Athletico Paranaense at Fluminense

Updated 914 days ago

12:00 AM • May 15, 2022

Athletico Paranaense

19.8%26.6%53.6%

WinDrawFluminense Win

0.78Projected Goals 1.47

1Final Score 2

Fluminense

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
W 0-1	5/07 vs Ceara
L 0-1	4/30 at America (MG)
W 0-1	4/23 vs Flamengo
L 1-0	4/17 vs Atletico Mineiro
L 0-4	4/10 at Sao Paulo

Fluminense		Money Line
T 1-1	5/08 at Palmeiras
L 2-3	5/01 at Coritiba
L 1-0	4/23 vs Internacional
W 1-0	4/17 at Cuiaba
T 0-0	4/09 vs Santos

Money Line Analysis

:1.5%

	Open Line	Bovada	BetOnline	5Dimes	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+271	+320	+265	+333	+288	+265	+333	+345.7
Fluminense	+106	+110	+114	+108	+106	+114	+114	+114.5
Draw	+225	+190	+195	+212	+215	+195	+215	+223.3

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+345.7
Fluminense	-	-	-	-	-	+114.5
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+223.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Fluminense: 20.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Fluminense: 30.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Fluminense: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Fluminense: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Fluminense ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.2%

	Open Line	Bovada	BetOnline	5Dimes	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼+105	o2+105	o2+105	o2+106	-	o2+105	o2+106	o2+114
Under	u2¼-125	u2-125	u2-125	u2-121	-	u2-125	u2-121	u2-114

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2+114
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	41.6%


No	58.4%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	10.58%
Exactly 2	26.69%
Exactly 4	11.22%
Exactly 6	1.89%
Exactly 8	0.17%


Exactly 1	23.77%
Exactly 3	19.98%
Exactly 5	5.04%
Exactly 7	0.61%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	46.02%
Exactly 1	35.72%
Exactly 2	13.86%
Exactly 3	3.58%
Exactly 4	0.70%
Exactly 5	0.11%

Exact Goals Scored - Fluminense
Exactly 0	22.99%
Exactly 1	33.80%
Exactly 2	24.84%
Exactly 3	12.17%
Exactly 4	4.47%
Exactly 5	1.32%
Exactly 6	0.32%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	35.35%
Exactly 2	19.11%
Exactly 4	1.72%


Exactly 1	36.76%
Exactly 3	6.63%
Exactly 5	0.36%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	69.82%
Exactly 1	25.08%
Exactly 2	4.51%
Exactly 3	0.54%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fluminense
Exactly 0	50.63%
Exactly 1	34.46%
Exactly 2	11.73%
Exactly 3	2.66%
Exactly 4	0.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	5.89%
Wins by 3+ goals	1.31%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.22%

Fluminense
Wins by 2+ goals	27.29%
Wins by 3+ goals	10.84%
Wins by 4+ goals	3.44%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.87%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Fluminense

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	13.88%
Wins by 2 goals	4.58%
Wins by 3 goals	1.09%
Wins by 4 goals	0.20%

Fluminense
Wins by 1 goal	26.28%
Wins by 2 goals	16.45%
Wins by 3 goals	7.39%
Wins by 4 goals	2.57%
Wins by 5 goals	0.72%
Wins by 6 goals	0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	89.42%	10.58%
1.5	65.65%	34.35%
2.5	38.96%	61.04%
3.5	18.98%	81.02%
4.5	7.76%	92.24%
5.5	2.72%	97.28%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	53.98%	46.02%
1.5	18.26%	81.74%
2.5	4.40%	95.60%

Total Goals Fluminense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	77.01%	22.99%
1.5	43.21%	56.79%
2.5	18.37%	81.63%
3.5	6.19%	93.81%
4.5	1.72%	98.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	64.65%	35.35%
1.5	27.89%	72.11%
2.5	8.78%	91.22%
3.5	2.15%	97.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Fluminense

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10.58%	15.56%	11.43%	5.60%	2.06%	0.61%
1	8.21%	12.07%	8.87%	4.35%	1.60%	0.47%
2	3.19%	4.68%	3.44%	1.69%	0.62%	0.18%
3	0.82%	1.21%	0.89%	0.44%	0.16%	0.05%
4	0.16%	0.24%	0.17%	0.08%	0.03%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	8.21%
2-0	3.19%
2-1	4.68%
3-0	0.82%
3-1	1.21%
3-2	0.89%
4-0	0.16%
4-1	0.24%
4-2	0.17%

Draw
0-0	10.58%
1-1	12.07%
2-2	3.44%
3-3	0.44%

Fluminense
0-1	15.56%
0-2	11.43%
1-2	8.87%
0-3	5.60%
1-3	4.35%
2-3	1.69%
0-4	2.06%
1-4	1.60%
2-4	0.62%
3-4	0.16%
0-5	0.61%
1-5	0.47%
2-5	0.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Fluminense

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	35.35%	24.06%	8.19%	1.86%	0.32%
1	12.70%	8.64%	2.94%	0.67%	0.11%
2	2.28%	1.55%	0.53%	0.12%	0.02%
3	0.27%	0.19%	0.06%	0.01%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	12.70%
2-0	2.28%
2-1	1.55%
3-0	0.27%
3-1	0.19%

Draw
0-0	35.35%
1-1	8.64%
2-2	0.53%

Fluminense
0-1	24.06%
0-2	8.19%
1-2	2.94%
0-3	1.86%
1-3	0.67%
2-3	0.12%
0-4	0.32%
1-4	0.11%

Corinthians at Internacional

Cuiaba at Sao Paulo

Athletico Paranaense at Fluminense