Santos at Ceara

Updated

Santos

23.0%27.2%49.8%
Santos WinDrawCeara Win
0.86Projected Goals 1.41
1Final Score 2

Ceara

Last 5 Games

Santos
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Goias
T 0-0 at Cuiaba
W 0-1 vs Sao Paulo
L 0-1 at America (MG)
W 2-1 at Coritiba
Ceara
Money Line
T 1-1 at Flamengo
T 0-0 vs Athletico Paranaense
T 1-1 at Bragantino
L 1-0 vs Fortaleza
T 1-1 at Botafogo RJ

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Santos+252+285+275+302+279+302+302+327.5
Ceara+125+121+120+114+109+114+121+122.5
Draw+221+204+190+200+214+200+214+215.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Santos-----+327.5
Ceara-----+122.5
Draw-----+215.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Santos: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ceara: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Santos: 0.0%
Ceara: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Santos: 10.0%
Ceara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Santos ML
No Steam Moves On Ceara ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-144o2-102o2+100o2-105-o2-105o2+100o2+109
Underu2+122u2-116u2-120u2-115-u2-115u2-115u2-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+109
Under-----u2-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.7%
 
No56.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.31%
Exactly 226.61%
Exactly 411.45%
Exactly 61.97%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.43%
Exactly 320.15%
Exactly 55.20%
Exactly 70.64%
Exact Goals Scored - Santos
Exactly 042.24%
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 215.69%
Exactly 34.51%
Exactly 40.97%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Ceara
Exactly 024.41%
Exactly 134.42%
Exactly 224.27%
Exactly 311.41%
Exactly 44.02%
Exactly 51.13%
Exactly 60.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.93%
Exactly 219.32%
Exactly 41.78%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 36.78%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santos
Exactly 067.10%
Exactly 126.77%
Exactly 25.34%
Exactly 30.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ceara
Exactly 052.05%
Exactly 133.99%
Exactly 211.09%
Exactly 32.41%
Exactly 40.39%

Alternate Props

Spread

Santos
Wins by 2+ goals7.44%
Wins by 3+ goals1.81%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%
Ceara
Wins by 2+ goals24.40%
Wins by 3+ goals9.31%
Wins by 4+ goals2.84%
Wins by 5+ goals0.69%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Santos
Ceara
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Santos
Wins by 1 goal15.50%
Wins by 2 goals5.63%
Wins by 3 goals1.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Ceara
Wins by 1 goal25.36%
Wins by 2 goals15.09%
Wins by 3 goals6.47%
Wins by 4 goals2.15%
Wins by 5 goals0.58%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.69%10.31%
1.566.26%33.74%
2.539.65%60.35%
3.519.50%80.50%
4.58.05%91.95%
5.52.85%97.15%

Total Goals Santos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.76%42.24%
1.521.36%78.64%
2.55.67%94.33%
3.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Ceara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.59%24.41%
1.541.17%58.83%
2.516.90%83.10%
3.55.49%94.51%
4.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.07%34.93%
1.528.33%71.67%
2.59.01%90.99%
3.52.23%97.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Santos
Ceara
Score012345
0
10.31%
14.54%
10.25%
4.82%
1.70%
0.48%
1
8.89%
12.53%
8.83%
4.15%
1.46%
0.41%
2
3.83%
5.40%
3.81%
1.79%
0.63%
0.18%
3
1.10%
1.55%
1.09%
0.51%
0.18%
0.05%
4
0.24%
0.33%
0.24%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Santos
1-08.89%
2-03.83%
2-15.40%
3-01.10%
3-11.55%
3-21.09%
4-00.24%
4-10.33%
4-20.24%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-010.31%
1-112.53%
2-23.81%
3-30.51%
Ceara
0-114.54%
0-210.25%
1-28.83%
0-34.82%
1-34.15%
2-31.79%
0-41.70%
1-41.46%
2-40.63%
3-40.18%
0-50.48%
1-50.41%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Santos
Ceara
Score01234
0
34.93%
22.80%
7.44%
1.62%
0.26%
1
13.94%
9.10%
2.97%
0.65%
0.11%
2
2.78%
1.82%
0.59%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.37%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Santos
1-013.94%
2-02.78%
2-11.82%
3-00.37%
3-10.24%
Draw
0-034.93%
1-19.10%
2-20.59%
Ceara
0-122.80%
0-27.44%
1-22.97%
0-31.62%
1-30.65%
2-30.13%
0-40.26%
1-40.11%