Sao Paulo at Palmeiras

Updated

Sao Paulo

28.0%27.2%44.8%
Sao Paulo WinDrawPalmeiras Win
0.88Projected Goals 1.41
2Final Score 0

Palmeiras

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Flamengo+170
T 1-1 at Fortaleza+190
L 0-1 at Bahia+150
W 0-1 vs Internacional-135
L 0-1 at Bragantino+180
Palmeiras
Money Line
L 1-2 at Fluminense+140
W 0-4 vs Atletico Goianiense-260
W 2-0 at Santos+110
W 1-2 vs Sport Recife-270
W 2-1 at Ceara+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+300+260+225+280-+225+280+263.8
Palmeiras+100+115+123+119-+123+123+132.5
Draw+235+225+210+221-+210+225+239.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+300----+255+255+263.8
Palmeiras-105----+110+110+132.5
Draw+245----+240+240+239.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Palmeiras: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sao Paulo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 40.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 10.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sao Paulo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-118o2¼-115o2¼-113o2-154-o2¼-113o2-143o2¼-101
Underu2-102u2¼-105u2¼-107u2+139-u2¼-107u2¼-105u2¼+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-101
Under-----u2¼+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.2%
 
No55.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.15%
Exactly 226.56%
Exactly 411.59%
Exactly 62.02%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.22%
Exactly 320.26%
Exactly 55.30%
Exactly 70.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 041.43%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 216.08%
Exactly 34.72%
Exactly 41.04%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 024.49%
Exactly 134.46%
Exactly 224.24%
Exactly 311.37%
Exactly 44.00%
Exactly 51.12%
Exactly 60.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.67%
Exactly 219.45%
Exactly 41.82%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.87%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 066.50%
Exactly 127.13%
Exactly 25.53%
Exactly 30.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 052.13%
Exactly 133.96%
Exactly 211.06%
Exactly 32.40%
Exactly 40.39%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals7.76%
Wins by 3+ goals1.92%
Wins by 4+ goals0.36%
Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals24.03%
Wins by 3+ goals9.14%
Wins by 4+ goals2.78%
Wins by 5+ goals0.67%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal15.75%
Wins by 2 goals5.84%
Wins by 3 goals1.56%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal25.15%
Wins by 2 goals14.89%
Wins by 3 goals6.36%
Wins by 4 goals2.11%
Wins by 5 goals0.56%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.85%10.15%
1.566.63%33.37%
2.540.07%59.93%
3.519.82%80.18%
4.58.23%91.77%
5.52.93%97.07%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.57%41.43%
1.522.06%77.94%
2.55.98%94.02%
3.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.51%24.49%
1.541.05%58.95%
2.516.82%83.18%
3.55.45%94.55%
4.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.33%34.67%
1.528.60%71.40%
2.59.15%90.85%
3.52.28%97.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
10.15%
14.28%
10.04%
4.71%
1.66%
0.47%
1
8.94%
12.58%
8.85%
4.15%
1.46%
0.41%
2
3.94%
5.54%
3.90%
1.83%
0.64%
0.18%
3
1.16%
1.63%
1.14%
0.54%
0.19%
0.05%
4
0.25%
0.36%
0.25%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-08.94%
2-03.94%
2-15.54%
3-01.16%
3-11.63%
3-21.14%
4-00.25%
4-10.36%
4-20.25%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-010.15%
1-112.58%
2-23.90%
3-30.54%
Palmeiras
0-114.28%
0-210.04%
1-28.85%
0-34.71%
1-34.15%
2-31.83%
0-41.66%
1-41.46%
2-40.64%
3-40.19%
0-50.47%
1-50.41%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Score01234
0
34.67%
22.58%
7.35%
1.60%
0.26%
1
14.14%
9.21%
3.00%
0.65%
0.11%
2
2.88%
1.88%
0.61%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.39%
0.26%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-014.14%
2-02.88%
2-11.88%
3-00.39%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-034.67%
1-19.21%
2-20.61%
Palmeiras
0-122.58%
0-27.35%
1-23.00%
0-31.60%
1-30.65%
2-30.13%
0-40.26%
1-40.11%
Ceara at Fortaleza
Fluminense at Juventude