Ceara at Fortaleza

Updated

Ceara

27.1%27.0%45.8%
Ceara WinDrawFortaleza Win
0.84Projected Goals 1.43
4Final Score 0

Fortaleza

Last 5 Games

Ceara
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Sport Recife-115
L 1-2 at Athletico Paranaense+385
W 0-1 vs Cuiaba-110
W 0-1 vs Fluminense+130
T 1-1 at Bahia+280
Fortaleza
Money Line
L 0-3 at Bragantino+300
T 1-1 vs Sao Paulo+170
L 0-1 at Corinthians+400
L 1-2 at America (MG)+275
W 0-3 vs Athletico Paranaense-195

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ceara+285+230+205+248+219+205+248+244.2
Fortaleza+110+145+147+137+142+147+147+156.3
Draw+225+195+188+210+201+188+210+213.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ceara+275----+235+235+244.2
Fortaleza+110----+135+135+156.3
Draw+225----+205+205+213.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ceara: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ceara: 0.0%
Fortaleza: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ceara: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ceara: 20.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ceara ML
No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ceara: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ceara: 0.0%
Fortaleza: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ceara: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ceara: 0.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ceara ML
No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-103o2-125o2-112o2-118-o2-112o2-112o2+100
Underu2-117u2+105u2-108u2+103-u2-108u2+105u2+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+100
Under-----u2+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.3%
 
No56.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.32%
Exactly 226.61%
Exactly 411.44%
Exactly 61.97%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.44%
Exactly 320.15%
Exactly 55.20%
Exactly 70.64%
Exact Goals Scored - Ceara
Exactly 042.97%
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 215.33%
Exactly 34.32%
Exactly 40.91%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 024.02%
Exactly 134.26%
Exactly 224.43%
Exactly 311.62%
Exactly 44.14%
Exactly 51.18%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.94%
Exactly 219.32%
Exactly 41.78%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 36.77%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ceara
Exactly 067.63%
Exactly 126.45%
Exactly 25.17%
Exactly 30.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 051.66%
Exactly 134.12%
Exactly 211.27%
Exactly 32.48%
Exactly 40.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ceara
Wins by 2+ goals7.10%
Wins by 3+ goals1.69%
Wins by 4+ goals0.31%
Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals25.07%
Wins by 3+ goals9.67%
Wins by 4+ goals2.98%
Wins by 5+ goals0.73%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Ceara
Fortaleza
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Ceara
Wins by 1 goal15.14%
Wins by 2 goals5.40%
Wins by 3 goals1.39%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal25.56%
Wins by 2 goals15.40%
Wins by 3 goals6.69%
Wins by 4 goals2.25%
Wins by 5 goals0.61%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.68%10.32%
1.566.24%33.76%
2.539.62%60.38%
3.519.48%80.52%
4.58.04%91.96%
5.52.84%97.16%

Total Goals Ceara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.03%42.97%
1.520.73%79.27%
2.55.40%94.60%
3.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.98%24.02%
1.541.72%58.28%
2.517.29%82.71%
3.55.67%94.33%
4.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.06%34.94%
1.528.32%71.68%
2.59.00%91.00%
3.52.23%97.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ceara
Fortaleza
Score012345
0
10.32%
14.72%
10.50%
4.99%
1.78%
0.51%
1
8.72%
12.43%
8.87%
4.22%
1.50%
0.43%
2
3.68%
5.25%
3.74%
1.78%
0.63%
0.18%
3
1.04%
1.48%
1.05%
0.50%
0.18%
0.05%
4
0.22%
0.31%
0.22%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Ceara
1-08.72%
2-03.68%
2-15.25%
3-01.04%
3-11.48%
3-21.05%
4-00.22%
4-10.31%
4-20.22%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-010.32%
1-112.43%
2-23.74%
3-30.50%
Fortaleza
0-114.72%
0-210.50%
1-28.87%
0-34.99%
1-34.22%
2-31.78%
0-41.78%
1-41.50%
2-40.63%
3-40.18%
0-50.51%
1-50.43%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Ceara
Fortaleza
Score01234
0
34.94%
23.08%
7.62%
1.68%
0.28%
1
13.66%
9.02%
2.98%
0.66%
0.11%
2
2.67%
1.76%
0.58%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.35%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Ceara
1-013.66%
2-02.67%
2-11.76%
3-00.35%
3-10.23%
Draw
0-034.94%
1-19.02%
2-20.58%
Fortaleza
0-123.08%
0-27.62%
1-22.98%
0-31.68%
1-30.66%
2-30.13%
0-40.28%
1-40.11%
Internacional at Cuiaba
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