-19.01%
3-04.49%
3-14.31%
3-22.07%
4-01.61%
4-11.54%
4-20.74%
4-30.24%
5-00.46%
5-10.44%
5-20.21%
Draw
0-09.13%
1-112.56%
2-24.32%
3-30.66%
Santos
0-18.76%
0-24.20%
1-26.03%
0-31.34%
1-31.93%
2-31.38%
0-40.32%
1-40.46%
2-40.33%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro
Santos
Score0123
0
33.01%
14.66%
3.26%
0.48%
1
21.92%
9.74%
2.16%
0.32%
2
7.28%
3.23%
0.72%
0.11%
3
1.61%
0.72%
0.16%
0.02%
4
0.27%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Atletico Mineiro
1-021.92%
2-07.28%
2-13.23%
3-01.61%
3-10.72%
3-20.16%
4-00.27%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-033.01%
1-19.74%
2-20.72%
Santos
0-114.66%
0-23.26%
1-22.16%
0-30.48%
1-30.32%
2-30.11%