Fortaleza at Atletico Mineiro

Updated

Fortaleza

11.4%18.7%70.0%
WinDrawAtletico Mineiro Win
0.72Projected Goals 2.14
2Final Score 3

Atletico Mineiro

Last 5 Games

Fortaleza
Money Line
W 0-1 vs America (MG)
L 2-3 at Avaí
T 0-0 vs Athletico Paranaense
T 1-1 vs Goias
W 2-1 at Flamengo
Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Flamengo
T 0-0 at Ceara
T 1-1 vs Santos
L 3-5 at Fluminense
T 0-0 at Palmeiras

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza+500+380+310+421+380+310+421+427.7
Atletico Mineiro-165-115-115-117-122-115-115-107.9
Draw+265+215+220+229+231+220+231+243.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza-----+427.7
Atletico Mineiro------107.9
Draw-----+243.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortaleza: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortaleza: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122o2-112o2-114o2½+152-o2-114o2-112o2-104
Underu2¼+102u2-108u2-106u2½-172-u2-106u2-106u2+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-104
Under-----u2+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.5%
 
No54.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.71%
Exactly 223.41%
Exactly 415.98%
Exactly 64.36%
Exactly 80.64%
 
Exactly 116.36%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 59.15%
Exactly 71.78%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 048.42%
Exactly 135.12%
Exactly 212.73%
Exactly 33.08%
Exactly 40.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 011.80%
Exactly 125.22%
Exactly 226.95%
Exactly 319.19%
Exactly 410.25%
Exactly 54.38%
Exactly 61.56%
Exactly 70.48%
Exactly 80.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.58%
Exactly 223.33%
Exactly 43.41%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.22%
Exactly 310.31%
Exactly 50.91%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 071.48%
Exactly 124.00%
Exactly 24.03%
Exactly 30.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 037.18%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.20%
Exactly 36.00%
Exactly 41.48%
Exactly 50.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals3.00%
Wins by 3+ goals0.57%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals45.47%
Wins by 3+ goals24.23%
Wins by 4+ goals10.73%
Wins by 5+ goals4.01%
Wins by 6+ goals1.28%
Wins by 7+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortaleza
Atletico Mineiro
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal8.29%
Wins by 2 goals2.43%
Wins by 3 goals0.50%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal24.46%
Wins by 2 goals21.24%
Wins by 3 goals13.50%
Wins by 4 goals6.72%
Wins by 5 goals2.73%
Wins by 6 goals0.94%
Wins by 7 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.29%5.71%
1.577.93%22.07%
2.554.52%45.48%
3.532.19%67.81%
4.516.21%83.79%
5.57.07%92.93%
6.52.70%97.30%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.58%48.42%
1.516.46%83.54%
2.53.73%96.27%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.20%11.80%
1.562.98%37.02%
2.536.03%63.97%
3.516.84%83.16%
4.56.59%93.41%
5.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.42%26.58%
1.538.21%61.79%
2.514.87%85.13%
3.54.56%95.44%
4.51.15%98.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortaleza
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
5.71%
12.21%
13.05%
9.29%
4.97%
2.12%
1
4.14%
8.86%
9.46%
6.74%
3.60%
1.54%
2
1.50%
3.21%
3.43%
2.44%
1.31%
0.56%
3
0.36%
0.78%
0.83%
0.59%
0.32%
0.13%
Fortaleza
1-04.14%
2-01.50%
2-13.21%
3-00.36%
3-10.78%
3-20.83%
Draw
0-05.71%
1-18.86%
2-23.43%
3-30.59%
Atletico Mineiro
0-112.21%
0-213.05%
1-29.46%
0-39.29%
1-36.74%
2-32.44%
0-44.97%
1-43.60%
2-41.31%
3-40.32%
0-52.12%
1-51.54%
2-50.56%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortaleza
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
26.58%
26.29%
13.01%
4.29%
1.06%
0.21%
1
8.92%
8.83%
4.37%
1.44%
0.36%
0.07%
2
1.50%
1.48%
0.73%
0.24%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.17%
0.17%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Fortaleza
1-08.92%
2-01.50%
2-11.48%
3-00.17%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-026.58%
1-18.83%
2-20.73%
Atletico Mineiro
0-126.29%
0-213.01%
1-24.37%
0-34.29%
1-31.44%
2-30.24%
0-41.06%
1-40.36%
0-50.21%