Fortaleza at Avaí

Updated

Fortaleza

38.0%30.9%31.1%
Fortaleza WinDrawAvaí Win
1.05Projected Goals 0.93
2Final Score 3

Avaí

Last 5 Games

Fortaleza
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Athletico Paranaense
T 1-1 vs Goias
W 2-1 at Flamengo
L 1-0 vs Ceara
T 1-1 vs Juventude
Avaí
Money Line
W 1-0 at Botafogo RJ
L 1-2 at Atletico Goianiense
T 1-1 vs Sao Paulo
L 1-2 at Atletico Mineiro
L 1-2 at Athletico Paranaense

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza+215+145+135+147+139+135+147+151.2
Avaí+140+210+215+226+207+215+226+236.0
Draw+210+200+220+212+217+220+220+228.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza-----+151.2
Avaí-----+236.0
Draw-----+228.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Avaí: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortaleza: 0.0%
Avaí: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fortaleza: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortaleza: 0.0%
Avaí: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML
No Steam Moves On Avaí ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102o2¼-102o2¼+100o2-133-o2¼+100o2-133o2¼+109
Underu2¼-122u2¼-118u2¼-120u2+113-u2¼-120u2¼-118u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.4%
 
No60.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 013.78%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 48.86%
Exactly 61.16%
 
Exactly 127.31%
Exactly 317.88%
Exactly 53.51%
Exactly 70.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 034.78%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.40%
Exactly 36.83%
Exactly 41.80%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Avaí
Exactly 039.62%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 216.98%
Exactly 35.24%
Exactly 41.21%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 039.95%
Exactly 216.82%
Exactly 41.18%
 
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 35.14%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 061.33%
Exactly 129.99%
Exactly 27.33%
Exactly 31.19%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Avaí
Exactly 065.14%
Exactly 127.92%
Exactly 25.98%
Exactly 30.86%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals14.95%
Wins by 3+ goals4.44%
Wins by 4+ goals1.00%
Avaí
Wins by 2+ goals10.98%
Wins by 3+ goals2.89%
Wins by 4+ goals0.58%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortaleza
Avaí
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal22.93%
Wins by 2 goals10.52%
Wins by 3 goals3.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.85%
Avaí
Wins by 1 goal20.10%
Wins by 2 goals8.08%
Wins by 3 goals2.31%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.22%13.78%
1.558.91%41.09%
2.531.84%68.16%
3.513.96%86.04%
4.55.10%94.90%
5.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.22%34.78%
1.528.49%71.51%
2.59.09%90.91%
3.52.26%97.74%

Total Goals Avaí Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.38%39.62%
1.523.70%76.30%
2.56.72%93.28%
3.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.05%39.95%
1.523.40%76.60%
2.56.58%93.42%
3.51.43%98.57%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortaleza
Avaí
Score01234
0
13.78%
12.76%
5.91%
1.82%
0.42%
1
14.55%
13.47%
6.24%
1.92%
0.45%
2
7.68%
7.11%
3.29%
1.02%
0.24%
3
2.71%
2.50%
1.16%
0.36%
0.08%
4
0.71%
0.66%
0.31%
0.09%
0.02%
Fortaleza
1-014.55%
2-07.68%
2-17.11%
3-02.71%
3-12.50%
3-21.16%
4-00.71%
4-10.66%
4-20.31%
Draw
0-013.78%
1-113.47%
2-23.29%
3-30.36%
Avaí
0-112.76%
0-25.91%
1-26.24%
0-31.82%
1-31.92%
2-31.02%
0-40.42%
1-40.45%
2-40.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortaleza
Avaí
Score0123
0
39.95%
17.12%
3.67%
0.52%
1
19.53%
8.37%
1.79%
0.26%
2
4.78%
2.05%
0.44%
0.06%
3
0.78%
0.33%
0.07%
0.01%
Fortaleza
1-019.53%
2-04.78%
2-12.05%
3-00.78%
3-10.33%
Draw
0-039.95%
1-18.37%
2-20.44%
Avaí
0-117.12%
0-23.67%
1-21.79%
0-30.52%
1-30.26%
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