Athletico Paranaense at Atletico Mineiro

Updated 838 days ago

10:00 PM • Aug 7, 2022

Athletico Paranaense

13.8%21.1%65.1%

WinDrawAtletico Mineiro Win

0.74Projected Goals 1.92

3Final Score 2

Atletico Mineiro

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
W 0-1	7/31 vs Sao Paulo
L 0-2	7/24 at Botafogo RJ
W 1-4	7/20 vs Atletico Goianiense
T 0-0	7/16 vs Internacional
L 1-2	7/09 at Goias

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
L 0-3	7/31 at Internacional
L 2-1	7/24 vs Corinthians
T 1-1	7/21 at Cuiaba
W 1-0	7/17 at Botafogo RJ
T 0-0	7/10 vs Sao Paulo

Money Line Analysis

:4.7%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+500	-	+600	+620	-	+620	+620	+685.9
Atletico Mineiro	-165	-	-200	-200	-	-200	-200	-176.5
Draw	+265	-	+295	+310	-	+310	+310	+326.6

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+685.9
Atletico Mineiro	-	-	-	-	-	-176.5
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+326.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 20.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Atletico Mineiro: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Atletico Mineiro: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

Over/Under Analysis

:2.2%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼+100	-	o2¼-115	o2¼-125	-	o2¼-125	o2¼-115	o2½+115
Under	u2¼-120	-	u2¼-105	u2¼+105	-	u2¼+105	u2¼+105	u2½-115

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2½+115
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 30.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	44.8%


No	55.2%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	6.97%
Exactly 2	24.72%
Exactly 4	14.62%
Exactly 6	3.46%
Exactly 8	0.44%


Exactly 1	18.56%
Exactly 3	21.95%
Exactly 5	7.79%
Exactly 7	1.32%
Exactly 9	0.13%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	47.43%
Exactly 1	35.38%
Exactly 2	13.19%
Exactly 3	3.28%
Exactly 4	0.61%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	14.68%
Exactly 1	28.17%
Exactly 2	27.02%
Exactly 3	17.28%
Exactly 4	8.29%
Exactly 5	3.18%
Exactly 6	1.02%
Exactly 7	0.28%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	29.13%
Exactly 2	22.16%
Exactly 4	2.81%
Exactly 6	0.14%


Exactly 1	35.93%
Exactly 3	9.11%
Exactly 5	0.69%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	70.80%
Exactly 1	24.45%
Exactly 2	4.22%
Exactly 3	0.49%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	41.14%
Exactly 1	36.54%
Exactly 2	16.23%
Exactly 3	4.80%
Exactly 4	1.07%
Exactly 5	0.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	3.77%
Wins by 3+ goals	0.74%

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	39.53%
Wins by 3+ goals	19.40%
Wins by 4+ goals	7.82%
Wins by 5+ goals	2.62%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.71%
Wins by 7+ goals	0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Atletico Mineiro

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	9.90%
Wins by 2 goals	3.03%
Wins by 3 goals	0.65%

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	25.49%
Wins by 2 goals	20.13%
Wins by 3 goals	11.58%
Wins by 4 goals	5.20%
Wins by 5 goals	1.90%
Wins by 6 goals	0.58%
Wins by 7 goals	0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	93.03%	6.97%
1.5	74.48%	25.52%
2.5	49.76%	50.24%
3.5	27.80%	72.20%
4.5	13.18%	86.82%
5.5	5.39%	94.61%
6.5	1.93%	98.07%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	52.57%	47.43%
1.5	17.19%	82.81%
2.5	4.00%	96.00%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	85.32%	14.68%
1.5	57.15%	42.85%
2.5	30.12%	69.88%
3.5	12.85%	87.15%
4.5	4.56%	95.44%
5.5	1.38%	98.62%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	70.87%	29.13%
1.5	34.95%	65.05%
2.5	12.79%	87.21%
3.5	3.68%	96.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Atletico Mineiro

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6.97%	13.36%	12.82%	8.20%	3.93%	1.51%
1	5.19%	9.97%	9.56%	6.11%	2.93%	1.12%
2	1.94%	3.72%	3.56%	2.28%	1.09%	0.42%
3	0.48%	0.92%	0.89%	0.57%	0.27%	0.10%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	5.19%
2-0	1.94%
2-1	3.72%
3-0	0.48%
3-1	0.92%
3-2	0.89%

Draw
0-0	6.97%
1-1	9.97%
2-2	3.56%
3-3	0.57%

Atletico Mineiro
0-1	13.36%
0-2	12.82%
1-2	9.56%
0-3	8.20%
1-3	6.11%
2-3	2.28%
0-4	3.93%
1-4	2.93%
2-4	1.09%
3-4	0.27%
0-5	1.51%
1-5	1.12%
2-5	0.42%
3-5	0.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Atletico Mineiro

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	29.13%	25.87%	11.49%	3.40%	0.76%	0.13%
1	10.06%	8.93%	3.97%	1.17%	0.26%	0.05%
2	1.74%	1.54%	0.69%	0.20%	0.05%	0.01%
3	0.20%	0.18%	0.08%	0.02%	0.01%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	10.06%
2-0	1.74%
2-1	1.54%
3-0	0.20%
3-1	0.18%

Draw
0-0	29.13%
1-1	8.93%
2-2	0.69%

Atletico Mineiro
0-1	25.87%
0-2	11.49%
1-2	3.97%
0-3	3.40%
1-3	1.17%
2-3	0.20%
0-4	0.76%
1-4	0.26%
0-5	0.13%

Internacional at Fortaleza

Santos at Coritiba

Athletico Paranaense at Atletico Mineiro