Athletico Paranaense at Sao Paulo

Updated 947 days ago

10:00 PM • Apr 10, 2022

Athletico Paranaense

20.6%27.3%52.1%

Athletico Paranaense WinDrawSao Paulo Win

0.78Projected Goals 1.41

0Final Score 4

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
T 1-1	12/10 at Sport Recife	+420
T 0-0	12/06 vs Palmeiras	-210
W 0-1	12/03 vs Cuiaba	-135
L 0-1	11/28 at Corinthians	+300
T 0-0	11/25 at Sao Paulo	+400

Sao Paulo		Money Line
L 0-2	12/10 at America (MG)	+305
W 1-3	12/06 vs Juventude	-145
L 0-3	12/02 at Gremio	+230
W 0-2	11/28 vs Sport Recife	-185
T 0-0	11/25 vs Athletico Paranaense	-115

Money Line Analysis

:2.2%

	Open Line	Bovada	BetOnline	5Dimes	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+400	+475	+390	+549	-	+390	+549	+516.1
Sao Paulo	-140	-155	-160	-164	-	-160	-155	-140.4
Draw	+260	+275	+260	+283	-	+260	+283	+294.3

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+516.1
Sao Paulo	-	-	-	-	-	-140.4
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+294.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 40.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Sao Paulo: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

:0.8%

	Open Line	Bovada	BetOnline	5Dimes	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼+108	o2¼-115	o2¼-111	o2-165	-	o2¼-111	o2-145	o2¼+100
Under	u2¼-128	u2¼-105	u2¼-109	u2+150	-	u2¼-109	u2¼-105	u2¼+100

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2¼+100
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	40.8%


No	59.2%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	11.22%
Exactly 2	26.84%
Exactly 4	10.71%
Exactly 6	1.71%
Exactly 8	0.15%


Exactly 1	24.54%
Exactly 3	19.57%
Exactly 5	4.68%
Exactly 7	0.53%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	46.05%
Exactly 1	35.71%
Exactly 2	13.85%
Exactly 3	3.58%
Exactly 4	0.69%
Exactly 5	0.11%

Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 0	24.36%
Exactly 1	34.40%
Exactly 2	24.29%
Exactly 3	11.43%
Exactly 4	4.04%
Exactly 5	1.14%
Exactly 6	0.27%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	36.32%
Exactly 2	18.63%
Exactly 4	1.59%


Exactly 1	36.78%
Exactly 3	6.29%
Exactly 5	0.32%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	69.83%
Exactly 1	25.07%
Exactly 2	4.50%
Exactly 3	0.54%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 0	52.00%
Exactly 1	34.00%
Exactly 2	11.12%
Exactly 3	2.42%
Exactly 4	0.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	6.15%
Wins by 3+ goals	1.37%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.23%

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals	25.79%
Wins by 3+ goals	9.92%
Wins by 4+ goals	3.05%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.74%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Sao Paulo

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	14.42%
Wins by 2 goals	4.78%
Wins by 3 goals	1.14%
Wins by 4 goals	0.21%

Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal	26.25%
Wins by 2 goals	15.87%
Wins by 3 goals	6.87%
Wins by 4 goals	2.30%
Wins by 5 goals	0.62%
Wins by 6 goals	0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	88.78%	11.22%
1.5	64.24%	35.76%
2.5	37.40%	62.60%
3.5	17.82%	82.18%
4.5	7.12%	92.88%
5.5	2.43%	97.57%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	53.95%	46.05%
1.5	18.24%	81.76%
2.5	4.40%	95.60%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	75.64%	24.36%
1.5	41.24%	58.76%
2.5	16.95%	83.05%
3.5	5.51%	94.49%
4.5	1.47%	98.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	63.68%	36.32%
1.5	26.90%	73.10%
2.5	8.27%	91.73%
3.5	1.98%	98.02%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Sao Paulo

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11.22%	15.84%	11.19%	5.27%	1.86%	0.53%
1	8.70%	12.28%	8.67%	4.08%	1.44%	0.41%
2	3.37%	4.76%	3.36%	1.58%	0.56%	0.16%
3	0.87%	1.23%	0.87%	0.41%	0.14%	0.04%
4	0.17%	0.24%	0.17%	0.08%	0.03%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	8.70%
2-0	3.37%
2-1	4.76%
3-0	0.87%
3-1	1.23%
3-2	0.87%
4-0	0.17%
4-1	0.24%
4-2	0.17%

Draw
0-0	11.22%
1-1	12.28%
2-2	3.36%
3-3	0.41%

Sao Paulo
0-1	15.84%
0-2	11.19%
1-2	8.67%
0-3	5.27%
1-3	4.08%
2-3	1.58%
0-4	1.86%
1-4	1.44%
2-4	0.56%
3-4	0.14%
0-5	0.53%
1-5	0.41%
2-5	0.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Sao Paulo

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	36.32%	23.75%	7.76%	1.69%	0.28%
1	13.04%	8.53%	2.79%	0.61%	0.10%
2	2.34%	1.53%	0.50%	0.11%	0.02%
3	0.28%	0.18%	0.06%	0.01%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	13.04%
2-0	2.34%
2-1	1.53%
3-0	0.28%
3-1	0.18%

Draw
0-0	36.32%
1-1	8.53%
2-2	0.50%

Sao Paulo
0-1	23.75%
0-2	7.76%
1-2	2.79%
0-3	1.69%
1-3	0.61%
2-3	0.11%
0-4	0.28%

Cuiaba at Fortaleza

America (MG) at Avaí

Athletico Paranaense at Sao Paulo