Athletico Paranaense at Sport Recife

Updated

Athletico Paranaense

36.5%32.3%31.2%
Athletico Paranaense WinDrawSport Recife Win
0.99Projected Goals 0.85
1Final Score 1

Sport Recife

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Palmeiras-210
W 0-1 vs Cuiaba-135
L 0-1 at Corinthians+300
T 0-0 at Sao Paulo+400
L 1-0 vs Atletico Mineiro+600
Sport Recife
Money Line
W 1-0 at Chapecoense+145
T 1-1 vs Flamengo+365
L 0-2 at Sao Paulo+575
W 0-1 vs Bahia+170
L 1-2 at Ceara+390

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense+233+425+470-+410+470+470+454.8
Sport Recife+112-140-169--142-169-140-126.8
Draw+248+245+265-+261+265+265+283.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense+355----+420+420+454.8
Sport Recife-130-----135-135-126.8
Draw+270----+250+250+283.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sport Recife: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 60.0%
Sport Recife: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%
Sport Recife: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML
No Steam Moves On Sport Recife ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sport Recife: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 50.0%
Sport Recife: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Sport Recife: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML
No Steam Moves On Sport Recife ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2¼-105o2¼-109--o2¼-109o2¼-105o2¼+105
Underu2½-110u2¼-115u2¼-111--u2¼-111u2¼-111u2¼-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+105
Under-----u2¼-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes36.0%
 
No64.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 015.87%
Exactly 226.89%
Exactly 47.59%
Exactly 60.86%
 
Exactly 129.21%
Exactly 316.50%
Exactly 52.79%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 037.10%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.24%
Exactly 36.03%
Exactly 41.49%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Sport Recife
Exactly 042.78%
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 215.42%
Exactly 34.37%
Exactly 40.93%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 042.65%
Exactly 215.49%
Exactly 40.94%
 
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 34.40%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 063.19%
Exactly 129.01%
Exactly 26.66%
Exactly 31.02%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sport Recife
Exactly 067.49%
Exactly 126.54%
Exactly 25.22%
Exactly 30.68%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals14.28%
Wins by 3+ goals4.04%
Wins by 4+ goals0.87%
Sport Recife
Wins by 2+ goals9.96%
Wins by 3+ goals2.45%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense
Sport Recife
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal23.36%
Wins by 2 goals10.23%
Wins by 3 goals3.17%
Wins by 4 goals0.75%
Sport Recife
Wins by 1 goal20.00%
Wins by 2 goals7.51%
Wins by 3 goals1.99%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.13%15.87%
1.554.92%45.08%
2.528.03%71.97%
3.511.53%88.47%
4.53.94%96.06%
5.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.90%37.10%
1.526.11%73.89%
2.57.88%92.12%
3.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals Sport Recife Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.22%42.78%
1.520.90%79.10%
2.55.48%94.52%
3.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.35%42.65%
1.521.01%78.99%
2.55.52%94.48%
3.51.12%98.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense
Sport Recife
Score01234
0
15.87%
13.48%
5.72%
1.62%
0.34%
1
15.74%
13.36%
5.67%
1.61%
0.34%
2
7.80%
6.62%
2.81%
0.80%
0.17%
3
2.58%
2.19%
0.93%
0.26%
0.06%
4
0.64%
0.54%
0.23%
0.07%
0.01%
Athletico Paranaense
1-015.74%
2-07.80%
2-16.62%
3-02.58%
3-12.19%
3-20.93%
4-00.64%
4-10.54%
4-20.23%
Draw
0-015.87%
1-113.36%
2-22.81%
3-30.26%
Sport Recife
0-113.48%
0-25.72%
1-25.67%
0-31.62%
1-31.61%
2-30.80%
0-40.34%
1-40.34%
2-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense
Sport Recife
Score0123
0
42.65%
16.77%
3.30%
0.43%
1
19.58%
7.70%
1.51%
0.20%
2
4.49%
1.77%
0.35%
0.05%
3
0.69%
0.27%
0.05%
0.01%
Athletico Paranaense
1-019.58%
2-04.49%
2-11.77%
3-00.69%
3-10.27%
Draw
0-042.65%
1-17.70%
2-20.35%
Sport Recife
0-116.77%
0-23.30%
1-21.51%
0-30.43%
1-30.20%
Sport Recife at Chapecoense
Cuiaba at Santos