Avaí at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Avaí

11.6%21.8%66.6%
WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.60Projected Goals 1.80
1Final Score 2

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Avaí
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Juventude
W 1-2 vs Coritiba
T 0-0 at Internacional
W 2-3 vs Goias
L 0-3 at Corinthians
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
L 1-2 at Fluminense
W 0-1 vs Ceara
L 0-1 at America (MG)
W 0-1 vs Flamengo
L 1-0 vs Atletico Mineiro

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Avaí+410+500+500-+514+500+514+565.6
Athletico Paranaense-142-160-164--171-164-160-145.8
Draw+261+250+245-+276+245+276+289.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Avaí-----+565.6
Athletico Paranaense------145.8
Draw-----+289.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Avaí: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Avaí: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Avaí: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Avaí ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100o2¼-102o2¼-101--o2¼-101o2¼-101o2¼+109
Underu2¼-120u2¼-118u2¼-119--u2¼-119u2¼-118u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes37.5%
 
No62.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.08%
Exactly 226.13%
Exactly 412.54%
Exactly 62.41%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.78%
Exactly 320.90%
Exactly 56.02%
Exactly 70.82%
Exact Goals Scored - Avaí
Exactly 055.12%
Exactly 132.83%
Exactly 29.78%
Exactly 31.94%
Exactly 40.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 016.46%
Exactly 129.70%
Exactly 226.79%
Exactly 316.11%
Exactly 47.27%
Exactly 52.62%
Exactly 60.79%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.92%
Exactly 220.32%
Exactly 42.09%
 
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 37.52%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Avaí
Exactly 075.90%
Exactly 120.93%
Exactly 22.89%
Exactly 30.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 043.38%
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 215.13%
Exactly 34.21%
Exactly 40.88%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Avaí
Wins by 2+ goals2.72%
Wins by 3+ goals0.45%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals39.64%
Wins by 3+ goals18.82%
Wins by 4+ goals7.28%
Wins by 5+ goals2.34%
Wins by 6+ goals0.61%
Wins by 7+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Avaí
Athletico Paranaense
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Avaí
Wins by 1 goal8.88%
Wins by 2 goals2.26%
Wins by 3 goals0.41%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal26.89%
Wins by 2 goals20.82%
Wins by 3 goals11.54%
Wins by 4 goals4.95%
Wins by 5 goals1.72%
Wins by 6 goals0.50%
Wins by 7 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.92%9.08%
1.569.15%30.85%
2.543.02%56.98%
3.522.12%77.88%
4.59.58%90.42%
5.53.56%96.44%
6.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Avaí Over/Under

OverUnder
0.544.88%55.12%
1.512.05%87.95%
2.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.54%16.46%
1.553.83%46.17%
2.527.04%72.96%
3.510.93%89.07%
4.53.67%96.33%
5.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.08%32.92%
1.530.50%69.50%
2.510.18%89.82%
3.52.66%97.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

Avaí
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
9.08%
16.37%
14.77%
8.88%
4.00%
1.44%
1
5.41%
9.75%
8.80%
5.29%
2.39%
0.86%
2
1.61%
2.90%
2.62%
1.58%
0.71%
0.26%
3
0.32%
0.58%
0.52%
0.31%
0.14%
0.05%
Avaí
1-05.41%
2-01.61%
2-12.90%
3-00.32%
3-10.58%
3-20.52%
Draw
0-09.08%
1-19.75%
2-22.62%
3-30.31%
Athletico Paranaense
0-116.37%
0-214.77%
1-28.80%
0-38.88%
1-35.29%
2-31.58%
0-44.00%
1-42.39%
2-40.71%
3-40.14%
0-51.44%
1-50.86%
2-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Avaí
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
32.92%
27.50%
11.48%
3.20%
0.67%
0.11%
1
9.08%
7.58%
3.17%
0.88%
0.18%
0.03%
2
1.25%
1.05%
0.44%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
3
0.12%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Avaí
1-09.08%
2-01.25%
2-11.05%
3-00.12%
Draw
0-032.92%
1-17.58%
2-20.44%
Athletico Paranaense
0-127.50%
0-211.48%
1-23.17%
0-33.20%
1-30.88%
2-30.12%
0-40.67%
1-40.18%
0-50.11%