Athletico Paranaense at Ceara

Updated 818 days ago

12:00 AM • Aug 28, 2022

Athletico Paranaense

24.8%28.8%46.5%

Athletico Paranaense WinDrawCeara Win

0.85Projected Goals 1.28

0Final Score 0

Ceara

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
T 1-1	8/21 vs America (MG)
L 0-5	8/14 at Flamengo
W 3-2	8/07 at Atletico Mineiro
W 0-1	7/31 vs Sao Paulo
L 0-2	7/24 at Botafogo RJ

Ceara		Money Line
T 1-1	8/21 at Bragantino
L 1-0	8/14 vs Fortaleza
T 1-1	8/06 at Botafogo RJ
L 2-1	7/30 vs Palmeiras
L 0-1	7/24 at Juventude

Money Line Analysis

:4.2%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+310	-	+360	+375	+360	+375	+375	+418.1
Ceara	+100	-	-125	-130	-127	-130	-127	-115.2
Draw	+215	-	+240	+265	+250	+265	+265	+268.1

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+418.1
Ceara	-	-	-	-	-	-115.2
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+268.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Ceara: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%

Ceara: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Ceara: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Ceara: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Ceara ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.4%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼+100	-	o2¼-105	o2¼+100	-	o2¼+100	o2¼+100	o2½+134
Under	u2¼-120	-	u2¼-115	u2¼-120	-	u2¼-120	u2¼-115	u2½-134

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2½+134
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2½-134

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	41.4%


No	58.6%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	11.83%
Exactly 2	26.95%
Exactly 4	10.23%
Exactly 6	1.55%
Exactly 8	0.13%


Exactly 1	25.26%
Exactly 3	19.17%
Exactly 5	4.37%
Exactly 7	0.47%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	42.63%
Exactly 1	36.35%
Exactly 2	15.49%
Exactly 3	4.40%
Exactly 4	0.94%
Exactly 5	0.16%

Exact Goals Scored - Ceara
Exactly 0	27.76%
Exactly 1	35.58%
Exactly 2	22.80%
Exactly 3	9.74%
Exactly 4	3.12%
Exactly 5	0.80%
Exactly 6	0.17%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	37.23%
Exactly 2	18.17%
Exactly 4	1.48%


Exactly 1	36.79%
Exactly 3	5.99%
Exactly 5	0.29%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	67.39%
Exactly 1	26.60%
Exactly 2	5.25%
Exactly 3	0.69%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ceara
Exactly 0	55.24%
Exactly 1	32.78%
Exactly 2	9.73%
Exactly 3	1.92%
Exactly 4	0.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	8.05%
Wins by 3+ goals	1.95%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.36%

Ceara
Wins by 2+ goals	21.32%
Wins by 3+ goals	7.54%
Wins by 4+ goals	2.12%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Ceara

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	16.70%
Wins by 2 goals	6.10%
Wins by 3 goals	1.59%
Wins by 4 goals	0.32%

Ceara
Wins by 1 goal	25.11%
Wins by 2 goals	13.78%
Wins by 3 goals	5.42%
Wins by 4 goals	1.65%
Wins by 5 goals	0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	88.17%	11.83%
1.5	62.91%	37.09%
2.5	35.96%	64.04%
3.5	16.79%	83.21%
4.5	6.56%	93.44%
5.5	2.19%	97.81%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	57.37%	42.63%
1.5	21.02%	78.98%
2.5	5.53%	94.47%
3.5	1.12%	98.88%

Total Goals Ceara Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	72.24%	27.76%
1.5	36.67%	63.33%
2.5	13.87%	86.13%
3.5	4.13%	95.87%
4.5	1.01%	98.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	62.77%	37.23%
1.5	25.99%	74.01%
2.5	7.81%	92.19%
3.5	1.83%	98.17%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Ceara

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11.83%	15.17%	9.72%	4.15%	1.33%	0.34%
1	10.09%	12.93%	8.29%	3.54%	1.13%	0.29%
2	4.30%	5.51%	3.53%	1.51%	0.48%	0.12%
3	1.22%	1.57%	1.00%	0.43%	0.14%	0.04%
4	0.26%	0.33%	0.21%	0.09%	0.03%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	10.09%
2-0	4.30%
2-1	5.51%
3-0	1.22%
3-1	1.57%
3-2	1.00%
4-0	0.26%
4-1	0.33%
4-2	0.21%

Draw
0-0	11.83%
1-1	12.93%
2-2	3.53%
3-3	0.43%

Ceara
0-1	15.17%
0-2	9.72%
1-2	8.29%
0-3	4.15%
1-3	3.54%
2-3	1.51%
0-4	1.33%
1-4	1.13%
2-4	0.48%
3-4	0.14%
0-5	0.34%
1-5	0.29%
2-5	0.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Ceara

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	37.23%	22.09%	6.55%	1.30%	0.19%
1	14.69%	8.72%	2.59%	0.51%	0.08%
2	2.90%	1.72%	0.51%	0.10%	0.01%
3	0.38%	0.23%	0.07%	0.01%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	14.69%
2-0	2.90%
2-1	1.72%
3-0	0.38%
3-1	0.23%

Draw
0-0	37.23%
1-1	8.72%
2-2	0.51%

Ceara
0-1	22.09%
0-2	6.55%
1-2	2.59%
0-3	1.30%
1-3	0.51%
2-3	0.10%
0-4	0.19%

Palmeiras at Fluminense

Atletico Mineiro at America (MG)

Athletico Paranaense at Ceara