Athletico Paranaense at Fortaleza

Updated

Athletico Paranaense

28.1%29.4%42.5%
Athletico Paranaense WinDrawFortaleza Win
0.82Projected Goals 1.24
0Final Score 3

Fortaleza

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Fluminense+150
T 1-1 at Chapecoense+100
L 2-0 vs Bahia-155
W 2-0 at Atletico Goianiense+200
L 0-3 at Flamengo+1250
Fortaleza
Money Line
W 2-1 at Chapecoense-135
W 0-1 vs Gremio-115
L 3-0 vs Flamengo+210
W 2-0 at Fluminense+220
L 3-0 vs Atletico Goianiense-165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense+330+525+540+618+534+540+618+645.0
Fortaleza-110-175-172-172-180-172-172-156.0
Draw+250+295+285+276+286+285+295+290.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense+360----+600+600+645.0
Fortaleza-120-----195-195-156.0
Draw+250----+305+305+290.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 50.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML
No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 50.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML
No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-102o2¼-108o2¼-113o2¼-108-o2¼-113o2¼-108o2¼-101
Underu2¼-118u2¼-112u2¼-107u2¼-106-u2¼-107u2¼-106u2¼+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-101
Under-----u2¼+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.7%
 
No60.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.77%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 49.55%
Exactly 61.35%
Exactly 80.10%
 
Exactly 126.28%
Exactly 318.55%
Exactly 53.93%
Exactly 70.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 044.04%
Exactly 136.12%
Exactly 214.81%
Exactly 34.05%
Exactly 40.83%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 028.99%
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 222.22%
Exactly 39.17%
Exactly 42.84%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.56%
Exactly 217.51%
Exactly 41.33%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 35.56%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 068.41%
Exactly 125.97%
Exactly 24.93%
Exactly 30.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 056.37%
Exactly 132.31%
Exactly 29.26%
Exactly 31.77%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals7.77%
Wins by 3+ goals1.83%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%
Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals20.68%
Wins by 3+ goals7.13%
Wins by 4+ goals1.95%
Wins by 5+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense
Fortaleza
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal16.77%
Wins by 2 goals5.94%
Wins by 3 goals1.50%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal25.31%
Wins by 2 goals13.55%
Wins by 3 goals5.17%
Wins by 4 goals1.53%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.23%12.77%
1.560.95%39.05%
2.533.91%66.09%
3.515.35%84.65%
4.55.81%94.19%
5.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.96%44.04%
1.519.84%80.16%
2.55.04%94.96%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.01%28.99%
1.535.11%64.89%
2.512.89%87.11%
3.53.72%96.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.44%38.56%
1.524.69%75.31%
2.57.19%92.81%
3.51.62%98.38%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense
Fortaleza
Score012345
0
12.77%
15.81%
9.79%
4.04%
1.25%
0.31%
1
10.47%
12.96%
8.03%
3.31%
1.03%
0.25%
2
4.29%
5.32%
3.29%
1.36%
0.42%
0.10%
3
1.17%
1.45%
0.90%
0.37%
0.11%
0.03%
4
0.24%
0.30%
0.18%
0.08%
0.02%
0.01%
Athletico Paranaense
1-010.47%
2-04.29%
2-15.32%
3-01.17%
3-11.45%
3-20.90%
4-00.24%
4-10.30%
4-20.18%
Draw
0-012.77%
1-112.96%
2-23.29%
3-30.37%
Fortaleza
0-115.81%
0-29.79%
1-28.03%
0-34.04%
1-33.31%
2-31.36%
0-41.25%
1-41.03%
2-40.42%
3-40.11%
0-50.31%
1-50.25%
2-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense
Fortaleza
Score01234
0
38.56%
22.11%
6.34%
1.21%
0.17%
1
14.64%
8.39%
2.41%
0.46%
0.07%
2
2.78%
1.59%
0.46%
0.09%
0.01%
3
0.35%
0.20%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Athletico Paranaense
1-014.64%
2-02.78%
2-11.59%
3-00.35%
3-10.20%
Draw
0-038.56%
1-18.39%
2-20.46%
Fortaleza
0-122.11%
0-26.34%
1-22.41%
0-31.21%
1-30.46%
0-40.17%
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