Sao Paulo at Atletico Mineiro

Updated

Sao Paulo

21.4%25.4%53.2%
Sao Paulo WinDrawAtletico Mineiro Win
0.89Projected Goals 1.57
0Final Score 0

Atletico Mineiro

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 2-1 at Atletico Goianiense
T 0-0 vs Juventude
L 2-1 vs Palmeiras
L 0-1 at Botafogo RJ
W 0-1 vs America (MG)
Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
W 2-1 at Juventude
W 2-3 vs Fortaleza
W 0-2 vs Flamengo
T 0-0 at Ceara
T 1-1 vs Santos

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+360+500+470+572-+470+572+561.2
Atletico Mineiro-125-170-165-166--165-165-149.0
Draw+245+270+295+279-+295+295+299.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+561.2
Atletico Mineiro------149.0
Draw-----+299.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 30.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 10.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-120o2¼-112o2¼-115o2½+122-o2¼-115o2¼-112o2½+128
Underu2¼+100u2¼-108u2¼-105u2½-137-u2¼-105u2½-137u2½-128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+128
Under-----u2½-128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.7%
 
No53.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.53%
Exactly 225.85%
Exactly 413.05%
Exactly 62.63%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.00%
Exactly 321.20%
Exactly 56.42%
Exactly 70.93%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 040.97%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 216.31%
Exactly 34.85%
Exactly 41.08%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 020.83%
Exactly 132.68%
Exactly 225.63%
Exactly 313.41%
Exactly 45.26%
Exactly 51.65%
Exactly 60.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.00%
Exactly 220.77%
Exactly 42.25%
 
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 37.89%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 066.16%
Exactly 127.33%
Exactly 25.64%
Exactly 30.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 048.36%
Exactly 135.13%
Exactly 212.76%
Exactly 33.09%
Exactly 40.56%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals7.03%
Wins by 3+ goals1.74%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals27.89%
Wins by 3+ goals11.54%
Wins by 4+ goals3.84%
Wins by 5+ goals1.01%
Wins by 6+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Atletico Mineiro
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal14.34%
Wins by 2 goals5.28%
Wins by 3 goals1.41%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal25.22%
Wins by 2 goals16.35%
Wins by 3 goals7.70%
Wins by 4 goals2.83%
Wins by 5 goals0.83%
Wins by 6 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.47%8.53%
1.570.46%29.54%
2.544.62%55.38%
3.523.41%76.59%
4.510.37%89.63%
5.53.95%96.05%
6.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.03%40.97%
1.522.47%77.53%
2.56.16%93.84%
3.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.17%20.83%
1.546.50%53.50%
2.520.86%79.14%
3.57.46%92.54%
4.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.00%32.00%
1.531.54%68.46%
2.510.77%89.23%
3.52.88%97.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
8.53%
13.39%
10.50%
5.49%
2.15%
0.68%
1
7.61%
11.95%
9.37%
4.90%
1.92%
0.60%
2
3.40%
5.33%
4.18%
2.19%
0.86%
0.27%
3
1.01%
1.58%
1.24%
0.65%
0.26%
0.08%
4
0.23%
0.35%
0.28%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
Sao Paulo
1-07.61%
2-03.40%
2-15.33%
3-01.01%
3-11.58%
3-21.24%
4-00.23%
4-10.35%
4-20.28%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-08.53%
1-111.95%
2-24.18%
3-30.65%
Atletico Mineiro
0-113.39%
0-210.50%
1-29.37%
0-35.49%
1-34.90%
2-32.19%
0-42.15%
1-41.92%
2-40.86%
3-40.26%
0-50.68%
1-50.60%
2-50.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Atletico Mineiro
Score01234
0
32.00%
23.24%
8.44%
2.04%
0.37%
1
13.22%
9.60%
3.49%
0.84%
0.15%
2
2.73%
1.98%
0.72%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.38%
0.27%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-013.22%
2-02.73%
2-11.98%
3-00.38%
3-10.27%
Draw
0-032.00%
1-19.60%
2-20.72%
Atletico Mineiro
0-123.24%
0-28.44%
1-23.49%
0-32.04%
1-30.84%
2-30.17%
0-40.37%
1-40.15%
Flamengo at Corinthians
Atletico Goianiense at Santos