Athletico Paranaense at Fluminense

Updated

Athletico Paranaense

19.8%26.6%53.6%
WinDrawFluminense Win
0.78Projected Goals 1.47
1Final Score 2

Fluminense

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Ceara
L 0-1 at America (MG)
W 0-1 vs Flamengo
L 1-0 vs Atletico Mineiro
L 0-4 at Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Money Line
T 1-1 at Palmeiras
L 2-3 at Coritiba
L 1-0 vs Internacional
W 1-0 at Cuiaba
T 0-0 vs Santos

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense+271+320+265+333+288+265+333+345.7
Fluminense+106+110+114+108+106+114+114+114.5
Draw+225+190+195+212+215+195+215+223.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense-----+345.7
Fluminense-----+114.5
Draw-----+223.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fluminense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Fluminense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Fluminense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML
No Steam Moves On Fluminense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+105o2+105o2+105o2+106-o2+105o2+106o2+114
Underu2¼-125u2-125u2-125u2-121-u2-125u2-121u2-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+114
Under-----u2-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.6%
 
No58.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.58%
Exactly 226.69%
Exactly 411.22%
Exactly 61.89%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.77%
Exactly 319.98%
Exactly 55.04%
Exactly 70.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 046.02%
Exactly 135.72%
Exactly 213.86%
Exactly 33.58%
Exactly 40.70%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Fluminense
Exactly 022.99%
Exactly 133.80%
Exactly 224.84%
Exactly 312.17%
Exactly 44.47%
Exactly 51.32%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.35%
Exactly 219.11%
Exactly 41.72%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.63%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 069.82%
Exactly 125.08%
Exactly 24.51%
Exactly 30.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fluminense
Exactly 050.63%
Exactly 134.46%
Exactly 211.73%
Exactly 32.66%
Exactly 40.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals5.89%
Wins by 3+ goals1.31%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%
Fluminense
Wins by 2+ goals27.29%
Wins by 3+ goals10.84%
Wins by 4+ goals3.44%
Wins by 5+ goals0.87%
Wins by 6+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense
Fluminense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal13.88%
Wins by 2 goals4.58%
Wins by 3 goals1.09%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Fluminense
Wins by 1 goal26.28%
Wins by 2 goals16.45%
Wins by 3 goals7.39%
Wins by 4 goals2.57%
Wins by 5 goals0.72%
Wins by 6 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.42%10.58%
1.565.65%34.35%
2.538.96%61.04%
3.518.98%81.02%
4.57.76%92.24%
5.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.98%46.02%
1.518.26%81.74%
2.54.40%95.60%

Total Goals Fluminense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.01%22.99%
1.543.21%56.79%
2.518.37%81.63%
3.56.19%93.81%
4.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.65%35.35%
1.527.89%72.11%
2.58.78%91.22%
3.52.15%97.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Score012345
0
10.58%
15.56%
11.43%
5.60%
2.06%
0.61%
1
8.21%
12.07%
8.87%
4.35%
1.60%
0.47%
2
3.19%
4.68%
3.44%
1.69%
0.62%
0.18%
3
0.82%
1.21%
0.89%
0.44%
0.16%
0.05%
4
0.16%
0.24%
0.17%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Athletico Paranaense
1-08.21%
2-03.19%
2-14.68%
3-00.82%
3-11.21%
3-20.89%
4-00.16%
4-10.24%
4-20.17%
Draw
0-010.58%
1-112.07%
2-23.44%
3-30.44%
Fluminense
0-115.56%
0-211.43%
1-28.87%
0-35.60%
1-34.35%
2-31.69%
0-42.06%
1-41.60%
2-40.62%
3-40.16%
0-50.61%
1-50.47%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Score01234
0
35.35%
24.06%
8.19%
1.86%
0.32%
1
12.70%
8.64%
2.94%
0.67%
0.11%
2
2.28%
1.55%
0.53%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.27%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Athletico Paranaense
1-012.70%
2-02.28%
2-11.55%
3-00.27%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-035.35%
1-18.64%
2-20.53%
Fluminense
0-124.06%
0-28.19%
1-22.94%
0-31.86%
1-30.67%
2-30.12%
0-40.32%
1-40.11%