Palmeiras at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Palmeiras

34.0%31.7%34.3%
Palmeiras WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.95Projected Goals 0.96
0Final Score 0

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Palmeiras
Money Line
W 3-1 at Cuiaba+400
T 2-2 vs Atletico Mineiro+380
L 0-1 at Fortaleza+185
L 2-0 vs Sao Paulo+110
L 1-2 at Fluminense+140
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Cuiaba-135
L 0-1 at Corinthians+300
T 0-0 at Sao Paulo+400
L 1-0 vs Atletico Mineiro+600
L 1-2 at Internacional+260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras+217+675+570+763+702+570+763+705.6
Athletico Paranaense+122-235-227-232-252-227-227-200.2
Draw+241+330+335+347+356+335+356+378.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras+265----+550+550+705.6
Athletico Paranaense-105-----210-210-200.2
Draw+280----+360+360+378.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 60.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 40.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 60.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½-102o2½-107o2½+101-o2½-107o2½+101o2½+104
Underu2½-122u2½-118u2½-113u2½-116-u2½-113u2½-113u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes37.9%
 
No62.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 014.75%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 48.25%
Exactly 61.01%
 
Exactly 128.23%
Exactly 317.23%
Exactly 53.16%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 038.61%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.48%
Exactly 35.55%
Exactly 41.32%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 038.21%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.68%
Exactly 35.67%
Exactly 41.36%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 041.23%
Exactly 216.18%
Exactly 41.06%
 
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 34.78%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 064.37%
Exactly 128.36%
Exactly 26.25%
Exactly 30.92%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 064.05%
Exactly 128.53%
Exactly 26.36%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals12.31%
Wins by 3+ goals3.34%
Wins by 4+ goals0.69%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals12.63%
Wins by 3+ goals3.46%
Wins by 4+ goals0.72%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Palmeiras
Athletico Paranaense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal21.52%
Wins by 2 goals8.97%
Wins by 3 goals2.65%
Wins by 4 goals0.60%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal21.76%
Wins by 2 goals9.17%
Wins by 3 goals2.74%
Wins by 4 goals0.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.25%14.75%
1.557.02%42.98%
2.530.00%70.00%
3.512.77%87.23%
4.54.52%95.48%
5.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.39%38.61%
1.524.65%75.35%
2.57.16%92.84%
3.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.79%38.21%
1.525.03%74.97%
2.57.35%92.65%
3.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.77%41.23%
1.522.24%77.76%
2.56.06%93.94%
3.51.28%98.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Palmeiras
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
14.75%
14.19%
6.83%
2.19%
0.53%
1
14.04%
13.51%
6.50%
2.08%
0.50%
2
6.68%
6.43%
3.09%
0.99%
0.24%
3
2.12%
2.04%
0.98%
0.31%
0.08%
4
0.50%
0.49%
0.23%
0.07%
0.02%
Palmeiras
1-014.04%
2-06.68%
2-16.43%
3-02.12%
3-12.04%
3-20.98%
4-00.50%
4-10.49%
4-20.23%
Draw
0-014.75%
1-113.51%
2-23.09%
3-30.31%
Athletico Paranaense
0-114.19%
0-26.83%
1-26.50%
0-32.19%
1-32.08%
2-30.99%
0-40.53%
1-40.50%
2-40.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Palmeiras
Athletico Paranaense
Score0123
0
41.23%
18.37%
4.09%
0.61%
1
18.16%
8.09%
1.80%
0.27%
2
4.00%
1.78%
0.40%
0.06%
3
0.59%
0.26%
0.06%
0.01%
Palmeiras
1-018.16%
2-04.00%
2-11.78%
3-00.59%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-041.23%
1-18.09%
2-20.40%
Athletico Paranaense
0-118.37%
0-24.09%
1-21.80%
0-30.61%
1-30.27%
America (MG) at Ceara
Juventude at Sao Paulo