Athletico Paranaense at Sao Paulo

Updated

Athletico Paranaense

20.6%27.3%52.1%
Athletico Paranaense WinDrawSao Paulo Win
0.78Projected Goals 1.41
0Final Score 4

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
T 1-1 at Sport Recife+420
T 0-0 vs Palmeiras-210
W 0-1 vs Cuiaba-135
L 0-1 at Corinthians+300
T 0-0 at Sao Paulo+400
Sao Paulo
Money Line
L 0-2 at America (MG)+305
W 1-3 vs Juventude-145
L 0-3 at Gremio+230
W 0-2 vs Sport Recife-185
T 0-0 vs Athletico Paranaense-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense+400+475+390+549-+390+549+516.1
Sao Paulo-140-155-160-164--160-155-140.4
Draw+260+275+260+283-+260+283+294.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense-----+516.1
Sao Paulo------140.4
Draw-----+294.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+108o2¼-115o2¼-111o2-165-o2¼-111o2-145o2¼+100
Underu2¼-128u2¼-105u2¼-109u2+150-u2¼-109u2¼-105u2¼+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+100
Under-----u2¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.8%
 
No59.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.22%
Exactly 226.84%
Exactly 410.71%
Exactly 61.71%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.54%
Exactly 319.57%
Exactly 54.68%
Exactly 70.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 046.05%
Exactly 135.71%
Exactly 213.85%
Exactly 33.58%
Exactly 40.69%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 024.36%
Exactly 134.40%
Exactly 224.29%
Exactly 311.43%
Exactly 44.04%
Exactly 51.14%
Exactly 60.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.32%
Exactly 218.63%
Exactly 41.59%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.29%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 069.83%
Exactly 125.07%
Exactly 24.50%
Exactly 30.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 052.00%
Exactly 134.00%
Exactly 211.12%
Exactly 32.42%
Exactly 40.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals6.15%
Wins by 3+ goals1.37%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals25.79%
Wins by 3+ goals9.92%
Wins by 4+ goals3.05%
Wins by 5+ goals0.74%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal14.42%
Wins by 2 goals4.78%
Wins by 3 goals1.14%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal26.25%
Wins by 2 goals15.87%
Wins by 3 goals6.87%
Wins by 4 goals2.30%
Wins by 5 goals0.62%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.78%11.22%
1.564.24%35.76%
2.537.40%62.60%
3.517.82%82.18%
4.57.12%92.88%
5.52.43%97.57%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.95%46.05%
1.518.24%81.76%
2.54.40%95.60%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.64%24.36%
1.541.24%58.76%
2.516.95%83.05%
3.55.51%94.49%
4.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.68%36.32%
1.526.90%73.10%
2.58.27%91.73%
3.51.98%98.02%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
11.22%
15.84%
11.19%
5.27%
1.86%
0.53%
1
8.70%
12.28%
8.67%
4.08%
1.44%
0.41%
2
3.37%
4.76%
3.36%
1.58%
0.56%
0.16%
3
0.87%
1.23%
0.87%
0.41%
0.14%
0.04%
4
0.17%
0.24%
0.17%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Athletico Paranaense
1-08.70%
2-03.37%
2-14.76%
3-00.87%
3-11.23%
3-20.87%
4-00.17%
4-10.24%
4-20.17%
Draw
0-011.22%
1-112.28%
2-23.36%
3-30.41%
Sao Paulo
0-115.84%
0-211.19%
1-28.67%
0-35.27%
1-34.08%
2-31.58%
0-41.86%
1-41.44%
2-40.56%
3-40.14%
0-50.53%
1-50.41%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo
Score01234
0
36.32%
23.75%
7.76%
1.69%
0.28%
1
13.04%
8.53%
2.79%
0.61%
0.10%
2
2.34%
1.53%
0.50%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.28%
0.18%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Athletico Paranaense
1-013.04%
2-02.34%
2-11.53%
3-00.28%
3-10.18%
Draw
0-036.32%
1-18.53%
2-20.50%
Sao Paulo
0-123.75%
0-27.76%
1-22.79%
0-31.69%
1-30.61%
2-30.11%
0-40.28%